Should India try to join NATO?

Should India try to join NATO?


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civfanatic

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Oh God! This is typical of some of the new generation macho "India is a superpower already" people who can barely walk but they want to run first.
India is not a superpower, nor should India try to become a superpower.


India chose Soviet Russia during its so-called "non-aligned" period between 1947 and 1991, and therefore NATO and the West owe us absolutely zilch. In 1971 India was a supposedly neutral power leaned towards the USSR, so of course the US and its allies tried to deter us from intervening in Bangladesh.
No, we truly were "non-aligned" from 1947-1971. After the Sino-Indian War of 1962, many analysts at the time even predicted that the US and India would form a formal alliance. But this changed after the 1965 Indo-Pak War, when America placed sanctions on both India and Pakistan. Up to this point, America was friendly with both countries, with a slight lean towards Pakistan due to its strategic location next to the USSR. But the embargoes forced India and Pakistan to both find new suppliers for weapons, since both countries' arsenals during the 1965 War consisted wholly of Western weapons. Pakistan chose China, we chose the USSR. But even our relationship with the USSR was simply a buyer-seller relationship until 1971, when Indira Gandhi signed the Indo-Soviet Treaty of Friendship and Cooperation. We signed this treaty primarily because a) the newly formed Sino-Pak alliance threatened to put India in a position where we had to fight on two fronts at once, and the Soviets could relieve the pressure from our northern front, and b) Indira was already planning the Liberation of Bangladesh at this point, and she wanted the Indian operation to go unhindered without foreign intervention. The Soviets promised to veto anti-India resolutions in the UN, and deter foreign intervention in India's neighborhood.

Basically, we were still de facto non-aligned until 1971. We chose to ally with the Soviets because it fit our national interests, as the Western nations were unwilling to let us have our way with Pakistan. Even after the 1971 war, we continued to have close relations with France and Britain and bought French and British equipment, just not American.


You don't trust the West because you don't know anything about it. People who live in the West understand it more than you.
I'm living and studying in the West (United States) right now. You can ask admins to check my IP address if you don't believe me.

Judging by the level of ignorance you show in your posts, it seems I know a lot more about the West than you do. Try a different approach.


the West's strategic priorities and India's are very much similar. India is also much more similar to the West than Russia or China- these countries are dictatorships and their polity is nothing like India's.
India wants strategic independence in chosing its allies and partners. We have allies in both the East and West. Two of our closest allies, for example, are Russia and Israel. A formal alliance with America means playing according to America's rules, and we don't want to play by anyone else's rules.

You are also very naive if you believe nations chose allies because of "similar polities". Nations chose allies based on strategic interests, and nothing else. Why else would America ally itself with Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, both theocratic, terror-exporting nations? The facts that Russia is a corrupt sham democracy and that China is an authoritarian oligarchy are completely irrelevant.


This is why the US has a 60% favourable rating amongst Indians interviewed in a recent poll (was it Gallup?). You are not representative of what India believes in. Indians like the US.
First of all, polls are not accurate when trying to represent a nation of one billion.

Second of all, Indians like the US as a business partner (myself included), not as a formal ally. Even China likes the US as a business partner; the volume of Sino-American trade is by far the largest in the world.


I am not saying abandon the years of investment successive governments have made in Russia. Of course not. We can continue our bilateral relationship and close military co-operation. But the time has come to accept the fact that we are not making the most of our foreign policy options. The nuclear deal with the US was a good step in the right direction. More of the same is needed.
I support the Indo-US relationship simply because a) it will benefit the Indian economy, and b) we can get access to technologies (I'm talking civilian, not military) that few other countries have. There is also scope for cooperation in space research and technology, Indian Ocean security, and counter-terrorism. Beyond that, I'm not interested.


You are correct in saying that NATO currently has no interest in intervening in an Indo-Chinese war. But foreign policy is not designed keeping today in mind. It is aimed at making sure our interests are preserved today, 5 years from now, 15 years from now and 25 years from now. It is called having a VISION. We should work at our relationship with the West at every level- political, diplomatic, economic and military- so that in 10 years' time the West sees us as a dependable ally with plenty to offer. If we are able to secure the military umbrella protection of NATO, that would be a big kick in the teeth for the mandarins at Beijing.
It is in the West's interest to have India and China go to war and kill the hell out of each other. Doing so would remove two of the West's biggest competitors in one go.

Of course, such a course of action is not in either India's or China's interest. Which is why you will never, and I repeat never see another Sino-Indian War. Not in the next 50 years, at least.


I am certain that the Chinese foreign policy wonks have planned very carefully about how to "solve" its border disputes with Japan, Vietnam, Russia and India. For some, there would be carrots (e.g. Russia) and for others there would be a BIG STICK (e.g. India). And why? Because we have no credible allies in this world. However, what these wonks would not have calculated would be an Indian alliance with NATO. At a stroke this would put India in the same league as Japan- attacking India would mean attacking NATO. That might persuade them to be a little bit more serious about the border dispute rather than give ceremonial nods to it now and then whilst gleefully sharpening the knife to stab us with, as they did in 1962.
If you think that the bunch of rocks on the Sino-Indian Border are worth fighting a war over, then you are very mistaken. The border disputes are part of a geopolitical game that's been going on since 1951. The territory itself is meaningless.

Ever since India acquired nuclear weapons capability, it is immune to direct threats at its soverignty. Meaning, you won't be seeing Chinese tanks driving towards Delhi, even if they had the capability to go there. Joining NATO, or any other organization for that matter, will not help India in its current situation.


You are in a dreamland. No wait, change that to cuckoo land when you talk about the string of pearls

It is well-known that China has managed to penetrate all our neighbouring countries and now carries equal if not more clout in every single capital. Why does Myanmar sell them gas? Why are they talking about Chinese investment being more important than the one made by "bully" India? Why the murmurs about a Chinese base in the Bay of Bengal?

