Well if Harbajan bowl last over instead of nehra in South africa v india match , & if Gull bowl the last over in t20 semifinal against Australia Pakistan match i think the result will be different , that is the benefit of ifPakistan's bowling was clinical, but not a comfortable win IIRC.
If India bats first and scores huge, then India will win this match. Spin will be a factor for the team batting second.