To dear members,
What the fck do you want India to do?
Some here want India to get in a full blown war with Pak and China to open a supply route to Afghanistan through GB. As if Northern Alliance is trapped in Wakhan territory and not in Panjshir! Why the hell should India spend upwards of $10-12 billion at minimum in an uncertain war to reach a region that too is under Taliban control and get embroiled in a unconventional war against an enemy that has mastered the tactics in last 2 decades? Not to mention our own supply line will remain under constant threat through a hostile newly conquered territory by one of the major military powers of the world as well as another strong conventional force and its irregulars. And don't forget that the infrastructure in PoK and GB is so rudimentary, that even if we manage to win the area and hold it, we will face uphill battle to send sufficient amount of supply through that region from India.
And, all that to create a supply line to support a resistance in Panjshir at Afghanistan where the situation remain fluid?
I mean I have seen my share of craziness in this forum, but it definitely takes the cake?
As for Tazik airbase. India most likely doesn't maintain any fighter fleet there and even if they did, that fleet can't swoop in to support Panjshir where the airspace is owned by PAF now. Again, to deter PAF from attacking our fighter fleet in Afghanistan, we would have to assault PAF in our IB, which would again see all international player wetting themselves for fear of Nuclear fall out and India would be forced again, to restrain itself. India would lose face and would have to pay in diplomatic coins and for what gain?
If India attacks Pakistan, it will be a bloody battle and when I am in all support for that, the reason can't be for trivial reason as supporting Afghanistan resistance. It is September here and in a few months, winter will set in. If you think Indian Army will start a campaign in mountains of PoK and GB in September, you gave to be crazy!
I really like your posts buddy and have been following them closely but I differ with you on this particular point. Long post, bear with me.
Current Fallout -
- With the Telebunnies winning and resistance wiped out, India has lost whatever little leverage it had. For example, if there was a sharing of power with NA and NA had Indian backing, India would also have leverage in the high table via NA.
- The Paki + Turkey + China axis will be supremely emboldened by this win, particularly if rumors are true that Pak has helped Telebunnies win this round. This is coming after Armenian win and this newfound confidence will be channeled against India next and her destruction.
- Pak, Turkey, and China literally own Telebunny a$$ now. I'm sure the support didn't come for free - rather absolute allegiance to the nexus. Also, Pak gets its strategic depth + US weapon systems left behind. Strategic depth is important - for example, what if Pak bases some of its nuclear assets out of Afg, in case of total annihilation of mainland or shift its terror training to Afg to avoid FATF sanctions. It's basically freehand for Chinese to exploit resources and Pak to leverage Afg for nefarious designs.
- India has had historical ties with the Northern Alliance, even from days when shit was really bad. We never let NA really die off and what a sad way to end it.
- Everyone and their dad will take India and Russia as cucks now. Not that we care but it emboldens the enemy to try all sorts of misadventure. We have superpower aspirations however we are always scared to play it big, take major decisions, or play it dirty. This is not how superpowers act.
What we could have done -
- I too feel all this talk of taking POK and opening support route etc. are bunkum. We can't make plans based on future if/else scenarios which are highly questionable.
- However, Tajiks seem to have had access to Panjshir via aerial route and this route would have been vital. Telebunnies gave enough time to the NA to prepare, I think cos of doubts if they can take the NA head on. Hence the Paki intervention. This time was crucial. We could have sent men and material to prepare the NA defenses (we are champs with mountain and jungle/guerilla warfare).
- Taking the Tajiks + Russia into confidence (basically play a leadership role) and keeping the airspace open. If that means basing some SU-30s in Tajik airbase and threatening PAK with retribution, if they bring their air cavalry, so be it.
- Would be a good testing ground for our anti-drone technologies as well. Now I know, we don't have enough yet for our own armed forces. Now this is the problem, why no planning in advance? We never foresee such security scenarios and are always in reactionary mode.
- Keep LOC hot. The ceasefire was nonsense and the moment Telebunnies get settled, Pak will throw it out of the window anyways. Give them threats, that if they do any misadventure in Afg, we will cross LOC and do a land grab. Fcuk what the world things - the retribution message should be loud and clear to them.
- Finally, try to hold NA defenses as long as possible so that a ceasefire and doldrum are reached. Paki + Telebunnies are forced to negotiate with NA.
PAK is our nemesis and everywhere they are involved, we should make their life hell because every waking minute, they are planning the same. With Telebunnies making noises on Kashmir even before they have declared their government, our blood should boil to know who the string pullers are behind the puppet. Well, let's see what the future holds now.
for safety of Saleh. If he is caught he will be treated worse than Najibullah before being killed.
