The Syrian Crisis

W.G.Ewald

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This visit by McCain disturbs me; he obviously has the blessing of the US State Dept. Obama has made no case to Americans about bringing down Assad, nor Gaddafi nor Mubarak. His hubris may bring about his own downfall, God willing.
 

SajeevJino

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Assad: Russia already delivered
S-300 batteries


Syrian president says first batch of surface-air missiles arrived; Israeli defense official vows to prevent system becoming
operational


In an interview with Hezbollah's Al-Manar
television scheduled to be broadcast Thursday night, the Syrian leader boasted that Syria had received the first batch of
missiles and asserted that "the rest of the load will arrive soon," the Lebanese daily Al Akhbar reported.
Israeli media reports earlier in the week said Netanyahu had warned Putin of a descent into war should Russia to go ahead
with the delivery. Netanyahu said that if acquired by Assad, the S-300 "is likely to draw us into a response, and could send
the region deteriorating into war," Channel 2 reported.

www.timesofisrael.com/assad-russia-...teries/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter


The complex S-300 air defense system, considered one of the most advanced in
the world, takes about four months to become operational and would require intensive training including calibration that can only be carried out on-site in Syria,
 

rock127

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Guys some sites say its km range is 150 and some 200...is this some export version since its supposed to be 300range isnt it?
 

Shirman

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^^^^^^^^NO its the standard version with proper 250-300km altitude range i guess the Soveit era PMU mersion........Quiet Deadly i must say...........
 

amoy

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Russia sends arms to Syria as it tries to reassert its role in region - The Washington Post

Raghida Dergham, a Lebanese newspaper columnist who also attended the forum, said she was struck by the nationalist notes sounded by several of the Russian speakers and hosts, whom she described as unapologetic about Moscow's backing not only for the repressive government in Damascus but in Tehran as well. At the same time, the Russians seemed eager to engage Muslim Brotherhood leaders in Egypt and Gaza, despite worries about a growing Islamist problem at home, she wrote in a blog.

"The broad headline appeared to be that Russia was turning a new leaf, tempering in appearance the tone of its 'no' to the rise of Islamic power, while insisting in effect on absolutely refusing to allow them to come to power in Damascus," Dergham wrote. "As for the stance on Syria, it was identical across the spectrum of Russian opinions, being, in short, one of complete support for Russia's role in its political, military and diplomatic aspects."

The same message is being conveyed through diplomatic channels in Arab capitals, including in Sunni-Arab majority states that are actively supporting the Syria rebels, according to Middle East diplomats and senior policy analysts based in the region. Moscow has repeatedly torpedoed U.N. resolutions intended to punish Assad, and earlier this month, it blocked Syria's southern neighbor, Jordan, from formally requesting a U.N. Security Council inspection of Syrian refugee camps along its northern border. Lavrov said the inspections could become a pretext for "foreign intervention" in the Syrian conflict.

Some Middle East diplomats and experts expressed concern about what one described as a "new Cold War" in the region, with Washington and Moscow backing opposing sides in an endless series of proxy battles. Moustafa Alani, director of national security and terrorism studies at the Gulf Research Center, an influential think tank in Dubai, said Russia appears to be challenging what until recently was conventional wisdom in the region: that Russia has lost influence in the region by backing the losing sides in the Arab Spring revolts.
 

The Last Stand

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@amoy sir, why are Russkies going mad and providing S-300 to Hezbollah's no.1 fan? I'm not aware of anything in middle-east politics.
 
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amoy

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@amoy sir, why are Russkies going mad and providing S-300 to Hezbollah's no.1 fan? I'm not aware of anything in middle-east politics.
I'm humbled pls dont call me sir.

My feel is Ruski ji has hardened his heart to do whatever needful to keep his last stronghold outside FSU i.e. Syria. Otherwise his Black Sea fleet has to cruise in the lake, and Ruski ji would better forget his world power fantasy. When the competition gets fierce, join up with a natural ally. Hezbollah ji is the natural ally there then.
 