If you are so complacent about your enemies, how will you analyse the threat they pose and design a counter-attacking strategy? In your deluded mind you have won before the game began.

As I said, wake up and smell the coffee. China is coming. We can either pretend they aren't, and then wail that "Umreeka has abandoned us" when they whip us. Or we recognise the threat and start working seriously by building our own military capabilities (which to an extent we are doing), improve our diplomatic standing (which we have thus far failed to do) and build some serious alliances (cue: join NATO).
Do you know anything the PLAN's blue-water capability? Do you know anything about India's own naval capability? India built a port in Iran at Chhabahar, does this mean we are planning on invading Saudi Arabia?

You don't know shit about geopolitics or India's place in the world, and yet you are so confident in accusing others of living in "cuckoo land". One wonders where this confidence comes from.
 

Yan Luo Wang

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As of now, the PLAN (Chinese Navy) is not capable of exerting Chinese power in the Indian Ocean, much less face off with the Indian Navy. The "String of Pearls" poses absolutely no military threat to India.
That is correct.

China is severely lacking in power projection.

Of course, such a course of action is not in either India's or China's interest. Which is why you will never, and I repeat never see another Sino-Indian War. Not in the next 50 years, at least.
I agree with this as well. Amongst the nuclear weapons powers, the real conflict will be a diplomatic/economic, rather than military.

Since even a Hiroshima-sized fission bomb on a major financial center (let alone a thermonuclear weapon), will cause far too much economic damage, to even consider it an option.
 
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Aruni

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civfanatic said:
Basically, we were still de facto non-aligned until 1971. We chose to ally with the Soviets because it fit our national interests, as the Western nations were unwilling to let us have our way with Pakistan. Even after the 1971 war, we continued to have close relations with France and Britain and bought French and British equipment, just not American.
And what have we achieved in terms of concrete foreign policy objectives? Did we receive massive investment from a friendly country such as the Germans or the Japanese received from the US? No. Did we receive a military umbrella that allowed us some respite from humiliations such as 1962 (as Europe did with NATO)? No. Did we manage to sign strategic deals with countries rich in natural resources to secure our energy supplies for the future? No. Did we manage to create a sphere of influence in our neighbourhood so that politically, economically and militarily we are able to create a "buffer" around us? No. Did we manage to punch above our weight in international diplomacy, despite contributing significantly to UN missions? No.

The problem in defending the status quo as you are doing is that it fails to explain our miserable failure in the past 64 years to improve our standing in the world.

Its time for a change. Enough of the same old same old.

India wants strategic independence in chosing its allies and partners. We have allies in both the East and West. Two of our closest allies, for example, are Russia and Israel. A formal alliance with America means playing according to America's rules, and we don't want to play by anyone else's rules.
Russia sees India as a customer of its military hardware, that's it. Yes, this is an important relationship to sustain, but there isn't much more we could gain from this. Indian companies have limited interest in Russia and Russian energy companies have no interest in India. This is like a marriage which bumbles on, but the couple has run out of things to say to each other. Both have more important things on their mind.

If tomorrow China sends out a tender for developing a weapons system which requires exclusivity such that Russia cannot share the IP with anyone, Russia would not even think twice before putting pen to paper. This is a buyer-seller relationship, not one of strategic co-operation and alliance.

Israel and India are in the same bracket, plus the shared interest in combating terrorism. India still pays lip service to the Palestanian cause, talk about dichotomy!

Deepening our relationship with the West does not mean forgetting everyone else. Look how Turkey delicately balances this by being a member of NATO and yet keeping strong links to the Arab world.

It is in the West's interest to have India and China go to war and kill the hell out of each other. Doing so would remove two of the West's biggest competitors in one go.
It isn't. Samuel Huntingdon's theory of the "clash of civilisations" is too simplistic. The US and the EU see India and China as two huge markets ripe for penetrating. Widespread war will simply cause havoc and destruction to the dollar signs that most company boards are seeing in front of them.

Also, Western analysts are nervous about China's so-called peaceful rise. They don't believe a word of it. They look nervously at the £50-75 billion China spends on military every year, and its increasing assertiveness over regional border disputes with its neighbours such as Japan and Vietnam. The last thing the US wants is to be dragged into a war in Taiwan or over some remote islands near Japan.

However, they look upon India as a potential ally- a democratic country growing rapidly that could be cultivated as a future strategic partner. They do not view India as a threat to the West in the same way as China. If India were to join NATO, at a stroke that would reduce the chances of instability or war breaking out in Asia as China would now have to include the cost of fighting a war with a much stronger and regionally present NATO and this would temper its adventurism.

Of course, such a course of action is not in either India's or China's interest. Which is why you will never, and I repeat never see another Sino-Indian War. Not in the next 50 years, at least.
Ever heard of Neville Chamberlain? The poor British prime minister came back from a meeting with Mr Hitler and waived a piece of paper at the press as he was getting off his plane in 1938 yelling that this would bring "peace in our times". Within 6 months German tanks had crossed into Poland, Chamberlain was gone, Churchill was in, and Europe was at war.

Our very own chacha Nehru was similarly positive about Zhou En Lai's intentions in the early 1960s. So much so that the shock of 1962 pushed him over the edge!

Although full-blown war between India and China is unlikely, a short a bloody conflict in the North East in about 25 years is more than likely unless India can join a wider strategic alliance. China does not do compromise. It wants its lebensraum, and it will come. We can either be prepared, or cry over split milk later.
 

