Navneet Kundu
Regular Member
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- Jan 2, 2016
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Only if we get that technology unconditionally, with no perpetual clauses like LSA, CISMOA and BECA. If tomorrow I want to use that ToT to make my own plane and sell it to Iran, the US must not have a legal basis to veto that decision because of any ToT clause. Can they guarantee that?There is nothing wrong in giving some benefit to their industry if we can get technology.
War is fought not just when bullets and rockets are being fired. A war is being fought right now with money and industry. The reason US and Britain wants us to buy F16 and Typhoon respectively is because their assembly lines are going cold and to recover most out of their R&D, they want to mass manufacture and sell to India. The decision to junk both and opt Rafale was fantastic foresight in many ways. First, it will sustain the Rafale industry from going extinct, which means the Rafale will participate in many more aircraft competitions where it will be top challenger to US and Britain's aircraft. This forces them to get into a bidding war and hurts them financially. This same Rafale won the Egyptian airforce contest and gave a nice slap to US and Britain. If we want to undermine Britain, and keep their strategic reach limited to Europe, we need to prop up its competition, aka France. This country takes fiercely independent decisions on international matters and it is in our interest to prop it up, just like Russia. These two nations will keep US and Britain busy.
Buying a strategic system like aircraft which has a replacement lifecycle of ~20 years means the buyer becomes beholden to the seller for strategic issues for those many years. So it's more than just hardware and technology. It's about long term vision. US and British long term vision is hostile to Indian interests, we can't subsidize their weapons with our money. It is only Russia, France and Israel whose interests don't collide with us, even though we might bicker over the pricetags. All these 3 nations have the same goal : use the rise of India and China and take a piggyback ride on Asian growth to bolster their own position in their respective regions. So they don't want us to fail. They don't have a hidden agenda to provoke a fight between India and China. They want to plug into our success. US and Britain have an agenda that is just the reverse of that. They want to use weapon sales to impede our ability to rise as an Asian power. First they will stop our indigenous capability by deliberately giving discounts on weapons, once we are beholden to them then they will blackmail us to hurt China. Eventually both India and China will go down if we follow that script. We shouldn't fall in that trap.
We can do Yudh Abhyas and Chut Abhyas drama, no problem with that, but we shouldn't confuse US affability with goodwill. They will praise our curry and culture while giving weapons to Pakistan, we should praise their fish and chips while giving nukes to Argentina which has competing claims with Britain over Falkland islands. The threat of a nuclear armed Argentina will permanently immobilize Britain from participating in any further US-led global misadventures, just like their aid to Pakistan has immobilized us from making any strategic reach into the mineral rich Central Asian Republics.
Remember these are the same F16s that are used by Pakistan to threaten us daily. The US plans to give 8 more of these to Pakistan. Let's not finance our own death by funding and indirectly subsidizing these projects. We need to make it clear to large defense companies : Once you sell a weapon system to Pakistan, forget about ever trying to sell it to India. This will be the best deterrent.
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