Flying Dagger
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Carrier operation takes a toll on the airframe too due to hard and short landings. Even F-18s suffered the same in USN but their airforce counterparts among other airforces operating them are able to use them with less maintenance and more flight hours.Out older fulcrums are from the '80-90s. The MiG-29Ks were recieved post 2010 (thus 2050 approx.)
There is nothing in inherentlynwrong with the jets, all of them are UPG standard. But like any other Russian Naval aircraft they simply can't takeoff carriers with anything more than few AAMs... As we are trying to drift from that air-defence-missile-attack doctrine, IN have need for specialised TEDBF. But IAF can make good use of them for another 2-3 decades.
I doubt we will take them till 2050 max 40 around. But yes airforce will be taking over them once Navy is able to find replacement .
Regarding UPG upgrade well IAF upgrade was based on Navy's Mig 29 k. So they are already upgraded though there have been another upgrades of mission computer and IAF may seek AESA too so eventually they will need upgrade in next 5 years or so.