Armand2REP

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I don't mean in the military sense. I meant India will have easier access to oil blocks in the CAR without having to go through multiple bureaucratic hurdles as is the case now.
The hurdles now are state-state negotiations, in SCO it is still state-state. They can't even agree on a trade zone.
 

civfanatic

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And what have we achieved in terms of concrete foreign policy objectives?
1) Bhutan is 100% in India's orbit.
2) The Maldives are 100% in India's orbit.
3) Bangladesh (whose creation itself was a major foreign policy success) is pro-India provided the Awami League are in power.
4) We are responsible for the security of Qatar, a major oil-producing nation.
5) We have naval listening stations in Mauritius and Madagascar.
6) We have extensive defence cooperation with Russia, that's matched by few other nations in the world.
7) Most important of all, we have created a general impression in the world that India is a benevolent and peace-loving nation. Besides Pakistan, no other nation in the world regularly resorts to anti-India rhetoric.

Others that I have not mentioned.


Did we receive massive investment from a friendly country such as the Germans or the Japanese received from the US?
And today, the Germans and Japanese are prevented by their postwar constitutions from deploying troops on external missions, and their foreign policy and defence are almost entirely in the hands of the U.S. That's what they got for losing WWII.

I would rather India not receive any investment at all than become castrated like Germany and Japan were. Besides, India today is one of the largest destinations for foreign investors, so I don't understand your point.

Did we receive a military umbrella that allowed us some respite from humiliations such as 1962 (as Europe did with NATO)?
Such a military umbrella would violate our sovereignty and our strategic independence. Foreign troops on Indian soil is completely unacceptable.

Besides, India is not a small nation like Belgium or Denmark that needs to rely on the great powers for its own defence.

Did we manage to sign strategic deals with countries rich in natural resources to secure our energy supplies for the future?
Yes. Russia contains the largest natural resource deposits in the world, and they have India's name on them. We have an extensive strategic partnership with Iran, which insures that they remain one of India's largest suppliers of oil. India's security treaties with Gulf countries like Qatar has already been mentioned.

Did we manage to create a sphere of influence in our neighbourhood so that politically, economically and militarily we are able to create a "buffer" around us?
Partially, yes. A complete buffer is impossible since our enemies also happen to be our neighbors. What I don't understand is how you think joining NATO will give us this "buffer", when the US itself has designated Pakistan as a "major non-NATO ally". How many NATO countries have their own sphere of influence?

Did we manage to punch above our weight in international diplomacy, despite contributing significantly to UN missions?
I don't understand what this means.

The problem in defending the status quo as you are doing is that it fails to explain our miserable failure in the past 64 years to improve our standing in the world.
If you think India's standing in the world today is the same as its standing in 1947, then you know absolutely nothing.

Obama's visit to India in November 2010 is not something that every third world country gets.


Russia sees India as a customer of its military hardware, that's it. Yes, this is an important relationship to sustain, but there isn't much more we could gain from this. Indian companies have limited interest in Russia and Russian energy companies have no interest in India. This is like a marriage which bumbles on, but the couple has run out of things to say to each other. Both have more important things on their mind.
It seems you don't know much about the Indo-Russian relationship. Russia not only sells us equipment, but also jointly develops a wide variety of defence equipment ranging from BrahMos hypersonic missiles to fifth generation fighter jets, and lets India manufacture its own weapons based on Russian designs, such as the T-90S Bhishma and HAL Su-30MKI. The level of trust shown in this partnership is exemplary, because I believe no other group of two nations has the same level of defence cooperation as India and Russia. Even the US and UK, who are widely considered to be very close allies, do not have as close of a defence relationship as India and Russia. Compare the UK's share in the JSF program with India's share in the FGFA program.

Indo-Russian relationship is important not just to equip India's own armed forces, but to give India's domestic military industries the skills and technology they require to make India self-sustainable in its defence needs, which should be a top priority. Russia is willing to transfer to us the critical defence technology that we require, while the West is not.

Other important aspects of the Indo-Russian relationship that are not related to defence include nuclear energy, space cooperation, and the North-South Corridor (which was made possible due to our strong relationship with Iran as well).


Deepening our relationship with the West does not mean forgetting everyone else. Look how Turkey delicately balances this by being a member of NATO and yet keeping strong links to the Arab world.
India's diplomats already carry out numerous balancing acts, with the two major ones being Russia/USA and Iran/Israel. We have excellent relations with all four of these countries.


It isn't. Samuel Huntingdon's theory of the "clash of civilisations" is too simplistic. The US and the EU see India and China as two huge markets ripe for penetrating. Widespread war will simply cause havoc and destruction to the dollar signs that most company boards are seeing in front of them.
China's economy is booming because they can manufacture goods cheaper than the West can, and they rely on the West to buy their goods. Without the West buying China's goods, China's economy is gone. If the West really wanted to kill China, all they have to do is boycott their goods. Can you tell me why they don't?

Anyway, the US and EU can't penetrate Indian and Chinese markets (like they did in the 19th century), because they can't compete with the lower costs in India and China. That's why jobs get outsourced.


Also, Western analysts are nervous about China's so-called peaceful rise. They don't believe a word of it. They look nervously at the £50-75 billion China spends on military every year, and its increasing assertiveness over regional border disputes with its neighbours such as Japan and Vietnam. The last thing the US wants is to be dragged into a war in Taiwan or over some remote islands near Japan.
The official military budget of the United States is around $700 billion, with the actual budget likely to be well over $1 trillion.

China's budget and military capabilities are nothing compared to America's. Anyone with a basic understanding of China's capabilities will know that the whole "China threat" syndrome is a joke.


However, they look upon India as a potential ally- a democratic country growing rapidly that could be cultivated as a future strategic partner. They do not view India as a threat to the West in the same way as China. If India were to join NATO, at a stroke that would reduce the chances of instability or war breaking out in Asia as China would now have to include the cost of fighting a war with a much stronger and regionally present NATO and this would temper its adventurism.
The West is not anti-China, and China is not anti-US. The talk of the hour is all about trade and making money, and that's all that China cares about. China may dream about one day replacing America as the dominant military power in the world, but that day is many decades away.


