Since we are on a thread specific to a military transaction, I must state points on two fronts – the strategic implications as well as the military wisdom of incorporating American hardware.
From a military hardware perspectivce:
- We are creating a monster with the variety that exists in our defence procurements. The number of weapons systems that are incompatible on different platforms is already a pain that we are dealing with – Russian, French, British and Israeli
Yes, we do have a logistical nightmare, but the F-35 is one single unit, unlike let's say INS Shivalik, which is a hotpotch of different countries or even NLCA.
- Our diversification in procurement is a double edged sword. We may or may not get access to technologies but even if we do it is at the cost of impeding our own development. We will end up doing what the Chinese do – only legally
It depends when the forces want it.
- The AESA development timeline is far shorter than the proposed procurement timelines. We would have also significantly enhanced the Astra BVRAAM by then – it will possibly be THE missile in 10 years. The LCA already uses more composites than any other modern plane. Do not underestimate the progress we have made in material and nano-science and hence stealth thereof. In the AMCA the DRDO and HAL finally have the opportunity to break the shackles and come up with a plane that counts among the best.
NLCA has NO Range, it is not the fighter IN is looking for. IN is looking for a fighter which is not as short legged as NLCA. Regarding AMCA, Timelines is all that matters, We have to achieve 200 fighter IN air power by 2022 vision document, AMCA is to be inducted in 2030 as per new Ashok Nayak interview. The Navy wont wait for that, and it shouldnt.
- Assuming the F 35 is even 25% better, the caveats it comes with are not worth it. In the longer run the AMCA will be far more beneficial to us than any foreign procurement. I really hope the FGFA will be the last big military hardware India will ever need to buy.
Our threats are just way too great , advanced and over-whelming for the Armed Forces to wait for DRDO, ADA and others to catch up to adequately give them a system. I expect India to go down a route, where we will partner with many countries on a very high level. China will kill for such opportunity. It will be some headed by us, some headed by others; though role will be equal and from the R&D stage.
I just do not see military sense in buying the F 35 – too many strings attached and will impede our own development programs
You have to see whether we have an option for the Navy's requirement from the 2022 perspective? I agree with you, in regards to F-35 shouldnt allowed to stop the MMRCA or FGFA/PAKFA program. But for the Navy's requirement of 100 fighters before 2022, they do fit the bill.
From a geo-strategic perspective
- America does not have an EQUAL ally. They never have, they never will. I will not even try to explain this but you can choose to point out a single ally of America that is treated as an equal. (when the French said they did not want to fight in Iraq, the twats here renamed French Fries as Freedom Fries!!!).
I think I have a little more confidence in India regarding this. Everything changes. USA is quite aware of what India is and will be. But India has to act like global power, it has to show its confidence. Our people will need to behave like we belong to a global power. What has happened before, will not happen again. But PakChin will.
As a fiercely nationalistic and independent Indian, I feel very strongly about anything to do with being sheltered by the US umbrella. Now you may say that's not how it is going to be, but not one American will think otherwise. Not one American will think of India being an EQUAL partner. Over time, this alliance is going to become one of such severe dependence that we will eventually have to start towing the US line on International Affairs. Pointer – Iran sanctions.
All good, As fiercely nationalistic and independent you are, I do hope you are rationalist and realist. The PakChin threat is very real. We need help. I think you are over-estimating US to influence India, they will not be able to do anything of that above. Ofcourse we will have to give them a few, and they will do the same. We might have budged a little for Iran, but do you think it came without any reciprocity? Indo-Afghan agreement has complete blessings of the US. What about Vietnam? Not everything is going to happen as India wants, not everything is going to happen as US wants.
Now you may ask how does buying 200 jets result in this situation? The simple answer is we can't have a leg in each boat. Over time every action taken by the GOI that furthers the Indo-US song, drives another nail into the coffin of the Indo-Russian one.
i hope you are clear, that I am supporting the 100 jet fighter buy for the Navy. If we ever have to a leg someone else's boat, we do need to to atleast for some more time, it certainly shouldnt be the Russian boat. Russians are the one who is nailing the coffin of the Indo-Russian relationship. That is the hard truth.
Geo-politics is always evolving. Our Non-Alignment stance was hardly that. We still needed the Russians to help us. Why point fingers at anyone regarding the Russian – Chinese dilly dallying?
Vajpayee signed a strategic pact with Putin in 2000. What has the UPA done to further our partnership with Russia? The FGFA was conceptualized a decade ago and we were in talks then, no points to the UPA there either.
The Russian Chinese alliance is based on a simple fact that Russia has raw materials and China needs them. The Russians are a technology supplier because they get paid for it. There is nothing more to the Russian Chinese alliance than an economic one.
You are wrong in that trackwhack, the biggest reason of Russian-Chinese alliance is USA. We have done much with Russians, but lets very honest, they are now just hot air when it comes to us. Russia is treating us quite badly, I sometimes feel it is at the behest of the Chinese. India has done much for Russia in the past 20 years, Su-30MKI buy was done specifically by India to save Sukhoi at the call of Yelstien.
So, yes, buying the F 35 from the US will do irreparable damage to Indo-Russian ties. My personal opinion is we cannot afford that.
Thank you for reading through my long response.
Too bad if it does, because India should never have any relationship on which it has no leverage. F-35 is not going to destroy Indo-Russian ties, just like the MMRCA didnt.