Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

Indrajit

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Not really. The graph is generally like a bell shaped curve. So, increase in doubling time would indicate how close we are to flatten the curve.
Maharashtra’s figures aren’t trustworthy, so that part is all bs. If nearly a 1000 cases turn up in Karnataka from Maharashtra who haven’t been tested, it’s very clear that Maharashtra is no longer fighting this. What’s happening now is an attempt to manage, not the virus spread but the media coverage.
 

Indrajit

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TN saying that almost everyone returning from Maharashtra is Wuhan virus +ve.
 

Bhumihar

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Some US-India covid-19 stats for comparison.

Total tests:
US - 15,766,114
IN - 3,362,136

Total positive:
US - 1,897,701
IN - 158,333

Positive % against total tested:
US - 12%
IN - 3.56%

Total deaths -
US - 102,114
IN - 4,531

Mortality rate -
US - 5.26%
IN - 2.86%

Total recovered -
US - 4,90,130
IN - 67,692

Recovery rate -
US - 25.82%
IN - 42%


The comparison is not fair at all.
 

indiatester

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5/26/2020 151767 64425 83004 6387 2282 4337
Total cases today at 151767 (prev: 145380) and
  • Active Status
    83004 Active Cases (prev: 80722)
  • Inactive Status
    64425 Cured / Discharged
  • Death Status
    4337 Deaths
  • Inactive Status
    1 Migrated

Thats a jump of total 6387/2282 active. Same yesterday was (6535/3619) compared to day before(6977/3543) .
Lowest growth in last 10 days
Check the 2nd plot for the growth numbers (active alone)

View attachment 48753

COVID-19 INDIA as on : 27 May 2020, 08:00 IST (GMT+5:30)
5/27/2020 158333 67691 86110 6566 3106 4531
Total cases today at 158333 (prev: 151767) and
  • Active Status
    86110 Active Cases (prev: 83004)
  • Inactive Status
    67691 Cured / Discharged
  • Death Status
    4531 Deaths
  • Inactive Status
    1 Migrated

Thats a jump of total 6566/3106 active. Same yesterday was (6387/2282) compared to day before(6535/3619) .
Check the 2nd plot for the growth numbers (active alone)

1590686019612.png


COVID-19 INDIA as on : 28 May 2020, 08:00 IST (GMT+5:30
 

skywatcher

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One week ago, I said India was at the take-off point of an exponential curve of cases. Nobody listened to my candid warning and the forum regulator deleted my post out of ulterior motives. Now I have a bad hunch that India has the potential to get to the top 3. Russia seems to have succeeded in flattening the second derivative of the curve.
 

Longewala

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One week ago, I said India was at the take-off point of an exponential curve of cases. Nobody listened to my candid warning and the forum regulator deleted my post out of ulterior motives. Now I have a bad hunch that India has the potential to get to the top 3. Russia seems to have succeeded in flattening the second derivative of the curve.
Not India, Maharashtra

And if we can control spread from migrants into other states, the situation is still recoverable.

It's simply Jamaati part 2.
 
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Indrajit

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i read in news that Karnataka has banned all flights and trains from Mh,GJ,TN and Rajasthan . Hope it can reduce the spread now
I think they were forced to back off from a complete ban, the central government was probably not happy about it. In any case, the present number of people in quarantine are good to add numbers for the next 10+ days atleast. The real problem though is Maharashtra itself. Can you imagine what the real figures of the infection spread looks like if almost everyone from that state is testing +ve in many different states? I have seen reports of hospitals refusing/unable to test and simply sending back patients. At this rate though, Maharashtra may be the first state to actually have herd immunity in a few months.
 

Holy Triad

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This is a very moving video shared by
@path2shah
that needs immediate attention. Azad, a #migrant with 2 kids & friend with special needs, are living out of a cement pipe for last 5 days near #KSR Railway Station in Bangalore. He wants 2 go back to Ghaziabad and has no money.



 

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