Ever heard of Neville Chamberlain? The poor British prime minister came back from a meeting with Mr Hitler and waived a piece of paper at the press as he was getting off his plane in 1938 yelling that this would bring "peace in our times". Within 6 months German tanks had crossed into Poland, Chamberlain was gone, Churchill was in, and Europe was at war.
I'm glad you know basic WWII history.

Unfortunately, China is no Nazi Germany, and India is no Britain, so your comparison makes no sense. I would prefer that you avoid insulting India by comparing it with Britain.


Our very own chacha Nehru was similarly positive about Zhou En Lai's intentions in the early 1960s. So much so that the shock of 1962 pushed him over the edge!
If Nehru was smart, he would have realised that Mao and Enlai had ill intentions starting from 1951 itself. It was his fault that he didn't realize it.

Anyway, that was a very different time back then, before India or China got nukes and before India or China started experiencing major economic growth.


Although full-blown war between India and China is unlikely, a short a bloody conflict in the North East in about 25 years is more than likely unless India can join a wider strategic alliance. China does not do compromise. It wants its lebensraum, and it will come. We can either be prepared, or cry over split milk later.
You think China wants to invade NE India for lebensraum? That's some crappy lebensraum they're going to get.

In the 1962 War, China invaded and captured all of Arunachal Pradesh. Why didn't they hold on to it, if they wanted lebensraum?

The only possible scenario where India and China might go to war in the near future is if India attempts to liberate PoK from Pakistan, which itself is an unlikely scenario.
 

Aruni

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1) Bhutan is 100% in India's orbit.
2) The Maldives are 100% in India's orbit.
3) Bangladesh (whose creation itself was a major foreign policy success) is pro-India provided the Awami League are in power.
4) We are responsible for the security of Qatar, a major oil-producing nation.
5) We have naval listening stations in Mauritius and Madagascar.
6) We have extensive defence cooperation with Russia, that's matched by few other nations in the world.
7) Most important of all, we have created a general impression in the world that India is a benevolent and peace-loving nation. Besides Pakistan, no other nation in the world regularly resorts to anti-India rhetoric.
If all we can point to are Bhutan and Maldives after 67 years, then I think its a given that our foreign policy has been a dismal failure.

You think Bangladesh is pro-India? Which world are you in? I am from West Bengal and let me tell you that anti-India bias is very strong in that country. We are perceived as a big lumbering bully which is why Dhaka is now cosying up to China. Try and explain your theory to the family of the BSF jawan who was dragged across the border by the BDR guards, tortured and maimed, and finally killed. Whilst you are at it, try and read up on the covert support given to ULFA camps in Bangladesh, together with the drugs and people smuggling nexus that exists between the BDR and various local gangs.

Apparently we are "responsibility of the security of Qatar". Is this a joke or what? We have next to zero influence in the Middle East and Qatar is a strong Western ally which does not look to India as its benefactor.

If we're down to thumping our chest about Mauritius and Madagascar, I really have nothing else to say.

Russia is the only country with whom we have a close working relationship on defence projects. And that leaves all our eggs in one basket, which is worryingly prone to renting out basket space to whoever bids the highest.


And today, the Germans and Japanese are prevented by their postwar constitutions from deploying troops on external missions, and their foreign policy and defence are almost entirely in the hands of the U.S. That's what they got for losing WWII.

I would rather India not receive any investment at all than become castrated like Germany and Japan were. Besides, India today is one of the largest destinations for foreign investors, so I don't understand your point.
India is a poor country. Not even a medium income one. It is a very poor country. Over 40% of the population lives on less than $2 a day which is a damning statistic. We need all the investment we can get. It is very easy for us to sit behind our laptops (costing many times our countrymen's monthly income) and type away about how we don't need any more investment, but we could always do with more schools, hospitals, better roads, clean drinking water, etc.

Nobody is advocating imposing a forced pacifism on India. The point is that Germany and Japan turned their countries from a wasteland (in Japan's case, a nuclear wasteland) to not only two developed industrialised nations, but into two of the world's most pioneering economies, achieving standards of excellence unparalleled in the world. A lot of that had to do with their close alliance with the free nations of the world.

There is no harm or shame in learning lessons from others' development. No need to copy their model wholesale- just pick the strengths and leave the weaknesses.

Such a military umbrella would violate our sovereignty and our strategic independence. Foreign troops on Indian soil is completely unacceptable.

Besides, India is not a small nation like Belgium or Denmark that needs to rely on the great powers for its own defence.
Why does India have to rely on others? I don't understand. India can develop its own capabilities as it is doing now. It is about securing an added layer of security. An extra set of locks on the door, that's all.

I don't understand what is wrong with having NATO troops on Indian soil if Indian troops can also be on, say, US or British soil. As part of the same security umbrella, it is only natural for such exchanges to take place. I don't see this as a threat to our sovereignty. 40,000 Americans in a base in Andaman pose no threat to us. In fact, it may act as a deterrent to China in trying anything too sneaky in the Bay of Bengal.

Yes. Russia contains the largest natural resource deposits in the world, and they have India's name on them. We have an extensive strategic partnership with Iran, which insures that they remain one of India's largest suppliers of oil. India's security treaties with Gulf countries like Qatar has already been mentioned.
This is just complete nonsense. Russia's largest market is Westwards, into Europe not India. One of our massive failures has been to secure large supplies of Russian energy even though we share close ties with them. Yes, the logistics of it makes it difficult but I'm not sure we've even tried as hard as we could.

Our relationship with Iran has some value in terms of energy supplies, but they already do more business with China. As always, we're just too satisfied of being second all the time.

Partially, yes. A complete buffer is impossible since our enemies also happen to be our neighbors. What I don't understand is how you think joining NATO will give us this "buffer", when the US itself has designated Pakistan as a "major non-NATO ally". How many NATO countries have their own sphere of influence?
Pakistan's status as major non-NATO ally means zilch. The Obama administration has repeatedly carried out drone attacks in gross violation of Pakistan's sovereignty. America is simply using Pakistan to fulfil its tactical objectives- it has no future common strategic goals with them.

