USA China Cold War

mist_consecutive

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Murica has never fought a capable nation independently in all it's lifetime. America thuggery is limited to Middle East and some shithole African countries.
They have never fought a behemoths like China nor does it's population has an appetite of war.
Any war with more than 1000 body bags will break the spirit of Murica, they will be show their aukat.
And neither has China fought anyone, not even a weak country. People on Weibo are already baying for peace and are against war. Chinese people have no appetite for bloodshed.

Murica will never fight a war directly where they will get humiliated, they can resort to other tricks but not war. US cannot fight in a Contested Air space, they cannot fight in contested waters.
When I say cannot fight I mean their is no resolve to fight.
American Navy and Air Force can provide adequate cover for the Taiwanese army to mount a successful defense. If you think they will not fight a direct war, just yesterday America sent a 40-60 aircraft fleet to defend Nancy Pelosi's plane from Chinese threats, and I reckon they weren't armed with bouquets.
 

IndianHawk

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Murica will never fight a war directly where they will get humiliated, they can resort to other tricks but not war. US cannot fight in a Contested Air space, they cannot fight in contested waters.
When I say cannot fight I mean their is no resolve to fight.
And where is chini resolve to fight??
This was perfect opportunity. Chinese was crying like bitches in heat and what did they do??

Humiliated themselves to Oblivion lol.

You gotta understand chinese junk is not battle ready . And it won't be for another 15-20 years.
 

Waanar

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Abe laddu hai kya jo le lenge ?

China can't mount a successful Taiwan invasion. It will be worse than Ukraine. Also, 3 American CBGs are around Taiwan, plus the Japanese Navy.

How do you propose China can do anything ?

See this video 👇

Just my theory.
The rest.... only time will tell.

Chinese people have no appetite for bloodshed.
Chinese people have no say over their own fate.

American Navy and Air Force can provide adequate cover for the Taiwanese army to mount a successful defense. If you think they will not fight a direct war, just yesterday America sent a 40-60 aircraft fleet to defend Nancy Pelosi's plane from Chinese threats, and I reckon they weren't armed with bouquets.
American Navy and American Air Force can. What I'm saying is they won't. The forces they sent were to preposition their troops to save their GILF senator and even if they station them permanently, you can be sure they will stand idle or flee if a war starts.

Some 2000 dead soldiers would get Biden lynched by his own countrymen.
 

Jimih

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Well, the good thing is China is not a capable enemy.

There is absolutely 0% chance Taiwan will get captured. I can bet my left nut on it.
Our mate once again wants his name to be featured in Chinese SM just like it was featured during Galwan Clash.

Are you getting it? :)
 

IndianHawk

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Just my theory.
The rest.... only time will tell.


Chinese people have no say over their own fate.


American Navy and American Air Force can. What I'm saying is they won't.

Some 2000 dead soldiers would get Biden lynched by his own countrymen.
You are under estimating what's at stake for usa against China. It's not just another proxy war which will be localised.

If USA doesn't fight china it means end of UD hegemony which means end of US dollar and with that goes away all of American prosperity.
This is life and death for them. American will fight their own to defend dollars might .

They can't just give up all they have enjoyed for 60 years without fighting.

China will have to earn it by fighting and chinese are in no position to actually fight with there current unreliable gear. So it's 15-20 more years of cold war before anything gets hot. Till then it's endless humiliation for China against USA.
 

mist_consecutive

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Chinese people have no say over their own fate.
Chinese are not hardcore people like Slavs. Their generals will refuse order once the bodybags start coming. The same thing happened during the last 2 years, PLA western command head got switched twice in like one year time.

American Navy and American Air Force can. What I'm saying is they won't. The forces they sent were to preposition their troops to save their GILF senator.

Some 2000 dead soldiers would get Biden lynched by his own countrymen.
Why they won't ? They have pledged to support Taiwan in case of Chinese invasion, again and again.

Second, even if we leave talks, Taiwan being snatched by China while America stands watching will establish China as the new superpower, especially in the whole of South East Asia. If Taiwan falls, the natural dominos after it will be the Philippines and Japan (or parts of it).

With the fall of Taiwan, America loses the whole semiconductor market, which means China will be unlimited veto power over any nation that needs semiconductors (which is like, every nation). The stakes are just too high.
 

Waanar

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And how these 2k soldiers will die when/if there won't be any boot on the ground please?
That's what I'm saying. There won't be any boots on the ground because Biden, as close as he may seem to death, is not suicidal. Yet.

You are under estimating what's at stake for usa against China. It's not just another proxy war which will be localised.

If USA doesn't fight china it means end of UD hegemony which means end of US dollar and with that goes away all of American prosperity.
This is life and death for them. American will fight their own to defend dollars might .

They can't just give up all they have enjoyed for 60 years without fighting.

China will have to earn it by fighting and chinese are in no position to actually fight with there current unreliable gear. So it's 15-20 more years of cold war before anything gets hot. Till then it's endless humiliation for China against USA.
US didn't fight in Roos. US sure as fuck won't fight in Taiwan.
The financial losses will hit both sides as the inevitable US-China economic decoupling happens way more violently than it would've, had US not got feisty and jumped the gun on China.

As for the Chinese side, dictatorships have a tendency to be unpredictable (in an unwanted way) and I fully expect China to overreact to their geopolitical bondage session streamed live on every news channel in a more dramatic way.
 

Jimih

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With the fall of Taiwan, America loses the whole semiconductor market, which means China will be unlimited veto power over any nation that needs semiconductors (which is like, every nation). The stakes are just too high.
That's is what I am saying for past few posts,

"Taiwan will be kept alive as long it is serving for the Chip requirement of the free world."

Addition to that Han Chinese don't have any resolve to fight, they were waving white flags in Weibo yesterday, saying "War vely vely bad".
 

Waanar

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Chinese are not hardcore people like Slavs. Their generals will refuse order once the bodybags start coming. The same thing happened during the last 2 years, PLA western command head got switched twice in like one year time.



Why they won't ? They have pledged to support Taiwan in case of Chinese invasion, again and again.

Second, even if we leave talks, Taiwan being snatched by China while America stands watching will establish China as the new superpower, especially in the whole of South East Asia. If Taiwan falls, the natural dominos after it will be the Philippines and Japan (or parts of it).

With the fall of Taiwan, America loses the whole semiconductor market, which means China will be unlimited veto power over any nation that needs semiconductors (which is like, every nation). The stakes are just too high.
I understand what you're saying but you have to take history in consideration. After Korea, US has not fought a conventional enemy for their allies in forever.
In fact, they even refused to protect their allies from non-state actors, tucked tail and left.

Also, I forget where I read it and what it actually was but basically, the gist of the article/book/video (don't remember which exactly) was that US has certain countermeasures in Taiwan to prevent the acquisition of semiconductor market in case CCP succeeds.

We'll just have to wait and see. Khayali pulaos don't make you fat but they sure as hell aren't healthy.
 

mist_consecutive

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Just for people who think China will mount an actual invasion on Taiwan, remember there was a month-long build-up of Russian forces before they attacked. The whole NATO got activated, they started massive number of ELINT flights daily to observe Russian movements, and there were periodic updates upon what was going to happen, well in advance.

Well, nothing of such sorts till now.
 

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