With the 2021 Census delays and with the tens of millions of Bangladeshis (including both Muslims and Hindus) who have come into the country over the past 75 years, we always read that India's Muslim population is underestimated. I agree, though I am skeptical that the error is more than 10-20 million.
The 2011 census had Muslims at 14.2% of India's population, equivalent to 172 million people. Assuming 10 million undercounted Bangladeshi Muslim immigrants (plus census errors), I would guess the real share at the time to be 15%.
Each decade, the Muslim share goes up by 0.74%, if you believe all the past once-a-decade census results.
So I would expect the "real" Muslim share to be 16% in 2023. Equivalent to 227 million people.
Some people throw around even higher numbers.
Does anyone who travels around his/her state have a good idea of what is happening on the ground? Is the national Muslim birth rate really around 2.3 today as advertised?
Does anyone work in a large government institution and can gauge some local estimates? e.g., if you (or a relative) work in the Aadhar card department, or railway, or post office, or hospital, or tax office, or visa office etc...
The 2011 census had Muslims at 14.2% of India's population, equivalent to 172 million people. Assuming 10 million undercounted Bangladeshi Muslim immigrants (plus census errors), I would guess the real share at the time to be 15%.
Each decade, the Muslim share goes up by 0.74%, if you believe all the past once-a-decade census results.
So I would expect the "real" Muslim share to be 16% in 2023. Equivalent to 227 million people.
Some people throw around even higher numbers.
Does anyone who travels around his/her state have a good idea of what is happening on the ground? Is the national Muslim birth rate really around 2.3 today as advertised?
Does anyone work in a large government institution and can gauge some local estimates? e.g., if you (or a relative) work in the Aadhar card department, or railway, or post office, or hospital, or tax office, or visa office etc...