Taliban Takeover of Afghanistan 2021: Impact on India

Jimih

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Not sure if Taliban actually took control the parts of panjshir but Taliban brutality against residents of surrounding district residents will invoke passions among the ethnicities and resistance will spread across provinces.
After Panjshir, Samangan province's commanders announce their support to the Northern alliance. Resistance is on, Civil war looks inevitable.
 

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Way to GB goes through Lahore and Karachi. This will reduce chances of PLA’s involvement which we must avoid at very start. Once Pakistani main-land defences are softened and few frontiers defeated we can easily walk into GB without a strong resistance which may tempt China to get involved.

It is all about speed in mountains.

When I asked gracious Gen. Ved Malik during a tweet exchange he told me that it was a political order not to cross LOC during Kargil. I still believe we never had the capabilities but Late Brig. Ray strongly disagreed. Now I can also add PLA factor as they too attempted few incursions on LAC during that war.

Looks like PLA factor was quite strong bulwark not to cross LAC as we took a lot of time to win our peaks. I stills don’t know how prepared we are at LOC to invade Neelum valley with or without Pakistani resistance but there is definitely a prerequisite to attack Punjab and Karachi fronts to cross LOC. We can not risk fresh PA and PLA troops waiting for us on outskirts of Mirpur.
Yes.. Disable Pakistan Strike Corps and Armour.. and Capture a 100 thousand Pak Army soldiers, taking them out of the equation.. That would make PLA conclude that Pakistan is a lost cause.
Also, I see that a lot of force accretion in the Indian Army has taken place after the Kargil war.. Already Ladakh sector is so heavily defended that the Chinks can't do much even if they wanted to.. Same, with Central and Sikkim sectors.. The only sector where PLA can make some gains at low cost is in Arunachal.. All in all, Chinese misadventure of 2020, has really taken away the surprise element that the PLA could spring on India, during a Indo Pakistan war. Because, already 17 corps is fully staffed and I corps will have China as the primary theatre. Also, there is crazy infrastructure buildup by India going on. I would say, during normal times this would have taken a decade..
 
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So Pakistan has committed its pawns and knights. I hope they commit rooks & bishops so that they can not go back and India make sure it rains in Panjshir.
Any chance that Indian Air Force jets currently stationed in Tajikistan ?
 

indus

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Way to GB goes through Lahore and Karachi. This will reduce chances of PLA’s involvement which we must avoid at very start. Once Pakistani main-land defences are softened and few frontiers defeated we can easily walk into GB without a strong resistance which may tempt China to get involved.

It is all about speed in mountains.
Past experiences have shown that battle theatres remain localised. For example, during 1971 war, while entire focus was eatern front, the west remained statusquo. Similarly, during Kargil, the action was limited to LoC and did not spill over to IB in Punjab even though there was a fullscale war. Invading G.B does not necessarily mean taking conflict to I.B needed to capture downstream places like Alahore or Karachi. There are enough reasons to takeover G.B, PoK without opening front on I.B.
 

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ezsasa

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Movie script in the works.
May not be a hostage situation, probably the case that taliban don't know how to manage the air space.
Turkey was supposed to manage afghan airspace, i wonder what happened to that.
============
New: CBS has learned multiple flights are being held on the ground at the Mazar-i-Sharif airport in Northern Afghanistan... by the Taliban.


An email from the State Department to members of congress -- and viewed by CBS -- acknowledged that charter flights are still on the ground at the Mazar-i-Sharif airstrip and have permission to land in Doha "if and when the Taliban agrees to takeoff.

"The Taliban is basically holding them hostage to get more out of the Americans," a senior congressional source told CBS News.

The group Ascend, an NGO that teaches young women leadership through athletics, told CBS News they have two planes that have been waiting for six days ready to take between 600 and 1200 people -- including 19 American citizens and two permanent residents.

"The U.S. airfield in Qatar that has been standing by, ready to receive, is now beginning to pack up," Marina LeGree, the executive director, told CBS News. "We hope visibility will add pressure to force a solution. Six days of talks are not encouraging."

The State Department advised members of congress to tell groups seeking to evacuate out of Mazar-i-Sharif that the US does not have personnel on the ground in that location and does not control the airspace.

Congressional and NGO sources say here are at least two physical plans on the ground and six more with approved clearance. The obstacle is the Taliban -- which controls the airport and is not letting people board or the planes take off.

 

rock127

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Kaaafiron....Some GOOD NEWS! :yo:

These Chinese Pakis on their ISI sponsored forums can jump 100 meter in air and have high orgasmic pleasure to see Talibunnies takeover and destroy Afganistan BUT they are getting banged hard. The REALITY is that about 45 terrorist attacks have happened inside Chinese Pakistan in August alone. Their media is silenced by ISI not to report much! :shoot::shoot::shoot:

If you look at their TV debates you would see that, they themselves are worried of what's coming in their land. They admit they are getting gang banged by TTP Freedom Fighters (Good Terrorists) and US!

Strateegik Daipth! :pound: :pound: :pound:

 

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News channels are talking about mulla barather being shot by Haqqani group and big In fighting for defence minister position being given to Haqqani. Not sure how credible the news is but if it's true then it will be fun.
It was only news nation or abp which showed this news and I don't see this anywhere else yet so I think this is babaji types behind this news. Sorry for spreading rumour but I wish it was true.
 

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Past experiences have shown that battle theatres remain localised. For example, during 1971 war, while entire focus was eatern front, the west remained statusquo. Similarly, during Kargil, the action was limited to LoC and did not spill over to IB in Punjab even though there was a fullscale war. Invading G.B does not necessarily mean taking conflict to I.B needed to capture downstream places like Alahore or Karachi. There are enough reasons to takeover G.B, PoK without opening front on I.B.
That's how Pakistan thought in 1965, and when the pressure on LOC was too much, India opened another front and attacked across the IB towards Lahore.. Any war, to claim significant territory under Pakistani occupation will not remain confined to Kashmir.. Pakistan knows that India does not claim any territory across IB, so when Pakistan starts losing significant territory in Gilgit, it will open another front along Punjab, Rajasthan, secure in the knowledge that India would vacate any territory captured along IB. Fighting across IB will increase international pressure on India to cease the offensive..
 

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