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W.G.Ewald

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Assad: Russia already delivered
S-300 batteries











Assad: Russia already delivered S-300 batteries | The Times of Israel


The complex S-300 air defense system, considered one of the most advanced in
the world, takes about four months to become operational and would require intensive training including calibration that can only be carried out on-site in Syria,
And US General (ret) Jack Keane says on Fox News that we can take them out with cruise missiles. Booyah!

I am still waiting for some rationality in US foreign policy.
 

W.G.Ewald

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I'm humbled pls dont call me sir.

My feel is Ruski ji has hardened his heart to do whatever needful to keep his last stronghold outside FSU i.e. Syria. Otherwise his Black Sea fleet has to cruise in the lake, and Ruski ji would better forget his world power fantasy. When the competition gets fierce, join up with a natural ally. Hezbollah ji is the natural ally there then.
That makes sense; now can you explain why US supports insurgents?
 

SajeevJino

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And US General (ret) Jack Keane says on Fox News that we can take them out with cruise missiles. Booyah!

I am still waiting for some rationality in US foreign policy.
S 300 can shoot down Incoming Missile too..Currently the US operating TOMAHAWK Crusie Missile that can Fired from any Medium like Air Ship and Submarine ..Due to Low speed It can be shot down

Where Israel had Spice and Popeye Standoff missile that shows it's Capability in Last Raid..But now This is also Questionable both of them launched from Any medium but lacks speed


But Israeli Special Teams like Shaldog and Neptunes can Sabotage the System ..But Israel won't allow their soldiers in a Deadly Mission


But We can wait and see " Israel Shows the New War Tactics "
 

amoy

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That makes sense; now can you explain why US supports insurgents?
Sir, I'm sure your insight is more in depth than mine.

Anyway, here's mine simply - the insurgents are like Afghan Mujahideen back in 1980's combating Soviets so long as they serve US's agenda
1) to cripple the Iran-Hez-Syria triad (especially Iran), also for the sake of Israel
2) to clip the wings of Ruski ji
 

TrueSpirit

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And US General (ret) Jack Keane says on Fox News that we can take them out with cruise missiles. Booyah!

I am still waiting for some rationality in US foreign policy.
Some analysis:

Israel could overcome advanced S-300 anti-aircraft missiles if they were deployed in Syria but any strikes on the system would be difficult and risk alienating its supplier, Russia.

Israel has pledged to take preventive action, seeing a future Syrian S-300 as a "game-changing" threat to its own airspace as well as to the relative free rein with which it now overflies its northern foe and neighboring Lebanon.

Experts agree that Israeli sabotage or open force to disrupt delivery by Russia is extremely unlikely – a view seemingly shored up by Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's announcement on Thursday that the first missiles had arrived.

That leaves Israel lobbying Moscow to slow down the shipment in hopes it would be overtaken and scrapped if Assad fell to a more than two-year-old rebellion, and in parallel preparing counter-measures to neutralize the S-300 on the ground in Syria.

The Israeli newspaper Haaretz quoted National Security Adviser Yaakov Amidror as warning European diplomats that Israel would "prevent the S-300 missiles from becoming operational". That may be achieved by ensuring Assad does not get the full system, experts say, or by disabling it militarily if he does.

"The S-300 would be the pinnacle of Russian-supplied arms for Syria," Colonel Zvika Haimovich, a senior Israeli air force officer, told Reuters in an interview. "Though it would impinge on our operations, we are capable of overcoming it.

He said Israel's "red line" on the S-300 was "between Syria and others". This was a hint Israel might hold off on bombing the batteries as long they did not appear set on shooting down planes within Israeli airspace, of being transferred to Lebanese Hezbollah guerrillas or to Iran - both staunch allies of Assad and enemies of Israel, or of being looted by Islamist rebels.

