Pakistan misleading people on Indus Water Treaty

ajtr

Tihar Jail
Banned
Joined
Oct 2, 2009
Messages
12,038
Likes
723
This is how mis-information is spread among gullible pakistani awam.

Pakistan Water Front formed

Friday, March 12, 2010
By Mansoor Ahmad

LAHORE: India is building water projects on Jehlum, Chenab and Indus in violation of international treaties apart from building huge $120 billion storage capability (national river linking project) of 178 cubic KM water from north to south that has environmental repercussions.(The dams india is building is run-of-the river dams not the storage dams.secondly when the river linking project has been scrapped at the study level itself by terming it not feasible.Then what this group is smoking now.

Convener of the newly formed Pakistan Water Front Shahzad Malik stated this in a brief given to the farmers, media and civil society representatives.

He said the projects have been designed to deprive its neighbouring countries Pakistan, Bangladesh and China of their legitimate rights to the rivers that pass through Indian soil.(lol...I'm not aware of any river which flows from india to china.or is this guy really high on afghani drugs.this is height of spreading rumors and lies and mis-information

He said as far as Pakistan is concerned the Indian politicians have full backing of their trade and industry.

Shahzad said the Federation of Indian Commerce and Industry in its detailed advisory report on Pakistan had asked its government to use all means to control Pakistan including surprise military strikes, denial of air space rights to Pakistani aircrafts and stopping river water from going into Pakistan by building dams.

The report pointed out that water is a matter of life and death for Pakistan and the country could be brought to its knees by this tool.

"The FICCI is a two faced monster that supports Pakistan-India trade at public forums while advising its government to destroy Pakistan", he added.

He said Pakistani businessmen are now determined to defeat the nefarious designs of Indian businessmen and expose them to the world.

He said the PWF having blessings of the Pakistan Chamber of Commerce and Industry has been formed by the Lahore Chamber of Commerce and Industry that has deplored the anti-Pakistan stance adopted by FICCI.

The LCCI President Zafar Iqbal Chaudhry said PWF has been formed to mobilize the domestic and international opinion on the rights that Pakistan enjoys through internationally guaranteed Indus Water Treaty.

He said all stakeholders including farmers, media, and civil society representatives have been inducted in the PWF. The LCCI president distributed the FICCI report to the media and informed them that it was downloaded from FICCI website but after uproar in Pakistan it has now been withdrawn from the net.

The Pakistan Water Front, he added, had already sought the cooperation and guidance from all farmers associations, civil society and media.

He said unified line of action would be formulated so that the case of the country could be effectively pleaded at the international forums.

The LCCI President Zafar Iqbal Chaudhry said that after seeing the designs of the Indian businessmen the trade talks with India should be stopped forthwith.

He said trade could only be conducted with those that respect the legitimate rights of each other. Usurpers of basic water and human rights he added cannot be trusted trade partners.

Through a presentation given to the media, the LCCI made the point that Pakistan is on the brink of mass starvation as the process to turn it into a desert had begun because of a drastic cut in water availability from 5,000 cubic meters per capita in 1950s to 1,000 cubic meter in 2010 despite the fact that water availability per capita ranks last amongst Asian countries and Pakistan experiencing severe water stress.

Without water 20 million acres of otherwise fertile land would dry up in a week and tens of millions of people would starve.

No army, with bombs and shellfire could devastate as thoroughly as Pakistan could be devastated by India by cutting off river flows, the LCCI chief warned.(Rest of the article is just another rant and rhetoric)
Comments in blue are mine
 

ajtr

Tihar Jail
Banned
Joined
Oct 2, 2009
Messages
12,038
Likes
723
Political Fuss Over The Indus

The Indus Water Treaty is a triumph and must be worked into the Indo-Pakistan peace process to ensure stability and insure against climate change.

By B G Verghese

The Tribune, 24, 25 May, 2005

Political Fuss Over Indus-I

The Indus Water Treaty must rank among the triumphs of the United Nations system since it was signed in 1960. However, with President Musharraf having taken a U-turn on the ideological (“unfinished business”) aspect of the J&K question, does he want to demonstrate relentless pursuit of the “core” issue by charging India with threatening Pakistan’s lifeline by violating the Treaty and developing strategic capability to hurt it by drying up the Chenab and Jhelum or flooding them!

India’s rights on the three Western Rivers are clearly set out in the Treaty. All existing uses in J&K were protected. Over and beyond that, India was permitted to develop 1.34 m acres of additional irrigation in J&K, against which only 642,477 acres has been achieved. Further, India is allowed 3.60 MAF of storage, categorized sector-wise under the headings of general conservation, power and flood storage and by main and tributary rivers. India is well below the permissible limits in every sector and category of usage and has built practically no “storage” as opposed to run-of-the-river “pondage”.

The Treaty binds India to inform or consult Pakistan on planned withdrawals and works on the Western rivers and to ensure no harm or derogation of its water rights. There have been 27 occasions when such information has been passed or consultations organised and the record shows that Pakistan has raised objections in virtually every case, even with regard to micro-hydro plants. Though dressed up as design or engineering queries, the objective has been political and the motivation to delay if not deny progress that primarily benefits J&K.

India is entitled to almost the entire waters of the Sutlej, Beas and Ravi. Yet it releases over 3 MAF (mostly flood waters) down the Sutlej and Ravi to Pakistan on account of the Sutlej-Yamuna Link dispute and the fact that the Indira Gandhi (Rajasthan) Canal is yet to be completed.

Baglihar is a run-of-the-river peaking project on the Chenab, 110 km from the Pakistan border. It has an installed capacity of 450 MW and a gross storage of 396 million cubic metres of water of which the live pondage will be no more than 37.5 m cu m (or 46,570 acre-feet) which is to be returned to the river in strict accordance with Treaty stipulations. The balance is dead storage for trapping silt. Construction is well advanced and the first power unit should start generating by 2007. With the addition of more turbines and minimal additional works, Baglihar-II will subsequently generate another 450 MW during three or four monsoon months.

Pakistan was informed in 1992 that India planned to go ahead with Baglihar and work commenced in 2000. Objections were really pressed only recently and actually specified in January 2005. The six objections then listed variously related to pondage, gated spillways, under sluices and the level of the intake channel. But the punch line has been that the dam can store/release a sufficient quantum of water to dry up or flood the river in Pakistan for several days.

These fears are fanciful. The fallacy lies in adding dead storage to live pondage and assuming mala fide intent that would primarily, and first, adversely affect the Indian villages along the Chenab valley and the Salal Dam lower down. Indeed, any “flood waters” would dissipate before they reached the border. The argument that every dam can be used as a strategic weapon is perverse reasoning.

Pakistan insisted on resort to a Neutral Expert unless India agreed to suspend construction. However, the Treaty does not provide for a work-stoppage and India accordingly declined to do so, especially in view of the fact that it agreed to a temporary halt to construction of the Tulbul Project, which has since languished unresolved for 17 years.

The Jhelum was traditionally used for navigation and floating timber but the river has silted. The Tulbul Project was accordingly designed to retard the Jhelum flood within the banks of the Wulur Lake through which the river passes. Instead of emptying rapidly with the recession of the floods, a control structure at the Lake’s exit would retard depletion of a natural pondage of some 300,000 acre feet of water through October to May. This would reduce silt flows downstream to the benefit of both the Uri and Mangla projects in India and Pakistan and augment their power output. However, Pakistan argues that Tulbul would be a “storage dam” and is therefore barred by the Treaty.

Turn to Kishenganga/ Neelum, a tributary of the Jhelum. Rising near Gurez, the river flows through J&K and then crosses the LOC to enter POK as the Neelum before falling into the Jhelum near Muzaffarabad. The Indian Project envisages a 75 m high concrete dam at Gurez at about 8000 feet to store 140,000 MAF of water and divert some flows southwards through a 23 km tunnel into the Madmati Nala, which empties into the Wulur Lake through which the Jhelum flows. Given a head of about 600 m, an installed capacity of 330 MW is planned. The sizeable displacement and environmental impacts, however, raise sensitive issues that will have to be internally addressed.

India communicated its intention of going ahead with the Kishenganga project in June 1992 and Pakistan responded soon after, listing three objections. The first is that inter-tributary diversions are barred and that water drawn from a given tributary must be returned to that same river. The second is that existing Pakistani uses must be protected and India’s Kishenganga Project will deprive it of 27 per cent of the river’s natural flows, thereby doing injury to its existing 133,000 ha of irrigation in the Neelum Valley and a 900 MW Neelum-Jhelum hydro station on which construction is in progress at Nowshera. The third objection relates to certain design features.

The Indian response is that the Treaty unambiguously provides that “Where a plant is located on a tributary of the Jhelum on which Pakistan has an agricultural use or hydro-electric use, the water released below the plant may be delivered, if necessary, into another Tributary but only to the extent that the then existing agricultural use or hydro-electric use by Pakistan on the former Tributary would not be adversely affected”. This suggests that inter-tributary diversions in the Jhelum basin are permitted and that only “the then existing” agricultural and hydro-electric uses shall be protected.

Pakistan has to substantiate and not merely assert 133,000 ha of irrigation in the Neelum Valley. And how far has construction of the Nowshera hydro-electric plant proceeded and what are its specifications? Planned utilization would imply a future rather than an existing use. Would the same argument apply to a planned diversion by India on which work has recently commenced? In any event, the Neelum catchment below the Kishenganga dam river receives several influents that make the discharge at Nowshera many times larger than the mean flows at Gurez. The Indus Commissioners have decided on further meetings and site inspections. This will hopefully clarify issues.

Peace Promise of Indus-II

It has throughout been India’s position that it has scrupulously abided by the Indus Treaty and should any genuine problem be pointed out by Pakistan, it would be prepared to make suitable modifications. Yet India will need to build storages to utilise the irrigation potential permitted under the Treaty. J&K also has considerable hydro potential that should be exploited for the benefit of the State and the country as a whole. These will stimulate development and employment in J&K and help open up remote areas by providing connectivity.

The Indus Commission may undertake at the request of either Commissioner a tour of inspection of such works or sites as may be considered necessary for ascertaining relevant facts. This provision might appropriately be invoked as developments taking place or planned in the Northern Areas (NA) and POK require better understanding.

Bitter inter-provincial discords have come in the way of Pakistan building further Indus storages. The Kalabagh dam (gross storage of 7.9 MAF) has been stalled for years by NWFP and Sind. A run-of-the-river Ghazi Barotha hydro project came on stream in June 2004, but the Bhasha-Daimer storage dam on the Chitral-NA border has run into opposition at the feasibility stage.

The Mangla dam on the Jhelum had a gross storage of 4.5 MAF but heavy siltation has reduced its capacity. Pakistan accordingly contracted a Chinese firm in June 2004 to raise the height of the dam by 30 feet to store an additional 2.88 MAF of water. This will also yield 12 per cent more energy. The project will displace 44,000 persons and is due to be completed by September 2007.