With India, however, the US has many common strategic interests- improving commercial ties and checking the rise of China.

If you think India's standing in the world today is the same as its standing in 1947, then you know absolutely nothing.

Obama's visit to India in November 2010 is not something that every third world country gets.
You've just answered your own point. We are still a "third world country" as you call it. And why is that? It is our acceptance of mediocrity, of the status quo, just like what you are proposing, that has led to China from having a smaller economy in 1990 to having one four times as large in 20 years.

The US clearly cares about deepening its ties with India, hence the Obama visit. But when will we grasp the hand?

It seems you don't know much about the Indo-Russian relationship. Russia not only sells us equipment, but also jointly develops a wide variety of defence equipment ranging from BrahMos hypersonic missiles to fifth generation fighter jets, and lets India manufacture its own weapons based on Russian designs, such as the T-90S Bhishma and HAL Su-30MKI. The level of trust shown in this partnership is exemplary, because I believe no other group of two nations has the same level of defence cooperation as India and Russia. Even the US and UK, who are widely considered to be very close allies, do not have as close of a defence relationship as India and Russia. Compare the UK's share in the JSF program with India's share in the FGFA program.

Indo-Russian relationship is important not just to equip India's own armed forces, but to give India's domestic military industries the skills and technology they require to make India self-sustainable in its defence needs, which should be a top priority. Russia is willing to transfer to us the critical defence technology that we require, while the West is not.
This is not a zero-sum game. No one is saying sacrifice the relationship with Russia, which by the way is not a one-sided one. Russia gains a lot out of this relationship too. Anyway, a conflict between NATO and Russia is very unlikely so India is not going to be in a position where it will have to choose. In any case, all treaties are negotiable. Just look at the opt-outs Margaret Thatcher secured for Britain from the European Union in the 1970s. We could push for an opt out clause where NATO is in conflict with a nation with which India has a strategic relationship, such as Russia.

India's diplomats already carry out numerous balancing acts, with the two major ones being Russia/USA and Iran/Israel. We have excellent relations with all four of these countries.
Excellent relations on their own mean zilch. We need tangible benefits. Investment, knowledge sharing, security pacts. On all counts our diplomacy has been trumped every time by China.

China's economy is booming because they can manufacture goods cheaper than the West can, and they rely on the West to buy their goods. Without the West buying China's goods, China's economy is gone. If the West really wanted to kill China, all they have to do is boycott their goods. Can you tell me why they don't?
This is a ridiculous statement. Western companies have invested trillions of dollars in building facilities in China which cannot simply be abandoned overnight. Also, China holds trillions of US Treasury bonds and as such the US would have to think twice before trying to shaft China by trying to prevent its companies from doing business there. Also, the Western economies are now used to cheap products and how would the Western consumer react if goods suddenly became 10 times more expensive? There would be a dramatic fall in demand that is likely to cripple the economies of the West, at least temporarily. Also, China is a heavy importer of capital goods from the West which would be another blow for its export industries, in countries such as the US and Germany.

Yes, in a way China is a lot more entangled in the global economic system than India which means that any trade war is likely to hurt both it as well as the West. But they have also massively gained by it. They have lifted hundreds of millions of people out of poverty in less than a generation. And we have 40% of the world's malnourished children.

I repeat, it is very easy for us to lecture about India's place in the world, but as a democracy our government's primary duty is to work towards the betterment of the people who elected it. India and the West are far less likely to be in conflict, so why not bolster our alliance with this bloc of nations and use that to reduce some of the destitution that is prevalent all over India.

Anyway, the US and EU can't penetrate Indian and Chinese markets (like they did in the 19th century), because they can't compete with the lower costs in India and China. That's why jobs get outsourced.
Again, not quite the case. In China, Western companies set up factories and offices and used their local base to target the market. It has worked very well. GM is the market leader in cars in China, for example. Haven't Unilever and Proctor and Gamble done well in India? Even if we forget the local subsidiaries, expensive imports have been lapped up by the newly affluent middle classes in China and India. For example, the French luxury goods businesses (Gucci, Dior, etc) are increasingly doing very good business in these countries.

You under-estimate the ability of the West to innovate and stay ahead of the curve.

Every single business magazine is talking up China and India. Not because they love them. But because there is a massive potential for Western companies to make money there.

The official military budget of the United States is around $700 billion, with the actual budget likely to be well over $1 trillion.

China's budget and military capabilities are nothing compared to America's. Anyone with a basic understanding of China's capabilities will know that the whole "China threat" syndrome is a joke.
China may not be a major threat to the US now, but since you've forgotten, we're talking about India here. China spends, by conservative estimates, around £100 billion on defence. India spends less than £17-18 billion. This will make a difference, not today perhaps, but in 20 years.

The West is not anti-China, and China is not anti-US. The talk of the hour is all about trade and making money, and that's all that China cares about. China may dream about one day replacing America as the dominant military power in the world, but that day is many decades away.
If you follow Xinhua regularly, you will note the rabid underlying West-bashing that continues in China. Capitol Hill is also full of xenophobic papers and rants from Congressmen and policy wonks about the "China threat". There is a deep sense of suspicion in the West about China's intentions.

And if you're admitting that China may become a threat in a few decades, why should we not plan for that day now? This is precisely the kind of short-termism that has doomed us until this day.

Unfortunately, China is no Nazi Germany, and India is no Britain, so your comparison makes no sense. I would prefer that you avoid insulting India by comparing it with Britain.
When did I compare India to Britain? In fact, if India was ever able to stand alone for a year against one of the most feared military force in the world whilst the world around it crumbled (as Britain did after France fell until Pearl Harbour), it should be proud of itself. Ultimately, though, the "special relationship" between Britain and America proved decisive in the free world's triumph over Hitler. The learning point from this is that strong alliances matter in times of need. People rarely get there alone.