MARKETING MOSCOW

The Israelis excel in electronic warfare. In 1982, they "blinded" Soviet-supplied Syrian anti-aircraft units in Lebanon, then destroyed 19 of them without Israeli losses. Similar technologies helped Israeli jets destroy a suspected nuclear reactor in Syria in 2007 and, this year, to hit Syrian targets on at least three occasions to prevent what intelligence sources called attempts to move advanced weaponry to Hezbollah.

A source close to Russia's defense ministry agreed that the Israelis "likely have a million ways to combat the S-300 electronically". But he questioned their feasibility because they had not been tested in war.

"So, whether the S-300 would fail or not cannot be known".

Robert Hewson, an IHS Jane's air power analyst, predicted Israeli prowess would prevail in Syria while cautioning that the S-300 would be the most formidable air defense system it had ever faced. "Israel has had nasty surprises from these things before," he said, noting its steep losses to the Soviet anti-aircraft missiles used by Syria and Egypt in the 1973 war.

Hewson felt Israel would prefer to destroy the S-300 in Syria but may opt instead just to circumvent it as required for missions, especially if there was the risk of inadvertently killing or wounding Russians helping to install the system.

Security sources have put the number of Russian military personnel in Syria at several hundred.

"The Russians would react badly to losing their people, and Israel knows that equally," Hewson said.

Former Israeli defense minister Moshe Arens said Moscow should be mindful of the harm that seeing the S-300 defeated in Syria would do to exports of the system elsewhere.

Past clients include Cyprus, whose S-300, posted on the Greek island of Crete, may have given Israel's air force a chance for test runs during maneuvers over the Mediterranean.

"I'd be very surprised if the Russians deliver this system (to Syria)," Arens told Israel Radio. "It would become apparent that our air force is capable of besting this system, and that would not make for goodadvertising."

Playing down the strategic challenge that would be posed to Israel by a Syrian S-300, Arens added. "We are not afraid. This would simply change the situation, and we are not interested in the situation being changed to our detriment."

HAZY DEPLOYMENT TIMELINE

The timeline for the anticipated Syrian deployment of the S-300 remains hazy. Hewson said it could be "up and running within a minimum of a few weeks" once all components were in, and provided qualified Syrian personnel were available.

But the Russian defense ministry source said he knew of no Syrians who had already been trained by Moscow, and put the completion of the S-300 delivery at "six to 12 months from now".

Assuming Assad survives in power, such a lag could provide Israel with thwarting opportunities.

Hewson said the truck-towed S-300 would be physically hard to conceal. Its radar, if activated, would emit a distinctive signal that Israel could easily monitor, he added.

Diplomatic alternatives may not have been exhausted, though.

Yuval Steinitz, a senior member of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's cabinet, held on Thursday what political sources described as a discussion of the Syrian S-300 deal with Russian Ambassador Sergei Yakovlev.

In 2010, following Israeli appeals, Russia scrapped an S-300 sale to Iran. In what may have been a quid pro quo, the Israelis also agreed that year to sell Russia surveillance drones that would narrow its technological military gap with rival Georgia.

Russia now has other strategic interests – for example, investment in Israel's Mediterranean gas fields. Silvan Shalom, another Israeli cabinet minister, told Reuters that Russian President Vladimir Putin mentioned the gas fields while hosting Netanyahu in Sochi on May 14 for talks that focused on Syria.

But Zvi Magen, a former Israeli ambassador to Moscow, was skeptical that Israel could offer anything that would spur Putin to slacken his support for Assad. "There's too much at stake here for the Russians," he said.

He was alluding to the conflagration's wider geo-strategic dimensions – pitting a Russian preference to keep Syria under Assad's control to preserve Moscow's last significant toehold in the Middle East against a Western and Gulf Arab desire for the downfall of Assad to roll back Iranian influence in the region.

Link
 

rock127

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Israel could overcome advanced S-300 but...