Failure to pay adequate compensation and provide alternative connectivity for villagers displaced and divided by the Mangla lake in the 1960s led to a mass exodus of marginalized Mirpuris to the UK. Divided families on the Indian side must now hope that the resettlement and compensation package this time around does not lead to a further exodus.

What has triggered far greater anxiety is the investigation by Pakistan’s WAPDA of a giant dam on the Indus at Katzara, downstream of Skardu. According to the Jang newspaper and its English stable-mate, The News, the 35 MAF Skardu Dam is likely to submerge the entire Skardu bowl and Shigar Valley leading up to K2, displacing a population of around 300,000. Fatehullah Khan, former Chairman of the Indus River System Authority (IRSA), and the chair of WAPDA’s Technical Committee on Water Resources, reportedly believe that the Skardu project could be more than a substitute for the Kalabagh and Bhasha dams and an answer to Pakistan’s long term water requirements.

However, this will all but drown and obliterate the finest in Balti culture and heritage and displace possibly half the Balti population in the NA. This cannot be good news for the Indian Baltis in Kargil district. The Balwaristan nationalists are up in arms as are Pakistani conservationists and sections of the security community who fear the dam would submerge strategic roads, airfields and military supply lines in the region.

The Skardu Dam may never move beyond the drawing board. But India should want to know more about it – and other POK/NA projects - and could seek the necessary information and site visits if possible to ascertain the facts and assess the situation. Where would these 300,000 Baltis go? Such questions need to be asked and answered, whether through the Indus Treaty mechanism or otherwise. There has already been much demographic change in the politically closed Northern Areas to the detriment of the local Shia, Ismaili and Sufi communities.

There is another and more rational way for Pakistan to seek water security. It finds mention in the Indus Treaty itself. Article VII on Future Cooperation points to a “common interest in the optimum development of the Rivers” and calls upon both sides “to cooperate, by mutual consent, to the fullest possible extent ….in undertaking engineering works in the Rivers”. The 1960 Treaty has served its purpose but leaves behind a possibly large untapped potential in the upper catchments of the three Western Rivers that are allocated to Pakistan but are under Indian control.

This potential needs to be thoroughly surveyed and could thereafter be harnessed through joint investment, construction, management and control. Pakistan cannot continue to deny India its limited entitlement in the Western rivers and also freeze all further development if it wants to grasp what could be a far larger prize by way of additional storage, flood moderation and hydro-power which both could share. India too could benefit from cooperative drainage arrangements in the middle and lower Indus basins. Were this to happen, Pakistan would not have even to think of grotesque schemes such as the Skardu dam that spells doom to a proud civilization.

Article XII of the Treaty provides that its provisions “may from time to time be modified by a duly ratified Treaty concluded for that purpose between the two Governments”. Thus an Indus-II could be constructed on the foundations of Indus-I.

Equally pertinent is the fact that, with climate change, glaciers are in retreat both in the Karakoram, one of the most glaciated regions in the world that has the largest glaciers outside Antarctica, as well as on the Tibetan Plateau, which is where the Indus and Sutlej rise. The Plateau is underlain by “tjale” or permafrost that shows signs of thawing. This suggests that enhanced glacier melt and thawing permafrost could increase flows in the Indus basin for some decades before declining sharply over the ensuing decades as the body of ice shrinks. This may be accompanied by shifts in rainfall patterns with a possibility of episodic bursts of precipitation in some areas. The uncertainty underlines the need for maximizing conservation storage within the limits of prudence and sustainability. Climate change will not respect boundaries and both Pakistan and Northwest India, as wards of the Indus, therefore have a common interest in concerting action for the common good.

Indus-II needs to be fed into the current peace process as a means both of defusing current political strains over Indus-I and insuring against climate change? It could reinforce the basis for a lasting solution to the J&K question by helping transform relationships across the LOC and reinventing it as a bridge rather than merely as a boundary-in-the-making.
 

ajtr

Tihar Jail
Banned
Joined
Oct 2, 2009
Messages
12,038
Likes
723
Water Scenario: Past, Present and Future of Pakistan

Of all the major problems, water crisis is the one that lies at the heart of our survival and that of our planet. Experts project that the global water crisis will reach unprecedented levels in the years ahead in many parts of the developing world. The years ahead predict the threat of looming water

wars between countries. According to figures published by the United Nations & other international organizations, 1.1bn people are without a sufficient access to water, and 2.4bn people have to live without adequate sanitation. Under current trends, the prognosis is that about 3bn people of a population of 8.5bn will suffer from water shortage by 2025. 83% of them will live in developing countries, mostly in rural areas where even today sometimes only 20% of the populations have access to a sufficient water supply. Fresh drinking water is not only a need of human beings, but equally important for the animals and agriculture throughout the world. This acute water shortage will be responsible in spreading diseases as contaminated water is the sole cause of nearly 80% infectious diseases. Hence the world has to take serious and concrete measures in order to avoid the water crisis in the years to come.


Situation of Water in Paksitan:

Water plays an immensely important role in the economy of Pakistan which primarily depends on Agriculture accounting for 24 per cent of the national GDP, 48 per cent employment and 70 per cent of country's exports. Per capita availability of surface water in Pakistan is gradually dwindling from 5300 cubic meter in 1951 to 1000 cubic meters in 2005 and is projected to hit less than 1000 cubic meters making Pakistan a water short country as per the world standards. Pakistan has a total of 77 million acres of land suitable for agriculture out of which 54 million acres (71per cent) is already cultivated. The remaining 23 million acres (29 per cent) can become productive if water is made available for irrigation. Irrigation in Pakistan mainly depends upon Indus river which has an average annual flow of 138 to 145 MAF (Million Acre Feet). Some experts calculate this quantity as low as 123.5 MAF. Average water flow downstream Kotri since 1977 has been 35 MAF while Sindh's estimates indicate that roughly 10 MAF is required to flow to the sea. The Indus water quantity, after deducting 10 MAF required to flow downstream Kotri and 5 MAF for headwater uses comes to about 20 MAF which the Federal Government and some experts feel can be stored during floods and used during the lean period. The construction of reservoirs, is thus a badly needed and viable proposition especially in view of the fact that the existing major reservoirs (Chashma, Mangla and Tarbela) are silting up and have already lost 25 per cent of their total capacity.

Indus Water Treaty 1960:

After Independence, problems between the two countries arose over the distribution of water. Rivers flow into Pakistan territory from India. On April 1, 1948, India stopped the supply of water to Pakistan from every canal flowing from India to Pakistan. Pakistan protested and India finally agreed on an interim agreement on May 4, 1948. This agreement was not a permanent solution; therefore, Pakistan approached the World Bank in 1952 to help settle the problem permanently. It was finally in Ayub Khan's regime that an agreement was signed between India and Pakistan in September 1960. This agreement is known as the “Indus Water Treaty”. This treaty divided the use of rivers and canals between the two countries. Pakistan obtained exclusive rights for the three western rivers, namely Indus, Jehlum and Chenab. And India retained rights to the three eastern rivers, namely Ravi, Beas and Sutluj. The treaty also guaranteed ten years of uninterrupted water supply. During this period Pakistan was to build huge dams, financed partly by long-term World Bank loans and compensation money from India. Three multipurpose dams, Warsak, Mangla and Tarbela were built. A system of eight link canals was also built, and the remodeling of existing canals was carried out. Five barrages and a gated siphon were also constructed under this treaty. This treaty of 1960 was never beneficial to Pakistan as it clearly showed the Indian ascendancy. Even after this agreement, many water-related issues between the two countries have come to fore from time to time, especially with regard to the construction of some controversial dams by India such as Sallal Dam, Wullar Barrage, Baglihar Dam and now Kishanganga dam.

Indian Violations: Baglihar Hydroelectric Power Project and Kishanganga Dam

The Baglihar Hydroelectric Power Project on the Chenab River (Chenab was allocated to Pakistan according to the 1960 Treaty) in the southern Doda district of the Indian administered state of Jammu and Kashmir was conceived in 1992, approved in 1996 and its construction began in 1999 with an estimated cost of USD $1 billion. Instead of immediate questioning and pressurizing India to stop the construction of the controversial Baglihar dam Pakistani government reacted very late and clumsily. Pakistan started talks with India in 2002, in order to convince India to change the design of the dam but to no avail. The talks failed and Pakistan raised the issue of the illegal construction of baglihar with the World Bank in 2005. Pakistan raised 4 major concerns and reservations related to the construction of Baglihar dam, firstly its height, secondly its capacity of storing water, thirdly installing the gated control of spillway and fourthly that this project is in violation to the Indus Water Treaty of 1960. The World Bank nominated Professor Raymond Lafitte, a Swiss national, civil engineer and professor at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Lausanne, as a neutral expert to make a finding on a difference between the two governments concerning the construction of the Baglihar project. Mr. Lafitte declared his final verdict on February 12, 2007 in which he upheld some minor objections of Pakistan. The report acknowledged India's right to construct 'gated spillways' under Indus water treaty 1960.The report allowed pondage of 32.58 MCM as against India's demand for 38 MCM. The report also recommended to reduce the height of freeboard from 4.5 m to 3.0 m. However he rejected Pakistani objections on height and gated control of spillway declaring these were conforming to engineering norms of the day. Experts projected that this Baglihar Dam would decrease 8000 cusecs of water daily to Pakistan which in totality is about 29 lakh 20 thousands cusecs an year and will badly hit the agriculture sector of Punjab in particular.

The Kishanganga dam is located 160 km upstream from Muzaffarabad and involves the diversion of Kishanganga River (called the Neelum River in Pakistan) to a tributary named Bunar Madumati Nullah of Jhelum near Bunkot. Experts say that the Kishanganga project (to be build across the Jehlum river) could reduce Pakistan’s total water availability from an estimated 154 MAF to about 140 MAF per year. It would also leave significant portion of the Mangla Dam’s storage capacity unutilised. It is also feared that the diversion would result in an ecological disaster for the area. In water-related issues, Pakistan has always been on the losing end. By being engaged in negotiations with Pakistan, India secures sufficient time to continue the unnoticed construction of its controversial dams. For that reason India balks at the indulgence of third party in all water-related issues between both the countries and instead it insists on bilateral talks. India is constructing more than 50 dams on the Indus and Jehlum and 7 other dams other than Baglihar on the Chenab river. By constructing one after another controversial dams, India is causing trouble for Pakistan which is already confronting a severe water crisis.

Diamer-Bhasha dam: A step forward

The President of Pakistan during his national address on 17 January 2006 announced the decision of Government to construct 5 multi-purpose storages in the country during next 10 -12 years. Diamer Basha Dam Project will be undertaken in the first phase. Work on the project started after the ground-breaking ceremony by the President of Pakistan. The Executive Committee of the National Economic Council has approved the construction of Diamer-Bhasha dam. It is revealed that 4500 MW of electricity would be generated through the dam. The construction work will be completed in seven years with the cost of $12.6 billions, & will have the capacity to store 8.1 million acre feet water. The project is scheduled to be completed within the prescribed time frame in 2016.

