USA China Cold War

[Hari Sud]

Almost obviously these will lead to sanctions and then what will happen to an export driven economy? (remember, for them US isn't the sole export destination)

Edit : Suppose US brings a bill like CAATSA citing any direct or indirect dealing with China will bring the parties under the ambit of US sanctions.

P.S. : this year Chinese economy will grow @3.3% and next year @1.6% (approx). now add the effects of sanctions on that.

‘The Wall Street profiteers will thoroughly oppose any CAATSA type of sanctions on China. It will ruin China. In turn that cheap but third class Chinese stuff will disappear from US and Europe markets. Both these continents will suffer huge inflation and dislocation. It will be five years before alternative supply source for consumer goods and supply chain items is rebuilt elsewhere. Those five years will be a turmoil in US and Europe. In addition it will cost a trillion dollars in FDI over five years to build an alternative source of merchandise and parts elsewhere. The Wall Street, always mindful of immediate profit will not permit that.

 

[Blademaster]

‘The Wall Street profiteers will thoroughly oppose any CAATSA type of sanctions on China. It will ruin China. In turn that cheap but third class Chinese stuff will disappear from US and Europe markets. Both these continents will suffer huge inflation and dislocation. It will be five years before alternative supply source for consumer goods and supply chain items is rebuilt elsewhere. Those five years will be a turmoil in US and Europe. In addition it will cost a trillion dollars in FDI over five years to build an alternative source of merchandise and parts elsewhere. The Wall Street, always mindful of immediate profit will not permit that.

I hope it happens because then US and West will turn to India and ask India to step up which India will oblige to build up its economy and manufacturing sector.

 

[Butter Chicken]

Doesn't look good for Taiwan

 

[flanker99]

Doesn't look good for Taiwan

Its not that bad similar to past few days ..u can compare historical data in fr24

 

[LETHALFORCE]

Even US does.

It makes no sense too . I think US working on a bill to change this??

 

[Jimih]

It makes no sense too . I think US working on a bill to change this??

Under Beijing Biden?

 

[Synergy]

That is why China has nothing to lose. US sanctions will only work for a period of time before they become useless. US can bring CAATSA all it wants against China but trade does not work that way. In fact, the US dollar would lose its status as the global currency.

Not really till petro dollar is in place.
And probably you missed my edit part.

 

[LETHALFORCE]

Under Beijing Biden?

let's see he is trying not to upset the bosses.

 

[Blademaster]

Not really till petro dollar is in place.
And probably you missed my edit part.

There will be strong pressure to replace the petrodollar with something else.

If the economy is going to slow down anyway, you might as well get it over with. The economy is slowing down because the export model which has been the engine of China's economy for the last 30 years is running out of steam. To generate any more growth, they have to look inward domestically to generate growth.

 

[Synergy]

‘The Wall Street profiteers will thoroughly oppose any CAATSA type of sanctions on China. It will ruin China. In turn that cheap but third class Chinese stuff will disappear from US and Europe markets. Both these continents will suffer huge inflation and dislocation. It will be five years before alternative supply source for consumer goods and supply chain items is rebuilt elsewhere. Those five years will be a turmoil in US and Europe. In addition it will cost a trillion dollars in FDI over five years to build an alternative source of merchandise and parts elsewhere. The Wall Street, always mindful of immediate profit will not permit that.

In the time of emergency, those inflations can be controlled with a little effort.
But if Chinkis do that, then those retaliations are bound to happen.

 

[mist_consecutive]

Max they will do, is have some intrusion-like power play, maybe even shoot down a one or two Taiwanese jets to show their "strong" power, and then de-escalate.

 

[Arjun Mk1A]

Wolf Warrior Diplomacy >>>>>> Warrior Diplomacy >>>>>> Diplomacy >>>>>>

CCP in the nutshell

 

[flanker99]

Max they will do, is have some intrusion-like power play, maybe even shoot down a one or two Taiwanese jets to show their "strong" power, and then de-escalate.

Agree no country seems to have given any advisory to its citizens like we saw before ukr

 

[Jimih]

maybe even shoot down a one or two Taiwanese jets to show their "strong" power, and then de-escalate.

Highly unlikely, coz that will change everything.

 

[Synergy]

There will be strong pressure to replace the petrodollar with something else.

Agreed but petro dollar can't be replaced with that much ease. Only Russia and Iran may opt for some kind of barter system.

Anyways, probably we are going ott.

 

[Synergy]

Max they will do, is have some intrusion-like power play, maybe even shoot down a one or two Taiwanese jets to show their "strong" power, and then de-escalate.

But the point is, if they try to down some Taiwanese planes, how many they (Cn) will also lose in the process?

 

[Master Chief]

Highly unlikely, coz that will change everything.

More likely PLA Airforce will deliberately crash a Chinese fighter in Taiwan to show how serious they are..

 

[LETHALFORCE]

Bloomberg - Are you a robot?

Pelosi Stares Down Xi’s Threats, Giving China a Reality Check

 

[Clairvoyance]

PLA Air Force sends Su-35 fighter jets to cross Taiwan Straits

The People's Liberation Army Air Force has sent its Su-35 fighter jets to cross the Taiwan Straits, according to the China Central Television.

www.chinadaily.com.cn

It's interesting how they reported Su-35 for their fake intimidation tactic and not J-16 or J-20.

Beneath all their bravado, perhaps a lack of confidence in their non-imported equipment?

 

[Jimih]

It's interesting how they reported Su-35 for their fake intimidation tactic and not J-16 or J-20.

Beneath all their bravado, perhaps a lack of confidence in their non-imported equipment?

Good observation.