Israel could overcome advanced S-300 anti-aircraft missiles if they were deployed in Syria but any strikes on the system would be difficult and risk alienating its supplier, Russia.

Israel has pledged to take preventive action, seeing a future Syrian S-300 as a "game-changing" threat to its own airspace as well as to the relative free rein with which it now overflies its northern foe and neighboring Lebanon.Experts agree that Israeli sabotage or open force to disrupt delivery by Russia is extremely unlikely – a view seemingly shored up by Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's announcement on Thursday that the first missiles had arrived.

That leaves Israel lobbying Moscow to slow down the shipment in hopes it would be overtaken and scrapped if Assad fell to a more than two-year-old rebellion, and in parallel preparing counter-measures to neutralize the S-300 on the ground in Syria.The Israeli newspaper Haaretz quoted National Security Adviser Yaakov Amidror as warning European diplomats that Israel would "prevent the S-300 missiles from becoming operational". That may be achieved by ensuring Assad does not get the full system, experts say, or by disabling it militarily if he does.

"The S-300 would be the pinnacle of Russian-supplied arms for Syria," Colonel Zvika Haimovich, a senior Israeli air force officer, told Reuters in an interview. "Though it would impinge on our operations, we are capable of overcoming it.He said Israel's "red line" on the S-300 was "between Syria and others". This was a hint Israel might hold off on bombing the batteries as long they did not appear set on shooting down planes within Israeli airspace, of being transferred to Lebanese Hezbollah guerrillas or to Iran - both staunch allies of Assad and enemies of Israel, or of being looted by Islamist rebels.

MARKETING MOSCOW

The Israelis excel in electronic warfare. In 1982, they "blinded" Soviet-supplied Syrian anti-aircraft units in Lebanon, then destroyed 19 of them without Israeli losses. Similar technologies helped Israeli jets destroy a suspected nuclear reactor in Syria in 2007 and, this year, to hit Syrian targets on at least three occasions to prevent what intelligence sources called attempts to move advanced weaponry to Hezbollah.

A source close to Russia's defense ministry agreed that the Israelis "likely have a million ways to combat the S-300 electronically". But he questioned their feasibility because they had not been tested in war.

"So, whether the S-300 would fail or not cannot be known".Robert Hewson, an IHS Jane's air power analyst, predicted Israeli prowess would prevail in Syria while cautioning that the S-300 would be the most formidable air defense system it had ever faced. "Israel has had nasty surprises from these things before," he said, noting its steep losses to the Soviet anti-aircraft missiles used by Syria and Egypt in the 1973 war.

Hewson felt Israel would prefer to destroy the S-300 in Syria but may opt instead just to circumvent it as required for missions, especially if there was the risk of inadvertently killing or wounding Russians helping to install the system.Security sources have put the number of Russian military personnel in Syria at several hundred."The Russians would react badly to losing their people, and Israel knows that equally," Hewson said.
Former Israeli defense minister Moshe Arens said Moscow should be mindful of the harm that seeing the S-300 defeated in Syria would do to exports of the system elsewhere.

Past clients include Cyprus, whose S-300, posted on the Greek island of Crete, may have given Israel's air force a chance for test runs during maneuvers over the Mediterranean."I'd be very surprised if the Russians deliver this system (to Syria)," Arens told Israel Radio. "It would become apparent that our air force is capable of besting this system, and that would not make for goodadvertising."Playing down the strategic challenge that would be posed to Israel by a Syrian S-300, Arens added. "We are not afraid. This would simply change the situation, and we are not interested in the situation being changed to our detriment."

HAZY DEPLOYMENT TIMELINE

The timeline for the anticipated Syrian deployment of the S-300 remains hazy. Hewson said it could be "up and running within a minimum of a few weeks" once all components were in, and provided qualified Syrian personnel were available.But the Russian defense ministry source said he knew of no Syrians who had already been trained by Moscow, and put the completion of the S-300 delivery at "six to 12 months from now".Assuming Assad survives in power, such a lag could provide Israel with thwarting opportunities.Hewson said the truck-towed S-300 would be physically hard to conceal. Its radar, if activated, would emit a distinctive signal that Israel could easily monitor, he added.Diplomatic alternatives may not have been exhausted, though.