Disharmony and reservations

It is lamentable that once Pakistan was among the top wheat producing countries of the world but today it has to import wheat to cater the needs of its people. Wheat crop needs plenty of water while in winter wheat crop is supplied water from dams. It is unfortunate, rather criminal negligence, that our successive governments have not been able to build any major dam after Mangla and Tarbela whose storage capacity is shrinking due to silt by each passing day. How ironic it is that our politicians are quick to solve the Kalabagh dam by putting off this project for indefinite period which is equivalent to abandoning the project. Our politicians are of the view that Kalabagh dam is detrimental to our federation. It is a bitter reality that by being lazy to find out a suitable substitute to Kalabagh Dam for many decades, we have reached a situation where not one or two but a series of dams can save our lands from turning into deserts. It is true that India is going ahead with controversial dams and is interfering with our waters, showing utter disregard to the provisions of the Indus Water Treaty. However, raising a great hue and cry over India’s unjust construction of dams can hardly persuade New Delhi to change its mind. Therefore, the need of the hour is to make the optimal use of our waters by making a number of dams on emergency basis. Dr. Abdul Qadeer Khan once said that the scarcity of water will pose a greater threat than the nuclear capability of the enemy . Therefore drastic measures should be taken to conserve each and every drop of water available not only think of ourselves but also for our generations to come.

How to improve the situation?

Population of Pakistan today is around more than 160 million and it is expected to rise to 208 million by 2025. This growth in population will significantly increase the demand for food and fibre, with both land and water resources are declining day by day. Pakistan’s food import bill is rising on account of population and output is declining as a result of reduced water availability. However it is appreciable that the water sector had been given the highest priority in the budget allocation of 2007-08 with an allocation of Rs 70.91 billion, which was 24 percent higher than the preceding year budget allocation. Elected political leadership in Pakistan has been able to develop consensus on a number of extremely complex and altercated issues such as the 1973 Constitution and 1991 Water Accord. Therefore a serious and sincere effort by politicians can help resolving all water related disputes and remove the doubts & reservations put forward by provinces. Pakistan's political leadership needs to activate constitutional conflicts resolution mechanisms such as the Council of Common Interests (CCI). To overcome water shortage crisis, the solution lies in the proper water management at watershed, reservoirs, conveyance system i. e, at canals and distributaries level as well as watercourses and farm application levelling of open channels and use of pipes to transport water for reducing seepage losses. To prepare cemented water beds at the bottom of the base. Building of more dams in the country is also good solution to solve the problem of water shortage. Pakistanis need the will, dedication, strength and the unity in order to resolve the water crisis in Pakistan.
 

ajtr

Tihar Jail
Banned
Joined
Oct 2, 2009
Messages
12,038
Likes
723
Pakistan for new measures to energise Indus Treaty

NEW DELHI: Affirming its commitment to the Indus Water Treaty (IWT), Pakistan has sought measures to make the mechanism more effective by outlining its concerns, as well as proposing measures that would reduce distrust between the two countries.

In a non-paper submitted to India, Pakistan has said construction of projects on the three western rivers should be undertaken only after objections are amicably resolved.(India has been more than magnanimous and generous with pakistan and bore the sever brunt of such approach in Salal, Uri, Tulbul etc. That approach would work with a civilized country, but not with a difficult pakistan whose sole aim is to destroy India) It also called upon India to submit full and timely information about new power plants and irrigation works on these rivers.

Islamabad has also suggested joint water shed management and joint commissioning of environmental studies that would address emerging concerns arising from reduced flows.

Of the six rivers forming part of the IWT, Pakistan has most rights of usage on the three western rivers, while India enjoys similar rights on the three eastern rivers.

Both nations have been sparring over India constructing “run of the river” projects on the western rivers, which, Pakistan alleges, contributes to water scarcity. On the other hand, India advises Pakistan to improve its water management and claims any drop in the flow of waters is also because of the overall pattern of receding glaciers and climate change. Pakistan has also drawn attention to “additional concerns,” such as deforestation and pollution and India's non-responsiveness to Pakistan's concerns raised in the Indus Water Commission. Islamabad also believes New Delhi has fallen short in meeting the three requirements listed under the IWT — details of new projects six months before their commencement, diversion for storage and farm purposes from western rivers and providing details about ancillary projects.(It appears from the above that the intention of Pakistan is to make it appear that the present IWT has broken down in most areas. It also wants another Treaty, under international intervention, with solid guarantees to Pakistan with Pakistan having unlimited access to all parts of the riverine systems even in the upper riparian country and in which Pakistan will have overriding authority on the usage by the upper riparian.)
 

ajtr

Tihar Jail
Banned
Joined
Oct 2, 2009
Messages
12,038
Likes
723
Water crisis in Pakistan agriculture

How to manage scientificially?

By DR. S. M. ALAM, M. A. KHAN AND DR. R. ANSARI.
Nuclear Institute of Agriculture, Tandojam, Pakistan
Jul 03 - 09, 2000

Water is an important component of life. Allah has created every moving (living) creature from water (Surah 24, An-Nur, Ayet 45). We need about 15 glasses of water daily and human body contains about 60% of water. Without food we can survive for nearly 80 days, but only a few days without water. Fresh water for human and agriculture use is only 0.008 % on the earth. A shortage of fresh water is probably going to be most serious resource problem the world will face after a few years from now. As with food, the problem of water is not one of the global shortage, but one of uneven distribution. Three-quarters of the fresh water on the planet is held in the polar icecaps and glaciers and so is unavailable for use. Where water is plentiful, people are frequently few, and vice versa. The most water- rich country in terms of the run-off from rain-fall to population is Iceland, with more than 500,000 cubic meters per person per year; the most water- poor is Egypt, with just 0.02 cubic meters. Water is absolutely essential for plant life. Plants use more water than any other substances they absorb. The function of soil moisture in plant growth is very important. Excessive quantity of water in soil inhibits plant growth and makes drainage essential. When soil moisture is not enough drought, condition prevails leading to ultimate death of plants.

Many parts of the world are confronted with water scarcity, for both irrigation and human needs. Some 70 per cent of the water, people use goes to irrigation. Since 1950, the amount of irrigated land has tripled, and one-third of the world's food is grown on it. Without that increase, the world might now be starving. The great controversies over distribution of river water and construction of reservoirs, dams, barrages and link canals are very common among the various countries of the world. Providing water for irrigation and for cities will require damming more rivers, flooding more valleys, carrying out more giant water engineering schemes. Such projects are often hugely expensive and not only in economic terms. Large dams frequently involve massive changes in the use of land. That means not only the displacement of people from their homes but the loss of farm land, disturbance to water tables, build-up of silt, and other environmental costs. Of course dams also produce water for irrigation and for generating hydroelectricity, controlling floods, producing fish and even providing recreational facilities but serious attempts to measure the benefits from dams suggest that the gains are often smaller than the costs.

The disputes over the distribution of river waters are very common in the human society . Water resources often cross national boundaries, making it very easy for one country to 'steal' the water that should be delivered to another. No-one can predict which of several points of tension will result in armed conflict, but it is easy to list some candidates. They include, Threats to dam the upper Blue and White Nile; The diversion of water from the Sea of Galilee into Israel's National Water Carriers the Gabcikovo dam on the Danube in Slovakia; the damming of the upper reaches of the Tigris and Euphrates by Turkey and the Euphrates by Syria, distribution of water of river Ganges between Bangladesh and India, construction of dam on river Kavari between two southern provinces of India. The distribution of water's shares of Indus had been a source of conflict between India and Pakistan, but in 1959 an agreement was reached whereby the waters would be shared. These are the few examples of this scenario. All over the world, the lower riparians on rivers are usually complaining against the upper riparians for not giving their due share of water, but human nature prevails every where and results in disturbed situation. While there is no way of predicting whether these pressure points—or any of the other dozen situations around the world—will erupt into war, it is easy to see that control over water will come to be seen as a much more important strategic issue both between countries and within them.

The arid and semi-arid regions of the world have to depend on river water sources for their agriculture i.e. mainly on artificial canal irrigation system. The source of main water in Pakistan is canal irrigation system. The Indus valley, comprising the planes of Punjab and Sindh is mainly dependent on the water of river Indus and its tributaries, as the area is mostly arid on the basis of annual precipitation. The river Indus is the life line for Pakistan's agriculture. The nearly 450,000 sq.m. Himalayan watershed of Indus and its tributaries includes the world's biggest glaciers outside the polar regions. The Indus river rises from a lake named Manasarowar in southwestern Tibet at an altitude of 16,000 ft or 4,900 m and flows in a north westerly direction along the slopes of the Himalayas, travelling a distance of about 1500 miles) and crossing at north -west Jammu and Kashmir from the southwest. In west Kashmir it flows through a defile 13,000 ft deep. The river Indus is a great trans-Himalayan river of south Asia and one of the longest rivers of the world having a length of 18,00 miles( 2,900 km).The glaciers of Siachin (75 km), Baltro (62 km), Hispar (53), Biafo (50km), Shyok, Shingar, Hunza, Gilgit, Astor. These mighty glaciers and other streams with 30 tributaries constitutes a surface area of 1220 sq kms (471 sq miles ) carry snow melt waters to the Indus from the main Hamalayan range, the Karakoram range, the Nanga Parbat, the Kohistan ranges etc mostly in summer season . The river crosses the western Kashmir border and then turns south and southwest to enter Pakistan. In Pakistan, it emerges from the mountain highlands flows as a rapid stream between the Swat and Hunza regions and proceeds onwards through North- West Frontier region and crosses the salt range to enter semi-arid Punjab plains where it is joined by the Panjnad (near Mithankot). The Indus receives its most notable tributaries from the Punjab to the eastern sides, including Jhelum, Chenab, Ravi, and Sutlaj rivers. After receiving the waters of the Punjab rivers . Shifting to the south-west, the Indus becomes much wider and enters into the Sindh region near Kashmoor and then flows to a slow speed, depositing large quantities of silt along its course. Indus begins its deltaic stage (3,000 sq.m ) and breaks into distributaries that reach the Arabian sea at various points southeast of Karachi.

