Failed Terrorist State of Pakistan: Idiotic Musings

aditya10r

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Pakistani per capita income growth is nearly half of India (6.36% on 3.02%). Over that, their fertility rates and population growth is much higher than us. So, annual population outlook till 2050 for Pakistan is going to be 1.1% against world average 0.6% and India's 0.7%.
Pakistani HDI is 0.538 (low) just 0.001 from 0.537 against India's 0.609 (0.023; from 0.586) and world average 0.712 (0.009; from 0.702). It lags in hunger index, education index, literacy etc., with mild improvements.
:hmm:
Now, let's turn our time machine back in history.
Pakistan had better HDI in 1991, higher GDP (PPP) per capita, Education Index in 2000-2001, higher GDP (nominal) per capita around 2006-07, better hunger index in 2012 but was overtaken in every index one by one.
Even this year, Pakistani GDP per capita was up to $5084 ($1520 nominal) from last year's $49450 ($1470 nominal) against India's $6599 ($1820 nominal) from last year's $6162 ($1688). Simply, for near 2020, Pak must be around $6000-7000 against India's $10,000 ($2500 vs $1800 in nominal).

India's rate is standard but Pakistan is a developing country with per capita income growth close to developed countries!:dude:

Now, for case of India, considering our growth sustained for just 10 years (neither lesser nor higher) and declining by 0.5% decade on decade, India's GDP per capita is projected to be between $50-65000 ($20-30,000 in nominal) and it's simply income middle income economy for MER around 2070 because developed countries will have per capita incomes in order between $150,000 to $200,000). Pakistan already lags badly both in growth and quantity.


[Sorry for such rough ranges, actually I took account all the three; low, medium and high fertility rates in account].
Naah I guess will be 20000 usd per capita nominal by 2050.....
I guess you have not factored inflation

One more thing we would have reached world average in gdp nominal per capita by 2040-2050 which will be around 20000-25000 then
 
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Indx TechStyle

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Naah I guess will be 20000 usd per capita nominal by 2050.....
I guess you have not factored inflation

One more thing we would have reached world average in gdp nominal per capita by 2040-2050 which will be around 20000-25000 then
Well, these projections are based on PwC report in 2014 and India came up with even better outlook in 2015.:biggrin2:

Though, even that won't be enough though. GDP per capita of $50,000 in 2070 is like just upper middle income (semi developed better) developing/developed countries like Malaysia, Bahrain, Russia or Eastern Europe.
These are either almost developed or newly developed countries with HDI's lying between 0.775 and 0.850. Beyond them, there are truly developed countries; IMF Advanced economies like ROK, Japan, Taiwan, Singapore, US, Canada, Germany and UK etc..
Government needs to improve pace further otherwise I will either be old or will be dead by the day India is classified as an IMF advanced economy. With such high GDP per capita and population, economy could be huge.:shock:

But let's come in present reality.:D
Long term projections must not be taken insured, specially for a country India with low fertility rate and slowing population growth. We need to focus on next 30 years, before that next 10 years.
And before that, a GDP (PPP) per capita of $10,000 and HDI in order of 0.680 must be priority of GOI.
 

aditya10r

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Well, these projections are based on PwC report in 2014 and India came up with even better outlook in 2015.:biggrin2:

Though, even that won't be enough though. GDP per capita of $50,000 in 2070 is like just upper middle income (semi developed better) developing/developed countries like Malaysia, Bahrain, Russia or Eastern Europe.
These are either almost developed or newly developed countries with HDI's lying between 0.775 and 0.850. Beyond them, there are truly developed countries; IMF Advanced economies like ROK, Japan, Taiwan, Singapore, US, Canada, Germany and UK etc..
Government needs to improve pace further otherwise I will either be old or will be dead by the day India is classified as an IMF advanced economy. With such high GDP per capita and population, economy could be huge.:shock:

But let's come in present reality.:D
Long term projections must not be taken insured, specially for a country India with low fertility rate and slowing population growth. We need to focus on next 30 years, before that next 10 years.
And before that, a GDP (PPP) per capita of $10,000 and HDI in order of 0.680 must be priority of GOI.
Yeah
The numbers are somewhat achievable

Per capita income nominal of 8000usd and hdi of 0.710 should also be our long term plan by 2030.
 

Indx TechStyle

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Yeah
The numbers are somewhat achievable

Per capita income nominal of 8000usd and hdi of 0.710 should also be our long term plan by 2030.
Per capita income of $7000 (nominal) is more realistic (though $14,000 in PPP) as per IMF projections.
But for HDI, it will undoubtedly be much higher, at least at 0.750. Adding 0.020+ points in HDI every year and will continue for next 5-6 years till we get up in non monetary HD indicators, it can safely reach 0.710 in just end of second five years plan (2017-22).
 

aditya10r

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Per capita income of $7000 (nominal) is more realistic (though $14,000 in PPP) as per IMF projections.
But for HDI, it will undoubtedly be much higher, at least at 0.750. Adding 0.020+ points in HDI every year and will continue for next 5-6 years till we get up in non monetary HD indicators, it can safely reach 0.710 in just end of second five years plan (2017-22).
We will like China then.........
Hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm
 

aditya10r

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And China will be like Russia and Eastern Europe by then.
But I think that we are at high risk of going off topic.
So, here is a fresh on topic screenshot.
View attachment 11497
:facepalm::facepalm::facepalm::facepalm:
Seriously

Iss level ki chutiyapanti kaha se yeh chutiye sikhte hain

I am pretty sure that even madarsa level cannot make anyone that much chutiya
 

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Srinivas_K

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The mods in that Baki forum are short tempered idiots who ban members for no reason.
 

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