so far we heard no way USA will give F-16's, no way NATO will put boots on the ground, no way USA can decouple from China , no way ukraine will get long range missiles etc.... all these things happened why rule out escalations going further? A terrorist can get a "DIRTY BOMB"
I think anyone with half a brain could've seen within 4 months into the war that F-16s was a question of when not if. I think I wrote a post about 1 year back saying the same and I am no genius or expert.
Nevertheless, I firmly think no Nuke would be given. US is not stupid. They will avoid anything that can mean bodybags for them. And nukes are ultimate bodybags creator. Two can play dirty bomb business too.
In fact, I am surprised the F-16s have taken this long. Looks like they will come late 2023 or early 2024. I would've predicted early to mid 23 last year. The other support is also basically what keeps Ukraine alive but nothing that makes it a genuine threat to Russia. Not sure why it's that way, but this also points that nukes are not in consideration. Maybe nuclear missiles stationed in Ukraine when (and if) it becomes a NATO country. But direct nukes to Ukraine for this war? Not going to happen.
Edit- Also, NATO boots on ground? When did that happen apart from a few instructors or such? I still say NATO boots will not be there as a fighting force. Maybe poland sends some on it's own. But not NATO.
Even the other China decoupling thing hasn't really happened seriously.