Water resources system is the life line for Pakistan. It is a source of life and energy. It is the most critical factor of production in Pakistan's agriculture. To increase agricultural production, land is not a limiting factor as there is more cultivable land available that can ever be properly irrigated. It is a universal solvent and cleanser. It has a very economic value, which is at a constant rise with population. Pakistan is arid to semi-arid country, located between the longitude 61° east to 76° east and between latitude 23° north to 37° north. Total area of Pakistan is 79.61 million hectares. Population of the country is about 150 million and nearly 75 percent it lives in the rural areas. Agriculture is the main stay of Pakistan's economy, contributing 35 percent to the gross domestic product and providing 60 percent of the labour force. Moreover, nearly 60 percent of the total export of the country originates from agriculture. Total annual cropped is about 19.72 million hectares. Out of which, 15.3 million hectares are irrigated areas, about 75 % (11.4 mha.) is irrigated through canals, l9 % (2.9 mha.) through tube wells 2 % (0.3 mha.) through wells and remaining 4 %(0.4 mha.) through tanks and other sources. Major crops grown are wheat, rice, cotton, maize and sugarcane which together make about 63 percent of the total cropped area. Production of three important crops. namely rice, cotton and sugarcane as well as 90 percent of wheat and most of maize is virtually confined to irrigated areas. The climate of the country is favourable for two crop's season under irrigated during the year.

In Pakistan, the total water supplies available to agriculture come from three sources rainfall, surface water from the River Indus and its tributaries, and the ground water, and also from sewage water and sea water. The mean annual rainfall varies from less than 100 mm in Sindh to more than 1000 mm in the foot-hills and northern mountains with an average of about 400 mm. About 60% of this rain comes during the monsoon season (July through September). Much of the summer rains are not available for crop production due to rapid run-off because of torrential showers. At other occasions, rain may be so light that the precipitation evaporates before the water can penetrate into the root zone. However, the contribution of rain to crops in the irrigated areas of Indus Basin is estimated at about 1650 thousand hectares meter. Thus 10 mm of rain water provides 100 cubic meter of water per hectare. Rainfall alone is inadequate to sustain more than a very low level of agricultural production in the semi-arid conditions which prevail over most of Pakistan. Ground water is the second major source for irrigation. The seepage through rainfall, rivers and vast canal network has created a large and readily manageable acquirer underlying the Indus basin. The total recharge to the groundwater system of the Indus Basin has been estimated at 56 MAF per annum. Presently, the ground water is being developed canal commands of Indus plain for the purpose of irrigation on the large scale and is of the order of 44 MAF per annum . There is a huge source of highly saline sea water along the 1,050 km coast of Pakistan along the Arabian sea, but it cannot be used either for drinking or irrigation unless desalinized. Some palm and coconut trees can be grown in coastal belt using saline water. With the extension of big cities and towns the quality of sewage water is increasing considerably. It is mostly used for the production of high value crops like vegetables, fodder, oil palm, coconut etc in the vicinity of cities and towns. However, there is a common belief that the vegetables raised from sewage water are not safe for consumption from hygienic point of view. Nevertheless, there is potential for treating the sewage water for recycling or using it for irrigation purposes as is being done in many other countries.

Irrigation system of Pakistan has been developed from the Indus waters more than hundred years ago and is now the largest integrated irrigation system in the world. The flow of Indus river system is the prime source of surface water resources of the country. It covers gross area of 16 million hectares of which 88 per cent is culturable. It has 48 principle canals, emerging out of 20 river diversion structures. Many of the canals are even large by world standard; 15 of them having capacities of over 280 cubic meter per second. The cumulative operating capacity of these canals is 7323 cubic meters per second and their annual conveyance capacity is 331 billion cubic meter. These canals traverse about 61,000 kilometers to command the 15.50 million hectares of culturable area through 90000 watercourses and filled channels numbering 1,07,000. Each watercourse serves about 160 hectares of land on the average. In addition, there are 23 barrages, 45 main canals, 12 huge inter river link canals transferring bulk water supplies from the western rivers to the eastern rivers.

Presently, Pakistan irrigation system encompasses two major dams such as (I) Mangla - The main technical features of this dam is as: World's third largest earth filled dam, built on river Jhelum; Height-380 ft. above river bed; Length 10300 ft. Gross water storage capicity-5.88 MAF, also used for Power generation; Live storage capacity -538 MAF; .Main spillway capacity -870,000 cusecs; Emergency spillway capacity 230,000 cusecs; Lake area- l00sq.miles, (II) Terbela- The main feature of this is as: The world largest earth and rock - filled dam on one of the world's most important river the Indus; Height- 485ft. above river bed; Length 9000 ft; gross storage capicity ,11.3 MAF; Live storage capacity- 9.4 MAF; service spillway capacity 6,50000 cusecs; Auxiliary spillway capicity- 840,000 cusecs; Lake area- 100 sq. miles. ,The Terbela dam is known as the best hydel power station in Pakistan having a capacity of generating 3,478 MW of electricity. The Chashma is the biggest reservoir which help in the irrigation of millions of hectares of agricultural lands.

In addition to the grand canal system, there are about 185,000 private tube wells with average capacity of 30 liters per second and about l5000 public tube wells of capacity of 60 to 120 liters per second. At present these tube wells pump about 41 billion cubic meters water and provide 30 per cent of the total irrigation water to exclusively more than two million hectares in addition to supplementing some canal fed areas. Water available at the farm gate after accounting farm losses and run-offs estimated that about 60% of water which comes to 35 MAF is lost during conveyance through canals, distributaries and water courses and also goes to Arabian sea at Karachi annually which is a huge national waste. This water must be harnessed if our posterity have to be saved from feminine like situation.

Total available water resources of the country from the rivers as well as fresh ground water come to 160 million acre feet (136 MAF from rivers i.e 94 MAF from Indus; 20 MAF from Jhelum and 26 MAF from Chenab ;and 24 MAF from fresh ground water sources). Out of this, 101.4 MAF reaches at the modules or the starting points of the watercourses, after deducting losses of the system, i. e seepage from the canal and distributaries, 35 MAF water was being wasted into the sea during flood season every year. Another available water 45 per cent is lost due to seepage from the water courses, which in absolute terms is 45.6 MAF, thus total water reaching at the farm gate remains about 56 MAF. About 15 percent additional water is lost due to improper irrigation applications, which in absolute terms is 8.4 MAF. The total requirement of the country in the year 2000 is estimated to be 78.7 MAF, which means that there is a shortage of 22.9 MAF at the farm gate for which there seems to be no supplementary source at present. Pakistan needed 170 million acre feet of additional water in future to meet irrigation and other requirements of the people. This was not possible unless new storage dams were built. India was planning to build Salal dam on the Chenab river and diverting the Indus river water from the Wooler lake in occupied Kashmir.

Conclusion

To overcome water shortage crisis, the solution lies in the proper water management at watershed, reservoirs, conveyance system i. e, at canals and distributaries level as well as watercourses and farm application levelling of open channels and use of pipes to transport water for reducing seepage losses. To prepare cemented water beds at the bottom of the base. Building of more dams in the country is also good solution to solve the problem of water shortage. Million of acre feet of valuable water which was flowing into the sea every year could be stored for irrigation at a time when it was needed the most. We should build the Kalabagh dam for the betterment of the country from acute water shortage in future. However, officials of each province should be consulted for the construction as well as for equal share and distribution of water. It is also suggested that if any province was prepared some water out of his own share to other provinces it should be accepted as a gesture of good will and not as a matter of right . The Kalabagh dam project should be supplemented with supportive irrigation projects in Balochistan, Sindh, Cholistan and the NWFP to take the benefits of additional water available from the Kalabagh reservoirs to take their respective areas. Experts say that it was the most researched and investigated project of the world approved by the world top irrigation and dam experts on which Rs.1 billion had been spent so far on investigation. Recently, parts of Balochistan, Cholistan and some parts of Sindh had experienced drought and famine like condition a few months back where a number of casualties had been taken place besides the loss of 40% of cattle. The politicians have to use their wisdom rather than emotion to come to a decision in the country's national interest and the people in the issue of building as many as reservoirs as possible in the minimum possible time, making real and actual policy involving the water crisis, collection of rainwater in depression. Water source development needs to be accorded due priority in the rain- fed areas where small or mini dams can be constructed in proximity to the commended area.

The crisis of water shortage for irrigation can only be over come and proper individual farmer for water management practices. Some of the points to be kept in mind are as: evaluation of available water resources, development and improvement of existing irrigation systems, judicious and efficient use of available irrigation water, control of evaporation from water surface in reservoirs and canals conjunctive use of surface and ground water, evaluation of water requirement of various crops, knowledge of modern techniques of crop and water management, active participation of farmers in water users association, better understanding between government and farmers community. The tail end farmers on a watercourse do not receive their due share. This is due to prevailing technological and socio- political conditions. This unreliability of water supply at the tail ends of canals and watercourses due to the situation and distribuatries and the presence of influential people at the head of canals seriously affects the morale and production of the tail end farmers. Reliability and equity of water distribution is imperative to provide opportunities to all farmers in a canal command area to increase crop production. Massive education in proper use of water along with modern techniques of land leveling can save substantial quantum of water. To obtain the best results, effective co-ordinations between the departments of irrigation and agriculture is the cardinal point for success. Let we Pakistani pray to Almighty Allah in a true sense for the betterment of Agriculture and for the rainfall to submerge our valuable dried lands for the cause of human remedy.
 

ajtr

Tihar Jail
Banned
Joined
Oct 2, 2009
Messages
12,038
Likes
723
Pakistan Flood Commissioner observed in a paper presentation in the 3rd International Conference on Water Resources and Arid Environments (2008) and the 1st Arab Water Forum

Of the 145 MAF of water that enters the Indus Basin annually 104 MAF is
diverted for irrigation at the canal heads. It is estimated that about 35% of the
water is lost in transit from canals to fields and 25% because of inefficient
irrigation techniques. With the continuing increase in population at the current
rate of 2.7 %, there is a need to optimize the water resources management:
irrigation efficiencies, optimization of consumptive uses, amending cropping
patterns compatible with agro-ecological zones, harnessing of hill torrents and
harvesting rain-fed areas. This is also essential to stop the per capita availability
of water from falling below the minimum required threshold of 1000 cubic meter
capita per annum which will lead to Pakistan falling into the category of water
scarce countries. Hence availability of surface water is also an issue that poses a
considerable threat to the resource base-the environment. The continued
abstraction of groundwater particularly through over-pumping has led to the
depletion of the water table in many areas. This problem has become more acute
in recent years due to the continued and extended drought cycle being suffered
by Pakistan.

SO they know that they are wasting 60% due to inefficient utilisations. Then he laments that loss of water from eastern rivers aggravates the situation (since out of 29MAF only 8 MAF flows that too flood flows) . They need to energise their IBIS rather than asking India to stop using what is its due share.

Indus Basin water flows are seasonal and largely depends on glacial melts and monsoon. So efficient untilisation could only be the answer.
Flood Commissioner also says that water availability has suffered due to draughut like situation in pk since 2001.Should he not blame weather god rather than IN?

