I think another thing we need to think about is local support. How popular is the movement?
Porks say it's basically dead and only a few people here and there who are armed and trained by NDS and R&AW like the BLA are causing problems and killing innocent people in terrorist attacks.
On the other hand, there is data that shows that only 37% of the people of that province want independence, but around 79% of Baloch want greater autonomy.
https://web.archive.org/web/2017021...446-37pc-baloch-favour-independence-uk-survey.
The survey is a bit unclear, is the 37% referring to only Balochis, or 37% of the entire province, including Pashtuns. It only says that 12% of Pashtuns specifically support independence. If it's 37% of the entire province, then considering that around 1/3rd of the population is Pashtun, this brings it to around 55% of Baloch favor independence, more than half the Baloch population. This distinction matters because the Pashtuns are concentrated in Northeastern Balochistan near Quetta in the head shaped region, then practically speaking, that part can be ignored when liberating the rest of the province, and just have Afghanistan annex that "head" part around Quetta along with the rest of the Pashtun regions east of the Durand Line (KPK and FATA).
OTOH, if it's only 37% of Baloch, it may be hard for the BLA and other militant groups to convince the rest of the people to join in driving out the Pakistani and later Chinese military.