Hari Sud
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Beg to differ Mattster
China and US interests are so balanced that US would do nothing to hurt it. Hence my reasons for US willing to dump everybody including Japan and India and all others because for them their own interests are more important. Chinese regime is dictatorial, they can tolerate economic upheaval if US does not buy their dishwashers. Imagine the upheaval in a democracy like US where Republicans and Democrats are at logger heads during all times including peace time and also during war. Inflation jumping to 15 to 16% as these products made in US and Japan and other places are that much more expensive. The stock market devoid of cheap Chinese cash would take downhill path. Voting minded US citizens would ask for a change in any local or Congress or presidential election. My point here is that US would be hurt far more than Chinese, if US and China at any time in next 10 to 20 years decide to confront each other. Hence US other than statements and Whitehouse press releases would do nothing to be tough with China. That leaves Japan and other small countries in the lurch. Chinese know all about it.
As regards to seventy year old men running Indian Government, it is all going to change in May of this year. That does not mean that India would suddenly have export orders from US at Chinese level. No it is not going to happen. Even if India begins to grow at 9% level as previously, it will be inward looking economic growth.
The point here is not the seventy years old men running India or dictators running China or completely divided Congress and White house running US. The point here is that if trouble begins in South China Sea at Chinese instant in the near future, will US mount a rescue operation the way they mounted in Kuwait in 1989. My belief is that US is completely enmeshed with China and that for its self interest, it would only issue Whitehouse press releases emphasizing peace and nothing more.
Japan and other little countries are of their own. India would have to be content with its role in Indian Ocean only.
China and US interests are so balanced that US would do nothing to hurt it. Hence my reasons for US willing to dump everybody including Japan and India and all others because for them their own interests are more important. Chinese regime is dictatorial, they can tolerate economic upheaval if US does not buy their dishwashers. Imagine the upheaval in a democracy like US where Republicans and Democrats are at logger heads during all times including peace time and also during war. Inflation jumping to 15 to 16% as these products made in US and Japan and other places are that much more expensive. The stock market devoid of cheap Chinese cash would take downhill path. Voting minded US citizens would ask for a change in any local or Congress or presidential election. My point here is that US would be hurt far more than Chinese, if US and China at any time in next 10 to 20 years decide to confront each other. Hence US other than statements and Whitehouse press releases would do nothing to be tough with China. That leaves Japan and other small countries in the lurch. Chinese know all about it.
As regards to seventy year old men running Indian Government, it is all going to change in May of this year. That does not mean that India would suddenly have export orders from US at Chinese level. No it is not going to happen. Even if India begins to grow at 9% level as previously, it will be inward looking economic growth.
The point here is not the seventy years old men running India or dictators running China or completely divided Congress and White house running US. The point here is that if trouble begins in South China Sea at Chinese instant in the near future, will US mount a rescue operation the way they mounted in Kuwait in 1989. My belief is that US is completely enmeshed with China and that for its self interest, it would only issue Whitehouse press releases emphasizing peace and nothing more.
Japan and other little countries are of their own. India would have to be content with its role in Indian Ocean only.