The water availability has not largely diminished in so far as water entering PK is concerned.As per data given by IN for Avg Annual Flow

Eastern Rivers 33MAF
Western Rivers 145MAF
Total 168MAF

At the time of partition eastern punjab irrigation sys was not so developed and almost all waters flowed to pk. That eastern waters could be used only after construction of B-N dams resulting in harit kranti.
IN is entitled to use waters ( ICA in acres) but restricted till until India can
release water from the conservation storage as defined in Annexure E
Name of the river entitled Restricted
The Indus 70,000 70,000
The Jhelum 4,00,000 1,50,000
The Chenab 2,31,000 50,000
TOTAL 7,01,000 2,70,000



Also storage and power storage capacity that IN can do is restricted (in MAF)
Storage Power storage Flood Storage

Indus 0.25 0.15 Nil
Jhelum 0.25 0.50 0.75
Jhelum Main nil nil As in Para 9 Ann E
chenab 0.50 0.60 nil
chenab main nil 0.60 nil

power storage capacity can be increased on chenab provided equal reduction is offered on jhelum and chenab main.
As one can see actual utilisation by IN is much less than entitlement of waters on western rivers.PK is still getting about 135-145 MAF out of western rivers.Seasonal variations on Indus system due to factors mentioned earlier is between 120MAF to 30MAF ( pk Flood Commissioner). PK has not permitted IN to build storage capacity to regulate flow of water on western rivers esp. Indus. This could have helped pk in ensuring adequate flow during lean season.But they have their own fears.


Now as of 1947 eastern parts of punjab could not use waters of indus river system due to underdeveloped canal system.And due to partition major headworks which fed water to IBIS in western punjab fell in IN i.e. Madhopur on Ravi river and the other at Ferozepur on Sutlej river. After expiry of Standstill agreement IN stopped release of water from these two headworks in 1948 and pk could do nothing. Thereafter IWT was entered into after protracted neogiation till 1960. IN paid pound sterling 62060000 for replacement works of waters of eastern rivers. After transition period pk has no claim on eastern rivers.

See the IBIS in pk as per flood commissioner






According to initial estimates of available supplies both by IN and pk as submitted during treaty negotiations is 119MAF/118 MAF at the time of negotiations. The present available supplies that enters pk below RIM in indus system is about 145 MAF. So clearly there is no reduction but general increase in availability of waters in Indus system flowing to pk.This is accentuated by pk by raising protracted objections on all projects. In fact it had raised objections on B-N dams also to which it has no rights as per IWT.

Of course , things have changed in recent years and IN has developed or is in the process of developing several dams and it has financial muscle ( also armed forces muscle) to do this. Whereas pk still does not have enough strength to utilise its share of water properly or efficiently. So it shows IN as guilty party doing injustice to pk. Let us not forget that being upper riparian state IN could have laid claims to most of the waters of western rivers since canal works were not developed for eastern parts even though there was enough potential. In 1948 pk was not in a position to enforce itsWILL ( nor it has now) but IN choose to be a benevolent big brother to keep ever elusive peace. Now also pk is counterpoising water for terror solution. This is nothing but sheer blackmail and would not work. This also goes to show that IWT has given pk more than enough and if pk has to live with dignity it has to abide by IWT.

Now it would be clear to manjgu that supplies available in western rivers is more than three time of that of eastern rivers and India is not able to draw enough waters for agriculture use from western rivers even today.Water availability for pk has not decreased beyond seasonal variations (accounted for). The reduction is due to 60% water being wasted and due to proliferating populations. These factors are well known to them yet blame has to be laid at the door of IN so that public do not realise follies of their rulers.

pk can negotiate IWT at their own peril that is why they are using terms like energise or spirit, which means IN should give alms to them. They are essentially begging for waters.However IN should offer to build more storage capacity on western Indus system to manage flood waters.


**chaanakya at BR
 

ajtr

Tihar Jail
Banned
Joined
Oct 2, 2009
Messages
12,038
Likes
723
Liquid jihad: Water lies to boost dampened spirits

NEW DELHI: It is clearly terror on the minds of Pakistan-based jihadi leaders Hafiz Saeed and Syed Salahuddin each time they try to whip up

passions back home against India for “diverting the waters of Pakistani rivers.”

According to sources in the security establishment, the emotive issue of water-sharing may be exploited in the coming days to encourage more Pakistanis to infiltrate into Kashmir and join jihadi terror against India. It is against this light that the threat perception in 2010 is rated very high.

The assessment here is that with the water issue certain to touch a chord with every Pakistani, the terror outfits across the border are now using it as a potential motivation to draft more and more Pakistanis into jihad. The hidden subversive agenda is obvious, considering that Islamabad has never lodged any complaint at the official forum over being denied its share of waters.

As per the 200 joint inspections held since Independence, to which Islamabad is a signatory signed, Pakistan gets more than the share it is entitled to.

Agencies feel that as the water hysteria by Pakistan gains ground, any scarcity of the natural source this year — even due to unavoidable factors such as fluctuating patterns of snow-melting or rainfall — could be readily blamed on India’s “water terrorism.” This will then be exploited by terror outfits to radicalise Pakistani youth and influence them into joining jihad against India to avenge the “diversion of their rivers.”

Already, the government has intelligence inputs of terror outfits drumming up the Indus water sharing irritant — both Saeed and Hizbul chief Syed Salahuddin, in separate speeches recently, slammed India’s “water terrorism,” and even threatened war if this continued — to encourage more people to infiltrate into Kashmir. Some of these elements have already crossed over to Kashmir, and a few cadres have even moved out to other parts of India. They are under instructions from their Pakistani bosses to lie low until they are tasked with carrying out an attack.

The threat of stepped up attacks in 2010 is compounded by the knowledge that US terror suspect David Coleman Headley had carried out extensive reconnaissance of targets across India for “possible terror attacks in 2010 or 2011.” One of them was Pune, which saw a bomb blast on February 13 at the very spot that Headley had videographed for his LeT bosses.

Besides, the interrogation of the recently-arrested Indian Mujhaideen cadres including Ahmad Khwaja, Shahzad and Salman, has revealed the ISI-LeT’s plans to use local IM terrorists to launch attacks in Delhi, Bangalore and Mumbai. While the government has recently arrested many fugitive IM leaders and cadres from Bangladesh, Nepal, Sri Lanka and a west Asian nation, the security agencies fear that some modules may already be lying dormant across Indian cities, waiting to be activated for a future terror attack.

Even in Kerala, from where terror suspect T Nazir said several terror modules were recruited, fundamentalist political outfits such as PDP are said to be closely working with ISI and Lashkar-e-Toiba. Though leader Abdul Nasser Madani is not active, his aides are ensuring that new jihadis are recruited and logistics arranged for ISI-sponsored terror aimed against India.
 

ajtr

Tihar Jail
Banned
Joined
Oct 2, 2009
Messages
12,038
Likes
723
Its really hilarious..before it was india building 100 dams on chenab to steal water.now india is funding pakistani NGOs to stop hydel power works in pakistan.

'India funding NGOs to oppose hydel power plans'

LAHORE - Pakistan Muttahida Kisan Mahaz (PMKM) Chief Ayub Khan Mayo has alleged that India has distributed a sum of Rs 10 billion among those NGOs which are serving its agenda to oppose construction of hydel power projects in Pakistan.
Addressing a seminar regarding water issue at a local hotel here Sunday, Mayo said that India was funding some anti-State elements to put a halt to construction of reservoirs and other projects essential to the progress of Pakistan, as it considered it the best way to establish a network of its agents in Pakistan.

He stated that our politicians and rulers were also involved in this conspiracy of hindering work on dams on Indus and Jehlum rivers, which played vital part in agri and industrial production of the country.
He said that our traditional arch-rival wanted to boost its agri and industrial capacity by means of water aggression. “India wants to capture Pakistani market and destroy its economy,” Mayo maintained.
The US, Israel, European countries and IMF had been backing India for the purpose of dams’ construction on Pakistani water share, the PMKM Chief alleged, adding that they had given US$ 212 billion to India for this purpose. He said that a number of hydel projects of about 40241-megawatt, approved by the CDWP and ECNEC, had been delayed for nothing by the government. He further said that power shortfall had been declining further. While giving details of power projects and their capacity to produce electricity, he informed that Phandal Hydel Project had the capacity to produce 80MW electricity, Bhasho 28MW, Kohala Hydel 1100MW, Kalgh Hydel 548MW, Bhasha Hydel Project 2250MW, Nuclear Power Plant 1000MW, Buni Hydel Project 2333MW, Dasu Project 4320MW, Lower Spat Gah Hydel 496MW, Palas Valley Project 665MW, Akhori 600MW, Pattan Hydel 2800MW, Thakot Hydel 2800MW, Dudhnial 960MW, Yalbo Hydel Project 2800MW, Tungas 2200MW, Skardu 1600MW, Yugo 520MW, Keyal Khwar 122MW, Harpo 33MW, Lawi Hydel Power Project 70MW besides a number of nuclear power plants.
He held the rulers responsible for decrease in GDP of agriculture and said it had fallen to 20 per cent from 26 per cent only in the previous 15 years.
Ayub Mayo said that the government had raised power tariff 19 times only in two years. “This has caused a huge loss to the industry and agriculture sector of the country besides causing nuisance for the masses,” he maintained.
Dozens of people belonging to different walks of life including growers, engineers, students, lawyers and others attended the seminar. They pledged that they would participate in all the rallies and seminars for the sake their country and protection of its interests.
 

ajtr

Tihar Jail
Banned
Joined
Oct 2, 2009
Messages
12,038
Likes
723
Danger level

Tuesday, March 16, 2010
The water problem is becoming acute, and impacting across every part of the country. It is a problem made up of many facets: the management of water resources transnationally and specifically the Indus river system, inadequate storage and a failure to create new storage for a decade, poor maintenance and leakage and now a failure of seasonal rains to replenish stocks. It is this last that has contributed to the emergency we face today as the water levels in two of the principal dams hit 'dead' level. It is unusual for both of these dams to reach dead level simultaneously, and it underscores the fragility of our water infrastructure. Comparison with levels of a year ago tells us how different things are today. On March 13, 2009, the water level at Tarbela Dam was 1,385 feet against March 14's dead level of 1,378 feet – those seven feet being the difference between having a dam that is working for us and a dam that is not. Then, water storage at the dam was recorded at 0.37 million acre-feet, whereas on March 14 it was zero. Mangla Dam on the Jhelum River has been at dead level for over a week. Hydel power generation is reduced to a trickle, loadshedding is again widespread and prolonged, and irrigation of crops threatened with the prospect of food shortages later in the year very much a reality.

