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I have written a new piece on the US Taliban talks on our CMS
http://defenceforumindia.com/uss-dangerous-tango-with-taliban-1969
http://defenceforumindia.com/uss-dangerous-tango-with-taliban-1969
Funny enough, Af is an area where China and India can and probably will have to collaborate. China will not be able to bank on Pak to keep Taliban and its ideology in check for its own good in East Turkestan.dont see any alternative unless US willing to stay to fight on. no other powers wanna get quagmired either.
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theres a thread on "soft partition". a fragmented AFG partitioned into 2 or more virtually will serve China's interest as well with PAK effectively engaging Talib. and barring India from the gameFunny enough, Af is an area where China and India can and probably will have to collaborate. China will not be able to bank on Pak to keep Taliban and its ideology in check for its own good in East Turkestan.
Any deal with Taliban is going to be trouble for China. Mark my wordstheres a thread on "soft partition". a fragmented AFG partitioned into 2 or more virtually will serve China's interest as well with PAK effectively engaging Talib. and barring India from the game
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Making deals with Talib. is not an option but a must. I once read an article on DFI (unable to search for now) on how Indian (and other) firms already had to lubricate different factions to keep businesses going. The ground reality dictates so, then it's nothing new, with large projects Chinese have hands in like copper mines and oil fields being borne in mind.Any deal with Taliban is going to be trouble for China. Mark my words
China already has issues with Pak on East Turkestan movement. Have fun dealing with TalibanMaking deals with Talib. is not an option but a must. I once read an article on DFI (unable to search for now) on how Indian (and other) firms already had to lubricate different factions to keep businesses going. The ground reality dictates so, then it's nothing new.
Again China has PAK to broker with Talib. which is a force to reckon with. A "partitioned" AFG will be even easier to deal with (Reference: Iraq which is also in a de facto soft partition with Shiite, Sunni, and Kurds).
And in your analysis Hezbollah and Hamas are called "terrorist organizations". That's not GoI's official stand to my knowledge.
It's not for the faint hearted. For risk aversion India pls stay outside of the game. However, even if China backs off Mud like" East Turkestan" will still be slung to China. Then it's better for China (already a big stakeholder) to proactively pursue a situation in our own favour along with allies (PAK, SCO).if you deal with devil, he will eat you.
.The US moves to talk with and deal with Taliban in order to secure "safe passage" for its troops and equipment is going to has lasting repercussions for both the region as well as the world at large
Tell that to Obama and Kerry. Talibs are playing hard ball that i expected and they may not even be interested in any deal. But the thing is that Karzai too has been lost as he has been back stabbed. India has no reason to be enthused. I am sure Kerry will be given an ear full when he meets up for the strategic dialog over the next couple of days here in India..
Force protection should never be linked to negotiations with or concessions from an enemy!
They're not returning my calls.Tell that to Obama and Kerry..
Tell them you are a democratThey're not returning my calls.
Even Democrtas must be big donors for access :-(Tell them you are a democrat
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