I don't believe in comparisons. Britain is a great nation, as is India. Both have their own rich pasts and different challenges in today's world. But I strongly believe in learning from others, as a certain Mohan used to say nearly 70 years ago.

If Nehru was smart, he would have realised that Mao and Enlai had ill intentions starting from 1951 itself. It was his fault that he didn't realize it.
And whose fault is it that we continue to ignore this problem?

Anyway, that was a very different time back then, before India or China got nukes and before India or China started experiencing major economic growth.
Nuclear weapons will prevent full-blown war, not short border skirmishes.

You think China wants to invade NE India for lebensraum? That's some crappy lebensraum they're going to get.

In the 1962 War, China invaded and captured all of Arunachal Pradesh. Why didn't they hold on to it, if they wanted lebensraum?

The only possible scenario where India and China might go to war in the near future is if India attempts to liberate PoK from Pakistan, which itself is an unlikely scenario.
You miss the point, yet again. Why did China threaten Japan with serious consequences, and go as far as ban certain exports to Japan and imprison Japanese workers on false charges over some small insignificant islands? Why does China continue to pick fights with Vietnam over where the maritime border lies in the South China Sea?

With totalitarian regimes like the one in China, its not always about the incremental benefits. It is about status, appearances, dominance and ultimately hegemony. China's eyes are fixed on the North East and we should take note.

There is a war memorial in Tawang remembering the sacrifices made by our soldiers in 1962. It reads:

For how can man die better
Than facing fearful odds
For the ashes of his fathers
And the temple of his Gods.


I do not want my countrymen, the brave souls who survive on so little and yet give so much, to face fearful odds again.

I do not want communists celebrating in Kolkata, waiting to welcome their Chinese brethren as victors, as they did in 1962.

I don't want my soldiers to be asked to do the impossible once again.

I don't want to take a chance with my country. I want to be prepared.
 
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pmaitra

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The kind of remarks as uttered by the prada guy are typical of indian nationalists, and they clearly show that these people are not really interested in the well-being of their majority impoverished country men, hence we can conclude that all their professed love for india is fake in its essence.
You are correct in your facts; dead wrong in your implied solution.

India must invest in military, poor, malnutritioned et al. notwithstanding. Otherwise, we will again end up being yet another 'British Indian Empire.' We don't want that. We are whatever we are, but we are independent. Hope that clears the air.
 

Armand2REP

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Apparently we are "responsibility of the security of Qatar". Is this a joke or what? We have next to zero influence in the Middle East and Qatar is a strong Western ally which does not look to India as its benefactor.
That one left me scratching my head. Last time I checked, France was responsible for the security of Qatar, as well as UAE.

If we're down to thumping our chest about Mauritius and Madagascar, I really have nothing else to say.
Again Madagascar left me scratching my head. Their only defence pact is with France, even though it is never exercised.
 

pmaitra

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Whatever for?

They are a redundant organisation as it is!
I totally second this. Warsaw Pact does not exist. Even the USSR does not exist. NATO is redundant.

Also, when a powerful country invades a NATO ally, NATO will simply sit quietly and give out press statements. The hammering of Mikhail Saakashvili's Georgia by Russia should be an eye opener for all.
 

The Messiah

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I don't understand what is wrong with having NATO troops on Indian soil.
:pound:

You're out of your mind.

You cant see the difference in India 50 years ago and now and what it will 50 years from now ?
 
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Aruni

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I totally second this. Warsaw Pact does not exist. Even the USSR does not exist. NATO is redundant.

Also, when a powerful country invades a NATO ally, NATO will simply sit quietly and give out press statements. The hammering of Mikhail Saakashvili's Georgia by Russia should be an eye opener for all.
Georgia is not a NATO member. NATO didn't have to risk war with Russia over Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Pakistan is also a major non-NATO ally. That means nothing. What we should go for is NATO membership, and inclusion of India in the integrated military command structure of NATO.

:pound:

You're out of your mind.

You cant see the difference in India 50 years ago and now and what it will 50 years from now ?
India will not be able to realise its potential 50 years from now if we carry on with our impotent foreign policy. The time has come to place some bets, not indecisive dithering that has paralysed our policies for the past 67 years.

And stop quoting me selectively. The point was that in a reciprocity agreement, I don't see any problem with NATO troops in NATO countries. That would include Indian troops on US oil, for example.
 

The Messiah

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You are naive and also ignorant if you think us,england etc will allow Indian troops in there country as equals.

All you want is that India becomes a puppet of the west because we can't defend ourselves. I will not tolerate any foreign troops on Indian soil and many Indians wont either. We are more than capable of defending ourselves in a war against any country (except usa but they too cant invade and occupy India). And even chinese members have acknowledged that a direct war between Indian and china is only a wetdream of the west and wont happen over a small piece of land...they only make noises so they dont look weak in front of there own people.

Your foreign policy = become subservient to the west (nato)....what a fantastic foreign policy if i may add :rolleyes:

Your fucking nato without the help of usa can't even get rid of gaddafi...if they tried the same over India they'd receive unacceptable losses. so why should be join them purely from a military point of view ?
 
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Godless-Kafir

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Aruni although i agree on most parts with you, however i fail to get convinced about siding with NATO helping us in anyway. If you thinking siding with NATO will help us in anyway then your mistaken, no one will help the poor in our country, no amount of sucking up to the west will solve our economic difficulties. I know back of the mind many such pro western people think getting pale with the west will get us some where, Pakistan got the coveted title of major non-nato ally for 40 years and they got no where. Help can only come from ourselves and if we choose to build a great nation. Siding with NATO helps us in no way except get us new enemies and neither will it end our old enemies. If it cant do any of it i fail to see what is the use in it.