The coincidence of both dams reaching dead level together is unexpected. Typically, Tarbela is at dead level at the end of April, and Mangla in mid-March. But this year Mangla went to dead level at the beginning of March and when coupled with the current drought-like conditions this became the trigger for the perilous situation we now face. The failure of the winter rains and lower-than-expected snowfall in the Karakorams and Himalayas over the last winter mean that things are likely to get worse rather than better. The meteorologists have no good news for us either as they predict steadily rising temperatures and no sign of rain. Pressure on the power supply will increase as fans and air-conditioners are turned on and farmers will want to run their tube-well pumps. There is no 'slack' in the system – a built-in contingency reserve that can be deployed at times like this – apart from a tiny reserve stored at the Chashma Barrage. Water and its current and future management is key to our very existence, and a lack of it presents a far greater existential threat to the state than every terrorist group within our borders. Now is not the time for inter-provincial rivalries to play out across the water issue, and the choice, quite literally, may be to sink or swim.
 

ajtr

Tihar Jail
Banned
Joined
Oct 2, 2009
Messages
12,038
Likes
723
Jal Jihad a ploy to hide Pak Punjab stealing Sindh & Balochistan water



NEW DELHI: As Pakistan raises the water-sharing bogey against India, its own inter-provincial battles over distribution of the natural resource — rendered short this year due to the failure of rains during the winter rabi season and drawing of more than its share by Punjab — are threatening to snowball into a full-blown civil war.

Punjab, which has been getting the lion's share of Indus waters all this while, is pitted against Sindh and Balochistan for denying the latter "their rightful share" of Indus waters and for going ahead with Chashma-Jhelum and Taunsa-Pinjad link canals projects at a time when Sindh, Balochistan and even southern Punjab are battling serious water shortages due to failed rains.

Sindh, which puts its annual losses at 1 million acre feet, is opposing the Chashma-Jhelum project and has sought closing of the Taunsa-Pinjad canal alleging that these are just enabling devices to irrigate south Punjab when required. On the other hand, Punjab has sought Islamabad's intervention to be able to draw more water from the Indus and meet its target of producing 20 million tonnes of wheat.

According to sources in the security establishment, Pakistan government, by using its political leaders, Army and even jihadi groups to carry out propaganda blaming the 50-60 dams built by India for the scarce water flow, may actually be trying to divert attention from Punjab's sinister moves to divert Sindh and Balochistan's share of Indus waters.

That India is not to blame for falling water levels in Pakistan is borne out by recent statements made by the country's Indus water commissioner and federal minister for water and electricity. While Indus water commissioner Sayyed Jamaat Ali Shah, in an on-line talk show in November, 2009, denied that India was building 50-60 dams and blamed the weather conditions for the decrease in water levels, federal water minister Raja Pervez Ashraf told the National Assembly last month that India was within its rights to build dams on Jhelum and Chenab rivers.

Mr Ashraf also informed that following the Mangla and Tarbela dams, study for 31 small dams in provinces was complete and tender process nearly over for 12 dams. Also, three dams were coming up in Sindh. And as Pakistani columnist Ahmad Rafay Alam put it in an opinion piece in The News dated March 12, Pakistan's per capita resources had dwindled from 5,000 cubic meters at Partition to 1,200 cubic metres now not because of India "stealing" its waters but due to internal factors such as accelerated population growth, inefficient irrigation and farming techniques and fluctuating glacial melt on account of rising global temperatures.
The last few meetings of Indus River System Authority (IRSA), the mechanism for regulating Indus waters within Pakistan, have seen stormy

arguments among Sindh, Punjab and Balochistan. An internal meeting of IRSA on February 6 remained inconclusive owing to Sindh's opposition to hydel and canal link projects planned by Punjab on the Indus.


During the February 11 IRSA meeting, the authority suggested 1.48 MAF of additional water share for Punjab from the Indus zone. This was immediately objected to by Sindh, Balochistan and NWFP who claimed that Punjab had already consumed more than its share and should now compensate Sindh and Balochistan for 400,000 acre-feet of water it was allowed to draw under a December 15 ruling of IRSA.

Incidentally, Sindh-based water experts, nationalist leaders and others have passed a resolution demanding that Punjab province give up its Chashma-Jhelum project and any other future projects on Indus river. They have also especially called for Pakistan prime minister Gilani to intervene and resolve issues such as hydro-projects through an executive order.

According to water expert A N Abbasi, "if the process of stealing Sindh's water did not stop, then there would be no option but to wage a war." Another water expert Nazir Memon pointed out that Punjab had constructed 16 barrages, 2 dams and 2 canals forcibly and that the province was taking Sindh's water. Even the political leaders from Sindh, including Sindh National Party's Amir Bhambroo, have warned that federal structure could break if the provinces' water issues were not addressed, says a report in Awami Awaz dated February 10, 2010.

To step up the pressure through religious forums, 170 Alims from across Sindh have issued a fatwa against the proposed hydro-power project along the Chashma-Jhelum link, calling it anti-Sharia. While clarifying that it was against Sharia to take water without the consent of those who needed it the most, the Alims threatened that the
country would "shake at its roots if the provinces were denied their rights."


Punjab, on its part, has rejected Sindh's claims. It has asserted its rights over the Chashma-Jhelum canal and sought reopening of the link canal projects for agricultural purposes.Balochistan, through its provincial minister Ain Allah Shams, has sided with Sindh on the water issue vis-�-vis Punjab. At the same time, it has also accused Singh of stealing Balochistan's share.
 
Last edited:

ajtr

Tihar Jail
Banned
Joined
Oct 2, 2009
Messages
12,038
Likes
723
Water woes

Nationalists in Sindh accuse Punjab of deliberately starving the lower riparian of water, while some otherwise informed inhabitants of Punjab hold to this day that discharges into the Arabian Sea amount to a waste of a precious resource. We need to get away from these conspiracy theories and work together, for the collective good of the country. Pakistan is already categorised as a water-stressed nation and is, in fact, hovering around the water-starved level. The vagaries of climate change and the burden of a burgeoning population will only add to our troubles. Consider this: Pakistan’s per capita availability of water stood at 5,300 cubic metres per person in 1951. By 2006 this figure had fallen to 1,105 cubic metres. The situation today is probably even more dire.
The Ravi now is little more than a sewage drain in its incarnation near Lahore. Downstream of Kotri, the once mighty Indus, the river Sindhu, has been so choked by dams that cattle wander along its beds. Agriculture in Sindh has taken a huge hit due to water scarcity and riverine fishermen have suffered too. Even more troubling perhaps is the problem of sea intrusion. The Indus was historically strong enough to push back the sea but that is no longer the case. Estimates vary, depending on the political affiliations of those producing the figures, but the sum total is staggering by any count. Unbiased observers believe that at least two million acres of arable land has been devoured in Sindh by sea intrusion over the last 20 years. Crops, homes and livelihoods have been lost, and extra pressure exerted on urban infrastructures. Human dignity is also a victim. Farmers and herders, who once had their own land and animals, are now being forced to clean shrimp for a pittance in Karachi’s outlying fishing communities.

Sunday marked the International Day of Action for Rivers. The nationalists were out in force, as expected, but conspicuous by their absence were those whose voices could be called tempered. Our inter-provincial disputes must now give way to a more informed discourse on India’s illegal water appropriation in Indian-administered Kashmir. We must also say goodbye to our profligate ways. Agriculture accounts for nearly 97 per cent of all water usage in Pakistan, and everyone knows that we waste this resource every single day. Canal lining and land-levelling projects are behind schedule and there has been little or no government support for modern irrigation systems. The problem doesn’t end there. Pesticide-ridden run-off from overly watered farms is polluting waterways and natural aquifers. Water can no longer be taken for granted and integrated management is the need of the hour.
 
Last edited:

ajtr

Tihar Jail
Banned
Joined
Oct 2, 2009
Messages
12,038
Likes
723
Strike observed in interior Sindh

BADIN: Complete shutter-down was observed on Friday in several districts of interior Sindh on the call of the Awami Tehreek (AT) over the issues of Sindh.

The AT agitated against the proposed power plant on Chashma-Jhelum Link Canal, construction of Greater Thal Canal and dams, target killings in Karachi, and increase in petroleum prices, gas and electricity tariffs.

In Badin, dozens of AT workers and other nationalist parties took out a procession from Allah Wala Chowk up to the Badin Press Club.

Addressing the protesters, AT leaders said a conspiracy was being hatched to worsen the law and order situation in Sindh, including Karachi. The protesters raised slogans of ‘stop the theft of waters of River Indus’. Our Naushahro Feroze correspondent adds: Complete shutter-down was observed in Naushahro Feroze, Moro, Kandiaro, Bhiria, Mehrabpur, Tharoo Shah, Padidan and other towns.

Our Dadu correspondent adds: The key cities and towns of Jamshoro, Dadu and Qambar-Shahdadkot districts, including Kotri, Jamshoro, Manjhnad, Sehwan, Bhan Saeedabad, Dadu, KN Shah, Moro, Warrah Qambar remained shut. Protest rallies were taken out.

Our Larkana correspondent adds: Complete shutter-down strike was observed in Larkana, Naudero, Ratodero, Qubo Saeed Khan, Miro Khan, Naseerabad, Badeh, Gerello, Dokri and Bakrani. Several organisations staged demonstrations and rallies against the power plant on the Chashma-Jhelum Link Canal.

Our Hyderabad correspondent adds: A partial strike was observed here on Friday on the call of the Awami Tehreek (AT) against the proposed power plant at Chashma Jhelum Link Canal, target killings in Karachi and other issues concerning Sindh province.
 
Last edited:

ajtr

Tihar Jail
Banned
Joined
Oct 2, 2009
Messages
12,038
Likes
723
Punjab APC wants revision of water accord with India

LAHORE – Participants of All Parties Conference (APC) held here at Punjab Assembly Thursday, lamented over blocking of three western rivers flow by the neighbouring country, urging the federal government to re-negotiate terms of the 1960 water accord with India.
The APC, convened and chaired by Punjab Senior Minister Raja Riaz, who is also holding the charge of provincial irrigation department was organised to review and discuss the water sector issues facing Pakistan and to recommend measures to address the emerging challenges. Provincial chapters of various political parties, minus the PML-N and the PML-Q, attended the moot. A declaration, issued at the end of the conference, accused India of violating the Indus Water Accord of 1960 by not giving the due share of water to Pakistan from western rivers. It also urged revision of the said treaty, as participants view, India was taking undue advantage of the particular provision according to which, it has been allowed to make use of waters of these rivers for the purpose of power generation.
“The government should make all possible efforts to ensure that Pakistan’s water rights are not compromised at any cost,” the declaration further read.
Highlighting the need for construction of new water storages in the country, the APC also resolved that Kalabagh Dam should be constructed, but after evolving consensus among the provinces. The participants viewed that consent of the federating units in this regard was necessary to keep the federation intact.
Participants also suggested that holistic measures for water conservation and improved water management should be taken by the government to address the issue. For this purpose, initiatives for canal lining, watercourse improvement, and efficient irrigation systems were proposed to be implemented. The conference also highlighted the imperative requirement of harnessing the potential of renewable / hydel energy in order to sustain and support the growth of economy. Recognising that Pakistan was fast turning into a water-scarce country, the conference stressed the need for developing better understanding among the provinces for water distribution while staying within the ambit of water accord. It was suggested in the end that a similar conference may also be convened at the federal government level besides observing a “National Water Day” to develop better understanding of the water sector challenges and future strategies. Later, while replying to a question during media briefing, Raja Riaz said that Indus Basin Waters Treaty was unjust and needed to be revisited. He was accompanied by PPP MPA Syed Muhammad Irtaza and other party leaders including Munir Ahmad Khan and Zekria Butt.
According to the Treaty, he added, India had only been allowed to use waters of the western rivers for the purpose of electricity generation, but it was misusing this provision by storing water which actually belonged to Pakistan. “As Punjab Minister for irrigation, I have serious objections to the treaty”, he remarked. When asked whether Kalabagh Dam was a political or technical issue, Raja gave a diplomatic answer by saying: “It is both political and technical.” He said efforts were underway to develop consensus between Punjab and Sindh about distribution of water.
 

ajtr

Tihar Jail
Banned
Joined
Oct 2, 2009
Messages
12,038
Likes
723
The Indus Water Treaty- Its Dynamics and Reverberations

By Dr. S. Chandrasekharan

As late as February 13 this year, many members of Pakistan National Assembly expressed great concern over the alleged violation of the Indus Water treaty by India in building dams across rivers meant for Pakistan and warned of a possible war between the two countries over this issue.

