Discussion in 'International Politics' started by sanjay, Jul 30, 2011.
BBC News - Turkey: Military chiefs resign en masse
Turkey is one rare exception wherein its military is actually right about its political direction. I think from now on Turkey will be Iran lite.
this might have one positive spin-off.
one might see over the time pakistani politicians taking a lesson and curtailing the powers of their military, no matter how infeasible it might seem today, case in point is pml-n's growing will to attempt that if they were to come to power, but for that nawaz shrief needs to survive but then as was the case with turkey, one doubts will be the case with pakistan and that is outside powers (esp EU) playing a significant role in curtailing the role played by its military as was the case with turkey, since there is this huge surge in anit-amricanism/anti-westernism in pakistan which was not the case with turkey, and then pakistanis take to conspiracy theories hatched by their military as if that was the only thing they were waiting to hear, this happening seems unlikely but then you never know.
also if that were to ever happen, it doesnt in anyway mean pakistani politicians will stop treading the hate india campaign which today is very well ingrained in the pakistani psyche, but still worth the try.
The difference is that Turkey's Kemalists made sure that military was free of fundies, while Zia-ul-Haq types made sure that Pak military was the bastion of fundies. Therefore in Pak, military will always be the protector of fundamentalism.
Turkey's increasingly Islamist-leaning govt has drawn appreciation from Iran for defending Tehran's N-program. Both Turkey and Iran are feared by Saudi as natural rivals to its power. Growing Turko-Iranian cooperation could lead to their de facto co-chairmanship of the Islamic world. Turkey has economic and industrial might, while Iran would have the nukes, and both have control over strategic waterways. Riyadh would be left out in the cold and increasingly dependent on the US for support, and that could turn Pak mediation between Iran and Saudi into a dead end. Then Pak would be left without any solid backing of its own, in regards to its Taliban strategy.
All in all, Turkey's return to Islamization could be good for India. Maybe M K Gandhi was right to support a return of the Caliphate after all. Maybe an Islamic Turkey would be more of a nuisance for Europe and Western allies than for India.
This will lead to a sharp divide between the political party and the Army.
It might even encourage a coup.
Army has no power to launch a coup now, because the govt has tied its hands, especially by arresting so many officers. That's why they had to resort to resignation as their form of protest. But even with this, Erdogan has immediately profited from it by appointing his own lackey. Unlike Zia and Musharraf, both promoted over the heads of others in order to serve as lackeys, but who nevertheless launched coups without hesitation, any lackey appointed by Erdogan will not be launching a coup.
Turkey to Direct Military Towards Foreign Fronts
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