Yuval Steinitz, a senior member of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's cabinet, held on Thursday what political sources described as a discussion of the Syrian S-300 deal with Russian Ambassador Sergei Yakovlev.In 2010, following Israeli appeals, Russia scrapped an S-300 sale to Iran. In what may have been a quid pro quo, the Israelis also agreed that year to sell Russia surveillance drones that would narrow its technological military gap with rival Georgia.Russia now has other strategic interests – for example, investment in Israel's Mediterranean gas fields. Silvan Shalom, another Israeli cabinet minister, told Reuters that Russian President Vladimir Putin mentioned the gas fields while hosting Netanyahu in Sochi on May 14 for talks that focused on Syria.But Zvi Magen, a former Israeli ambassador to Moscow, was skeptical that Israel could offer anything that would spur Putin to slacken his support for Assad. "There's too much at stake here for the Russians," he said.

He was alluding to the conflagration's wider geo-strategic dimensions – pitting a Russian preference to keep Syria under Assad's control to preserve Moscow's last significant toehold in the Middle East against a Western and Gulf Arab desire for the downfall of Assad to roll back Iranian influence in the region.
 

W.G.Ewald

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S-300 (missile) - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The S-300 (NATO reporting name SA-10 Grumble) is a series of initially Soviet and later Russian long range surface-to-air missile systems produced by NPO Almaz, all based on the initial S-300P version. The S-300 system was developed to defend against aircraft and cruise missiles for the Soviet Air Defence Forces. Subsequent variations were developed to intercept ballistic missiles.

The S-300 system was first deployed by the Soviet Union in 1979, designed for the air defence of large industrial and administrative facilities, military bases, and control of airspace against enemy strike aircraft.
 

The Last Stand

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Well, however old the S-300 is, it will still be effective. Israeli EW weapons will have little effect on radiation protected hardened military-grade electronics.

Of course, Israel can scramble the radar signals. I expect Israel to take pro-active action as they have always done before.
@amoy @W.G.Ewald , would you honour me with long analyses? :)
 
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SajeevJino

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Syrian forces kill American, British citizen accused of fighting alongside rebels


Syrian state-run television reported Thursday that forces loyal to President Bashar al-Assad killed three Westerners, including an American woman and a British citizen, who it claims were fighting with the rebels and were found with weapons.

Syrian TV identified the woman, releasing what it claimed were images of her Michigan driver's license and U.S. passport. It also released what is said was the name and passport of a British citizen. It did not identify a third person who it claimed was a Westerner.

The report said the three were ambushed in their car in the flashpoint province of Idlib in northwestern Syria, where government forces have been battling rebels for control.

TV footage showed a bullet-riddled car and three bodies laid out. It also showed weapons, a computer, a hand-drawn map of a government military facility and a flag belonging to the al Qaeda-affiliated al-Nusra Front.

The United States is aware of the claim that an American woman was killed and is working through the Czech Republic mission in Syria to obtain more information, a State Department official, speaking on condition of anonymity, told CNN.

Report: Syrian forces kill American, British citizen - CNN.com
 

SajeevJino

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Well, however old the S-300 is, it will still be effective. Israeli EW weapons will have little effect on radiation protected hardened military-grade electronics.

Of course, Israel can scramble the radar signals. I expect Israel to take pro-active action as they have always done before.
@amoy @W.G.Ewald , would you honour me with long analyses? :)
As per Reports Still there is no Confirmation from Russia ..If the System become Operational the s 300 Radar will easily traced by Israel Forces also 100of Satellites over Syria can scan the entire Territory inch by inch .


During a War game with Athens in 2009 Israeli Sufi's successfully Breached Their S 300 radars



 
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