These threats of war are nothing new to India. Even before the treaty of 1960, late Suhrawardy as Prime Minister of Pakistan threatened that Pakistan will go to war on the sharing of waters of the Indus. These threats have been repeated periodically and so regularly by people at the political, military, bureaucratic and technical levels that these threats have lost their meaning now. At one point, one of the influential editors of the Urdu press Majeed Nizami of Pakistan went one step further and threatened that Pakistan will have to go for a nuclear war over the river waters issue.

It should be conceded that the Indus Water Treaty has survived despite wars, near wars, acts of terrorism and other conflicts that have bedevilled the relations between India and Pakistan. This has been, as much acknowledged by many of the saner voices from Pakistan too.

In April 2008, Pakistan’s Indus Water Commissioner, Jamaat Ali Shah in a frank interview conceded that the water projects undertaken by India do not contravene the provisions of the Indus water treaty of 1960. He said that “in compliance with IWT, India has not so far constructed any storage dam on the Indus, the Chenab and the Jhelum rivers ( rivers allotted to Pakistan for full use). The Hydro electric projects India is developing are the run of the river waters, projects which India is permitted to pursue according to the treaty.”

Yet many in Pakistan at very senior levels have been whipping up frenzy among the people of Pakistan that “India is stealing the waters of Pakistan”.

Since 2004-2005 when the opposition to Bagilhar Project came out into the open, there has been a continuous attempt on the part of Pakistan to push India to renegotiate the Indus Water treaty.

This would mean going back to sharing of waters during the lean season and other extraneous factors and also to ignore the enormous changes that have taken place on both sides of the border in the last fifty years. This would also mean rewarding Pakistan for its failure to manage its scarce and life giving waters to optimum use.

Unfortunately, some Indian scholars without understanding the past history of negotiations with Pakistan have supported the idea. One of the senior analysts of India is said to have opined that “in negotiating an Indus Water Treaty 2, would be a huge Confidence Building Measure as it would engage both countries in a regional economic integration process.” A pious hope but an unrealistic one.

The Indus Water Treaty is unique in one respect. Unlike many of the international agreements which are based on the equitable distribution of waters of the rivers along with other conditions, the Indus Water Treaty is based on the distribution of the rivers and not the waters.

This unique division of rivers rather than the waters has eliminated the very hassles and conflict that would have followed had equitable distribution of water been based on current usage, historical use, past and potential use etc. People who advocate a revision of the treaty including some influential ones in India should realise the trap that India will be getting into.

Briefly, the Indus Water treaty, having discarded the joint development plan for developing the Indus Basin as suggested by some international bodies, allotted the three western rivers of the Indus basin- the Indus, the Chenab and the Jhelum to Pakistan and the three eastern rivers Sutlej, Beas and Ravi to India. The Treaty in its Annexures acknowledged certain rights and privileges for agricultural use of Pakistan drawing water from eastern rivers and similarly India drawing water for similar reasons from the three western rivers.

The treaty permitted India to draw water from the western rivers for irrigation up to 642,000 acres that is in addition to another entitlement to irrigate 701,000 acres. India has so far not made full use of its rights to draw this quantity of water from the western rivers. These allocations were made based on the water flows and usage as existed on April 1960.

While India is not permitted to build dams for water storage purposes (for consumptive uses) on the western rivers passing through India, it is allowed to make limited use of waters including run of the river hydroelectric power projects. The Bagilhar project, the Kishenganga project as well as Tulbull (Wular) that come in this category are all being opposed by Pakistan on the narrow definition as to what it means by storage.

Pakistan disputed the Indian contention that Bagilhar project was a run of the river project and that the storage called pondage was necessary to meet the fluctuations in the discharge of the turbines and claimed that the water will ultimately go to Pakistan. Since talks over a long period remained unsuccessful, the World Bank intervened though it made it clear that it was not a guarantor of the treaty.

A neutral expert was appointed by the World Bank. The neutral expert Professor Lafitte of Switzerland while delivering the verdict, rejected most of Pakistan’s objections but did call for minor design changes including the reduction of the dam’s height by 1.5 metres. The expert did not object to the right of India to construct dams for storage purposes purely for technical reasons for the efficiency of the turbines and did not even call the project as a dispute between the two countries but as “differences.”

The Tulbul project similarly envisages a barrage to be built at the mouth of Wular lake to increase the flow of water in the Jhelum during the dry season to make it navigable. The other disputed project, is the dam across Kishenganga River to Wular lake for generation of hydro electric power. The contention of India has been that in both cases the waters will ultimately go to Pakistan.

In the case of Kishenganga Project, Pakistan also has objected to the storage of water on the Neelum river on the principle of “prior appropriation” though the project on the Pakistan side the Neelum- Jhelum power plant downstream had not then started.

In all the projects objected to, Pakistan has brought in a new dimension to the dispute on security and strategic considerations which are strictly outside the ambit of the Indus treaty. The reasoning goes thus- by regulating the waters of the Chenab and the Jhelum, India has the capability in times of war to regulate the flow of waters to its strategic advantage.

There is no doubt that Pakistan will be facing increasing water shortages in the days to come leading to prolonged drought in many of its regions. The reasons are many but some of these are Pakistan’s own doing. The availability of water even now has reached critical proportions.

Global warming over a period of time has depleted the flow of water in the Indus (the major supplier) which depends mostly on glacial runoffs.

As in other Himalayan regions like the Kosi in Nepal, the rivers carry very heavy sediments that result in silting the dams and barrages thus reducing the availability of water for cultivation. Proper and periodic maintenance have ben lacking.

The canals that feed the irrigated lands are not lined resulting in seepage and loss of water.

There is mismanagement in use of water by using antiquated techniques and heavy cropping of water intensive varieties of farm products. Optimum crop rotations have not been done extensively as it should have been done to save water.

No serious effort has been made to improve the storage for intensive seasons like Kharif.

Dwindling water flow has also been affecting power generation.


The discharge of fresh water into the Arabian sea has dwindled considerably ( less than 10 MAF) which has resulted in the sea water pushing further into the estuaries and beyond, making water in those areas unfit for cultivation.

Just as in India, there are many water disputes among the four provinces in Pakistan, but there, it is one- Punjab against the other three and Punjab happens to be the upper riparian.

There is a larger political dimension to the whole problem of the river water distribution between Pakistan and India. To Pakistan the Kashmir issue is irrevocably linked to the Indus water treaty as the headwaters of all the rivers of Pakistan and meant for Pakistan flow through Kashmir and India happens to be the upper riparian state. The fear exists that India could manipulate the waters to starve Pakistan.

From the Indian point of view, Pakistan need not fear if the Indus Water treaty is implemented both in letter and spirit. What is needed is a constructive approach from Pakistan and India should also respond constructively on a crisis that is reaching a very critical stage in Pakistan. Some analysts feel that the “waters issue” may take precedence over Kashmir.

If one were to interpret the spirit of the Indus Water treaty and not the letter, there has to be some give and take from both sides. It needs a conducive environment and mutual trust that are scarce commodities in the relations between India and Pakistan.
 

ajtr

Tihar Jail
Banned
Joined
Oct 2, 2009
Messages
12,038
Likes
723
Indus Water Treaty: Politicisation will only harm Pakistan

In the run up to the Foreign Secretary level talks in end February, many Pakistan news analysts went ballistic over the river waters issue relating the Indus Water Treaty of 1960.

The Pakistani Times of 27th February alleged that India is stealing twenty percent of water from Pakistani Rivers and that Chenab is the worst victim. It also said that India is building a hydro electric project on River Kabul using Pakistani waters!

Sajjad Shaukat of Pakistani Observer of 27th February accused India of practising "water terrorism" against Pakistan.

Amidst all this hysteria, the News International of Pakistan did point out that the political and military leadership as well as the conservative sections of the media raised enough hue and cry in trying to project water as the real bone of contention. It continued, that if indeed this trend continues, it will be no surprise that in due course Pakistan may push Kashmir into the background and project India’s water terrorism to counter India’s charges against Pakistan for supporting terrorism across the border as the primary issue.

The Special report of the News International had brought some sanity into the issue and had many valid points that have been lost in the rhetoric and irrational hysteria that have accompanied in analysing the Indus Water Treaty. The points made were

1. The Indus Water Treaty has worked both for Pakistan and India and has survived three wars and many incidents of terrorist violence and the hearty news was that the water commissioners of both countries of IWT met within six months of the most recent Mumbai attack.

2. As the agricultural and energy needs as well as population are on the rise and with water becoming scarce because of inefficient use, waste and climate change, a distinction was then drawn between the letter and spirit of the agreement

3. Whenever India started building a run of the river dam on one of the rivers meant for Pakistan and allowed under the treaty, Pakistan policy makers got "jittery"and feared that Indian control of Pakistan’s water would harm its economy.

4. Instead of building on the strength of the IWT and ensure net gains both sides have picked up water as a "dividing tool."

The points made are very valid. Instead of politicising the issue, there is a need to build up rather than seek a fresh agreement. Given the traditional and historic rivalries, the geographical position, greater dependence on irrigated agriculture, failure to make optimum use of a resource that is bound to progressively reduce and above all given the fact that despite wars India has stood by the Indus Water Treaty, there is an need for Pakistan to go for the spirit rather than the letter of the treaty. The more one politicises the issue in Pakistan the chances are that Pakistan will lose more in the bargain.

Some of the articles that followed in the News International show the concerns of Pakistan and right or wrong the concerns appear to be genuine I give below some of the concerns and my response.