Note: None of our assertion here are born out of mere nationalistic pride which drives us into blind denial, i for one honestly dont see any use in that. We black and brown people wont become white people by joining NATO and you wont get any better treatment in England by selling us out here! Your doomed to the color of your skin, face it!! hehe :p
 
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Aruni

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The point is pursuing an independent foreign policy but having strong alliances at the same time. Western powers quite frankly have other things on their mind rather than to try and undermine India's progress, as some people appear to think. Joining NATO does not necessarily lead to surrendering of one's sovereignty. Turkey continues to pursue its own foreign policy (clubbing the PKK despite howls from left wingers all over the West, for example) despite being part of NATO.

The big gain is achieving an extra layer of security. It doesn't mean stop our own spending on defence, and building relationships with strong non-NATO countries. It is about an extra weapon in the armoury.

People were howling all over India when the Indo-US nuclear deal was muted. However, this was a good deal and despite some compromises from our part, we did the correct thing by signing it. Same goes for NATO membership.

The worrying thing is that many people continue to over-estimate our own capabilities and under-estimate China's. They also are too naive to see through China's real intentions. Nobody wants their limelight to be stolen. China wants to rise, towering above all else, and it doesn't want India to steal its thunder. There won't be full blown war, but truncating India and clipping our wings has got to be one of Beijing's strategic priorities.

Where will the arm-chair nationalists go when Tawang is overran once again? Nothing wrong in being prepared.
 

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Why should India join NATO and be blamed for attacking poor countries for nothing. Its oil which is playing the business here and that could be taken care of by having good relations with African countries. Joining any such organization will speed up the arms race in the region. We have our own problems and should work on it accordingly. We need to have programs on National Integration, more research and development taking nature into consideration. We use more oil in battle fields than on roads. Every day we mess up the ozone protection layer more and still don't know how to repair it.

Its peace which finally wins and we should not be a part of any such organization which is charged with mass extermination of humans leaving the area inhospitable for years. Where ever these people go, they create such a mess that our heart cries.

Its was enmity between Saddam and Bush which left 3 million dead and counting. Look at the world around. No fresh air to breath, no clean water to drink, natural calamities happening everyday.

NATO is a rot but we are helpless. Joining them is the worst thing we would to to India.
 
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pmaitra

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Georgia is not a NATO member. NATO didn't have to risk war with Russia over Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Pakistan is also a major non-NATO ally. That means nothing. What we should go for is NATO membership, and inclusion of India in the integrated military command structure of NATO.
Georgia was important for the Baku-Tblisi-Ceyhan pipeline. That would have benefited USA as well a Turkey and other NATO members.

But Saakashvili learnt a good lesson:
"Never punch a bear in the nose unless it is tied down."
 

The Messiah

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I hope she lives a very long life to see that India isn't as inept as she thinks it is. Hope she enjoys her stay in england where aircraft carriers are operated without any aircrafts :)

China may be many things but it isn't run by suicidal maniacs like pakistan and will only go into a war against another country if they know for certain they'll win quickly and without any major losses and they know that wont be possible in a war with India.

Western powers quite frankly have other things on their mind rather than to try and undermine India's progress, as some people appear to think.
Please enlighten us what other things do they have on there minds ? you think they dont want to remain the superpower ?
 
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civfanatic

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But Saakashvili learnt a good lesson:
"Never punch a bear in the nose unless it is tied down."
But Sakaashvili thought the bear was tied down...?

The lesson he learned was:
"Don't shit in the bear's backyard, 'cuz he'll smell it and proceed to kick your ass."
 

civfanatic

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If all we can point to are Bhutan and Maldives after 67 years, then I think its a given that our foreign policy has been a dismal failure.

If we're down to thumping our chest about Mauritius and Madagascar, I really have nothing else to say.

Russia is the only country with whom we have a close working relationship on defence projects. And that leaves all our eggs in one basket, which is worryingly prone to renting out basket space to whoever bids the highest.
India lacked the power necessary to "draw" other nations prior to 1990. But we still accomplished a lot for a third world country, and a middle power. If we had joined NATO, or more accurately, its Eastern variant, CENTO, we would have been even more restricted in our foreign policy.

Say what you want, but if India showed anything in its short modern history, it showed that it was capable of following an independent foreign policy that looked after its own interests. This is something that very few other "Third World" or developing countries can claim.


You think Bangladesh is pro-India?
Yes. Bangladesh is pro-India when the Awami League is in power. If you disagree with that statement, the bold part in particular, you should do some more reading on the history of Indo-Bangladesh relations.

Apparently we are "responsibility of the security of Qatar". Is this a joke or what? We have next to zero influence in the Middle East and Qatar is a strong Western ally which does not look to India as its benefactor.
No, it is not a joke. The ignorant French guy should also take a look at this.
http://www.hindu.com/2008/11/11/stories/2008111158180100.htm

India has a lot more influence in the Middle East than you think. Not just politically, but also in terms of people-to-people relations, which is India's strong point in the region.


India is a poor country.
It is. And joining NATO/CENTO would not have helped that.

Today, we are getting plenty of investment while still being neutral politically. I say continue.


Nobody is advocating imposing a forced pacifism on India.
You are if you are advocating a formal alliance with the West.

Doing so would mean India would never again be able to act independently and offensively against Pakistan.


I don't understand what is wrong with having NATO troops on Indian soil if Indian troops can also be on, say, US or British soil. As part of the same security umbrella, it is only natural for such exchanges to take place. I don't see this as a threat to our sovereignty. 40,000 Americans in a base in Andaman pose no threat to us. In fact, it may act as a deterrent to China in trying anything too sneaky in the Bay of Bengal.
Lol, this is just a gem. Having 40,000 Americans in a base in Andaman pose no threat to us. I think I should frame this.

I hope you know that prostitution is illegal in India.


