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It began when Russia'n oil giants started uniting Venezuela, Brazil and Argentina in some sort of united grouping based on oil (just like OIC but without pisslam), the US saw red and decided to teach these nations a lesson. The US even had a conflagration with Argentina last year over loan...

I can understand the hypothesis that India and China face massive internal challenge but what is your 'Brazil is inherently stable' theory based on? There might be relative homogeneity as far as ethnic and religious factors go but a nation's strength is beyond the goodwill that the citizens have...