1. Pakistan has never convincingly argued that not withstanding bilateral commitment under IWT, India has an obligation to preserve water in its catchment areas for the benefit of lower riparian usage under international laws.

The IWT follows the basic principle of equitable distribution of water between two users and it will be a different ball game if the IWT is to be ignored and other international agreements are to be followed. As said before, the IWT is a unique document that has stood the test of time. There is no doubt that there is a responsibility of the upper riparian to ensure the free flow of water from the catchment areas which means that the upper riparian is responsible for ensuring that there is no man made degradation of the catchment area. But if one were to improve and develop the catchment area for the benefit of the lower riparian, the costs will have to be borne by the lower riparian- here Pakistan.

2. So far Pakistan has put only the IWT on the table but it is necessary to put along the same table a stack of material. Legal references, conventions that place additional obligations of India so that the lower riparian is entitled to proper share of water.

It is true that proper study of the river water issues has not been made in Pakistan. It is good that other international agreements are studied in depth rather than complaining that "India is stealing the water." Only then will Pakistan understand the benefit that they are enjoying under the IWT. To me it looks that the IWT goes much beyond the conventional laws and regulations on trans boundary rivers. No where in the world, the entire river systems are allowed to flow freely into another country without using them for one’s own limited benefit.

3. In an interview the Indus Water Commissioner of Pakistan has made certain observations. He said that the Indus Water Treaty has to be implemented both in letter and spirit. India should provide all information on projects that are started on rivers that are allotted to Pakistan. The issue is technical in nature but the concerns have been raised by media, taken up by the parliament and thus ultimately becomes a political one.

There is no doubt that India has a responsibility to provide complete information on the projects that are being conceived and implemented on the rivers meant for Pakistan. But no where in the treaty is it mentioned that India should wait for consensus from Pakistan before starting a project. If one were to wait for consensus, it is very likely that no project can be started at all. Also there is a three-structured mechanism to resolve all differences even on projects objected to by either party. First is the regular meeting between the two Commissioners. Second is the use of a neutral expert as it happened in Bagilhar Project where India was allowed to continue the project with certain modifications suggested by the neutral expert and third is the arbitration.

 

4. In the same interview, the Indus Commissioner concedes that IWT allows the run of the river projects as well as the hydro electric projects, but there is no allowance for making power on Indus and selling it Mumbai.

This argument is very specious. So long as India is allowed under IWT to produce power on run of the river projects under the IWT, it should be of no concern to Pakistan, how and where the power is utilised. By the same argument India could question as to why all the power generated on the western rivers are used in Punjab and not any where else in Sind and Balochistan. Here again one sees the Politicisation of the issue!


5.Pakistan stands to lose much if the treaty is to be renegotiated. The agreement needs to be slightly altered rather than cancelled altogether. Also confronting the popular demand that India is stealing the water has been found to be incorrect because the waters have not been diverted. The issue that irks Pakistan government is the dams which must be set up according to certain designs that the waters continue to flow.

That Pakistan stands to lose much if the treaty of the sharing of Indus waters is to be renegotiated is also our position. More importantly it is unrealistic to expect both countries to look at the water development as a common project devoid of political issues as envisaged by the World Bank before the Indus Water Treaty was signed and re negotiate another treaty!

The Indus Water Treaty has worked well for both the countries. Differences and disputes will arise due to increasing needs on the waters on both sides of the border and the position will get critical sooner than later when the water resources are dwindling and not increasing and the demands are much more. As said in my earlier paper there has to be a give and take and this can happen only when it is implemented both in letter and spirit and to me it appears that Pakistan will gain if it looks at the spirit of the treaty rather than on the letter. There are already many saner counsels in Pakistan and it is hoped that the Indus Water Treaty is seen more as a unique experiment in international laws on non navigational waters that needs to be implemented for mutual benefit and not renegotiated as such.

( The writer is a former hydrologist and holds a PhD on International River Systems)
 

Dark_Prince

Regular Member
Joined
Jan 31, 2010
Messages
374
Likes
81
Njam Sethi on Water and Kashmir









clap
 
Last edited by a moderator:

ajtr

Tihar Jail
Banned
Joined
Oct 2, 2009
Messages
12,038
Likes
723
cross-posting
A morning with Farah sure deseve place in WTF from Pakistan will be cross posting the same in indus water stealing thread.coz it shows how pakistani talks about without facts and figures on various issues including indus water.If this is the pakistani middle class which Nirupama Subramanian doing equal-equal with indian middle class then she is sure shorsighted.And being a Journalist she got to have facts and figure otherwise she is nothing but another DDM coz Nirupama Subramanian always tried to skirt the question by saying i ve no facts and figures so i cant comment.

Nirupama Subramanian Indian Journalist on A morning with Farah

 
Last edited by a moderator:

ajtr

Tihar Jail
Banned
Joined
Oct 2, 2009
Messages
12,038
Likes
723
Farmers protest against India at Wahga border

LAHORE: Thousands of farmers staged a protest against Indian water aggression at the Wahga border near Lahore and demanded of the government to raise the issue in the UN, a private TV channel reported on Sunday. The protesters, led by the Muttahida Kisan Mahaz, reached the zero line where they staged a protest against India for blocking the water of different Pakistani rivers. Activists of various non-governmental organisations (NGO) and political parties also participated in the protest to express solidarity with the farmers. The protesters also established protest camps against stoppage of water by India in violation of the 1960 Indus Water Treaty signed between India and Pakistan and also demanded the government to raise the issue in the UN. It is pertinent to mention here that the World Bank (then the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development) is also a signatory of the
treaty as a third party. daily times monitor

Water issue a serious problem, says Shahbaz

India not ready to hold result-oriented talks’

Sunday, March 21, 2010
By our correspondent

LAHORE: Punjab Chief Minister Shahbaz Sharif has said a system, which can ensure equal rights to the people without any discrimination of colour, caste and creed and equitable distribution of resources, is needed.

Addressing a ceremony on Saturday, he said India was not ready to hold a result-oriented dialogue with Pakistan and that water issue had become a serious problem. In this situation, he said, they would have to forge unity and solidarity in their ranks to resolve such issues.

He said neither peace could be maintained nor investment promoted in the country without tackling the issue of terrorism.

He said poverty, unemployment, ignorance, injustice and inequitable distribution of national resources were the root causes of terrorism. He said cruelties and highhandedness perpetrated by the Musharraf regime also contributed to the growth of terrorism.

He expressed the fear that Quaid’s Pakistan would lose its real identity if dictation from abroad continued. He said if they did not rely on foreign aid, only then would they be able to talk to foreign countries boldly. He said the people of the NWFP were fighting a war of survival of the country and reshaping the history by rendering sacrifices and there was no service greater than that.

He said Pakistan was rich in resources and the nation was hardworking and imbued with the spirit of honesty and Pakistanis had achieved a commendable place abroad by dint of their hard work.

He said if complicated issues like the NFC Award could be resolved amicably, then inter-provincial disputes could also be resolved with the same sprit.
 

ajtr

Tihar Jail
Banned
Joined
Oct 2, 2009
Messages
12,038
Likes
723
IWT is a multilateral treaty (not bilateral) involving India, Pakistan and IBRD. It was signed by Pandit Nahru, on behalf of India, FM Ayub Khan, on behalf of Pakistan and W.A.B. Iliff on behalf of IBRD. However, IBRD restricts itself to purposes specified in Articles V and X and Annexures F, G and H. IBRD is still involved in resolution of differences, though not directly. See later as to why this is an important point.

Article XII, Final Provisions, of the IWT states as follows:

(3) The provisions of this Treaty may from time to time be modified by a duly ratified treaty concluded for that purpose between the two Governments.
(4) The provisions of this Treaty, or the provisions of this Treaty as modified under the provisions of Paragraph (3), shall continue in force until terminated by a duly ratified treaty concluded for that purpose between the two Governments.

So, IWT allows both the parties to modify the existing Treaty and can only be terminated by a newly 'ratified' Treaty. There is therefore no provision of any party withdrawing unilaterally from the Treaty. In other words, the IWT does not have a provision for self-termination.

Of course, Pakistan may cite 'breaches by India of IWT provisions' to withdraw from the Treaty. But, for that it will have to have solid evidences and be prepared to take the matter to appropriate international arbitration. As of now, Pakistan has no proof of India breaching the Treaty even once, leave alone being a habitual offender whcih alone, IMHO, can form sufficient ground for Pakistan to seek extra-Treaty avenues. It will not be possible to take the matter to ICJ, the usual Pakistani fetish, for two reasons: one, the IWT itself has ample provisions for settlement of disputes and without exhausting those avenues, the ICJ may not even register the case and two, the ICJ may not be interested to take up the case after its previous ruling involving the Atlantique dispute between both these countries.

In the Atlantique shooting-down case, India successfully argued, among other things, that ICJ had no jurisdiction in matters pertaining to two members of the Commonwealth and that Independent India did not inherit any treaties that British India acceded to like the General Act of 1928.

Besides the above, India will strongly argue that the IWT, being a multilateral treaty, all the parties involved in the Treaty must also be parties to the case, a condition to which IBRD is not likely to subject itself to.

I do not therefore see any possibility of Pakistan taking the matter to any other arbitration. If Pakistan therefore withdraws from IWT, that should simply give India a free hand to go ahead with projects without referring them to Pakistan.

Pakistan must realize that a new and more favourable Treaty is impossible even from a India. The existing Treaty is the best it has got.

- if Pakistan with help from its 3.5 friends will ask for a new water treaty.

It may not be a brand new Treaty, but a modified IWT to give more guarantees to Pakistan and place more restrictions on India. The Pakistani PIC has already revealed Pakistan's approach. Pakistan wants to modify the Treaty to ensure that India does not build too many hydroelectric projects and it uses generated power only within J&K (preferably Kashmir Valley). Besides, it may want to have a say in the management of catchment areas and glaciers that contribute waters to the 'western' rivers.

Of course, none of these can be agreed upon by India. But, India should be prepared to ward off pressure from the notorious 3½. It has been the constant and successful theme of Pakistan that Pakistan's behaviour is dictated by a threatening massive neighbour. The members of the 3½ have bought this argument repeatedly and tried to shape India's behaviour either through coercion or through dangling intangible carrots (which never materialized in the end).

We have to presume that they will once again try to get some concessions from India in favour of Pakistan as they have done in the past. The Home secretary's recent declaration that India will produce a White Paper on the water treaty and its implementation so far has to be seen in this context.

- if India, under the "aman ki tamasha" program concedes a more profitable deal for pakis (hey we are not using this water anyway, so all the unused potential is available to the downstream partner; and we do that always in india - when allocating water resources between states).

The only waters that India has not completely used are as follows:
Excess flood flows in the 'Eastern' rivers.
Entitlement for agricultural use on the 'Western' rivers, and
Entitlement for 'storage works' on the 'Western' rivers
 

Latest Replies

Global Defence

New threads

Articles

Top