This is just complete nonsense. Russia's largest market is Westwards, into Europe not India. One of our massive failures has been to secure large supplies of Russian energy even though we share close ties with them. Yes, the logistics of it makes it difficult but I'm not sure we've even tried as hard as we could.
Read about the TAPI pipeline project.

Russia is not our main source of energy today because the Middle East is a lot closer (easier/cheaper to access) and fulfills our present energy demands. But in the future, you can definitely expect Russia to become a major supply of energy to India.


Our relationship with Iran has some value in terms of energy supplies, but they already do more business with China. As always, we're just too satisfied of being second all the time.
How much Iranian energy could we get if we were part of NATO?

Iran does more business wih China simply because they China has a greater demand for energy than we do, and Iran has the reserves to export to whatever countries it wishes. But India's demand is increasing at a rapid pace, and this will see a correlating increase in our business with Iran and other countries.


Pakistan's status as major non-NATO ally means zilch. The Obama administration has repeatedly carried out drone attacks in gross violation of Pakistan's sovereignty.
Which shows how much America values its non-Western allies. I don't know why are advocating India joining into a formal alliance with the US despite knowing this.


America is simply using Pakistan to fulfil its tactical objectives- it has no future common strategic goals with them.
America DOES have a huge strategic interest in the region, but that interest will be pursued at the expense of Pakistan.


You've just answered your own point. We are still a "third world country" as you call it. And why is that? It is our acceptance of mediocrity, of the status quo, just like what you are proposing, that has led to China from having a smaller economy in 1990 to having one four times as large in 20 years.
Wait, what? Are you saying that the reason why China grew so rapidly has something to do with India? Now you've lost me.


The US clearly cares about deepening its ties with India, hence the Obama visit. But when will we grasp the hand?
We've already grasped America's hand, while making it clear to America that it can't grasp us by the balls (like it has with out neighbors).

The rejection of American planes in the MMRCA deal shows that.


This is a ridiculous statement. Western companies have invested trillions of dollars in building facilities in China which cannot simply be abandoned overnight. Also, China holds trillions of US Treasury bonds and as such the US would have to think twice before trying to shaft China by trying to prevent its companies from doing business there. Also, the Western economies are now used to cheap products and how would the Western consumer react if goods suddenly became 10 times more expensive? There would be a dramatic fall in demand that is likely to cripple the economies of the West, at least temporarily. Also, China is a heavy importer of capital goods from the West which would be another blow for its export industries, in countries such as the US and Germany.
Well, you've proved my point. China and the US/West will never go to war because their economies are too inter-dependent. Also, in the case of a Sino-Indian War, why would the US/West support us against China, when they have a lot more invested in China?

China has proved that it is possible to profit from the West while staying away from political alignment with the West. Your insistence that India politically align with the West to gain economically is unfounded; we should just repeat what China itself has done.


China may not be a major threat to the US now, but since you've forgotten, we're talking about India here. China spends, by conservative estimates, around £100 billion on defence. India spends less than £17-18 billion. This will make a difference, not today perhaps, but in 20 years.
Even with that budget size, China can't invade India. The terrain of the Himalayas is such that it equalizes the conflicting armies.

Despite all the hype, China would be very hard-pressed to repeat 1962, especially with 200,000 Indian troops and multiple squadrons of combat aircraft in the NE. It cannot secure a quick, relatively bloodless, or politically acceptable victory.


If you follow Xinhua regularly, you will note the rabid underlying West-bashing that continues in China. Capitol Hill is also full of xenophobic papers and rants from Congressmen and policy wonks about the "China threat". There is a deep sense of suspicion in the West about China's intentions.
The anti-West sentiment in China and the anti-China sentiment in the West is for public consumption only. Read some real news, rather than Xinhua or Fox:
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2011/may/17/chinese-to-view-sensitive-us-sites/


And if you're admitting that China may become a threat in a few decades, why should we not plan for that day now?
Because it is in India's interest to be friendly with China, rather than engage in a fruitless US-Soviet style Cold War. In a few decades, India's own power and geopolitical position will not be the same either.


When did I compare India to Britain? In fact, if India was ever able to stand alone for a year against one of the most feared military force in the world whilst the world around it crumbled (as Britain did after France fell until Pearl Harbour), it should be proud of itself. Ultimately, though, the "special relationship" between Britain and America proved decisive in the free world's triumph over Hitler. The learning point from this is that strong alliances matter in times of need. People rarely get there alone.
Funny thing, is that over 80% of Nazi casualties were inflicted by the Soviet Union. The war was fought and won on the Eastern Front. U.S. deserves credit for defeating Imperial Japan, but not Nazi Germany. Britain doesn't deserve credit for either, although the Royal Air Force did a good job in defending the island itself from the Germans.

But all of this is off topic.

I don't believe in comparisons. Britain is a great nation, as is India. Both have their own rich pasts
There is nothing great about a nation that exploits others for its own benefit, as Britain had done for over three centuries before its empire crumbled.

Britain should not only be thrown into the dustbin of history, the lid should be permanently glued shut. Let us end this horrid chapter of history.


You miss the point, yet again. Why did China threaten Japan with serious consequences, and go as far as ban certain exports to Japan and imprison Japanese workers on false charges over some small insignificant islands? Why does China continue to pick fights with Vietnam over where the maritime border lies in the South China Sea?
You were arguing about lebensraum before, what happened to that argument?

What China is doing today is trying to assert its influence in its neighorhood, which it has not been able to do in the past due to its struggling economy. China has a right to pursue and obtain its own sphere and influence, as every great power does. Compare China's actions today with America's actions in the early 20th century in the Caribbean, when it was emerging into great power status.

What India should do, is not pursue a reactive policy against China as you are suggesting, but a proactive one aimed at securing its own interests and carving out its own sphere of influence. This is what India is attempting to do, but the fruits of this labour will not be apparent immediately.
 
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