Taliban Takeover of Afghanistan 2021: Impact on India

Jimih

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Can't vouch for authenticity but seems probable reason.

View attachment 108491
View attachment 108492

Kabul is under the control of Khalil Haqqani. Haqqani wants a good share in the govt, but other factions dont want him even to be in the cabinet.

ISI chief in Kabul means Mullah Baradar might be out of the race for top slot, someone very unexpected but close to ISI may take the charge.
 

Knowitall

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This is supposed to be basic common sense. A terror group based on the ideology of spreading their religion through the means of jihad is not going to cozy up with us.

The influence of ISI and the fact that kabul has been used as a staging point since centuries for armies invading India is not lost on them.

For them kashmir is ideological issue where the ummah needs to be liberated and jihad established.

India should get ready to sink the entirety of pakistani navy once a terror attack takes place.
 

hit&run

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Haqquani and other factions of Taliban have set up all their businesses inside Pakistan and running parallel economy allowed by Pakistani establishment.

Pakistan can easily control them but at the same time Taliban can go rogue and start undermining them therefore a balance between the host and dysfunctional nuisance guest is maintained.

Looks like FATF circus was also targeting Taliban and its financial eco-system. I wonder how they will go about with their agenda now.
 
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hit&run

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Capturing GB means going through POK and getting into full blown war with porkis and Chinkis.

Do Indian people have the stomach for the fall out? It will not only be a few of our boys lost - it can possibly be hundreds lost, billions of $ in cost, potential severe damage to our infrastructure at at least in western parts of India, likely economic sanction resulting in economic depression.

The cost is not worth supporting some groups in Afghanistan. Not yet.

In may be 5 years, India would gain the economic might coupled with military muscles to pull through that. But, not yet.

The day our military becomes so powerful that it can smash Porki defences within a few days, especially in mountains of PoK and GB, will be the day we can venture to do such. Because India can't afford to get into a protracted war because failing economy would do more harm to Hindustan than any threat porkis or Talibs poses. Ours is not a nation where opposition too thinks good for the nation. The moment we engage in the venture, the opposition would start crying bloody murder and when the economic costs trickle down to the masses, the mass will go against the venture.

So, our military build up needs to reach to the point where Porkis become so bloody insignificant that it is only Chinkis we would have to worry when we will be going into PoK and GB. The current pace is good so long the procurement processes aren't protracted needlessly.
Way to GB goes through Lahore and Karachi. This will reduce chances of PLA’s involvement which we must avoid at very start. Once Pakistani main-land defences are softened and few frontiers defeated we can easily walk into GB without a strong resistance which may tempt China to get involved.

It is all about speed in mountains.

When I asked gracious Gen. Ved Malik during a tweet exchange he told me that it was a political order not to cross LOC during Kargil. I still believe we never had the capabilities but Late Brig. Ray strongly disagreed. Now I can also add PLA factor as they too attempted few incursions on LAC during that war.

Looks like PLA factor was quite strong bulwark not to cross LAC as we took a lot of time to win our peaks. I stills don’t know how prepared we are at LOC to invade Neelum valley with or without Pakistani resistance but there is definitely a prerequisite to attack Punjab and Karachi fronts to cross LOC. We can not risk fresh PA and PLA troops waiting for us on outskirts of Mirpur.
 
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Mikesingh

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Inside sources confirm that 1 officer, 4 JCOs, and 17 OR of Pak SSG have been killed in action in Panjshir and over 20 injured SSG have been airlifted to Peshawar for treatment. GOC XI Corps has been ordered by Bajwa to establish a Forward Treatment Center near Kabul for the treatment of injured Paki soldiers.
 

WARREN SS

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Way to GB goes through Lahore and Karachi. This will reduce chances of PLA’s involvement which we must avoid at very start. Once Pakistani main land defences are softened and few frontiers defeated we can easily walk into GB without a strong resistance which may tempt China to get involved.

It is all about speed in mountains.

When I asked gracious Gen. Ved Malik during a tweet exchange he told me that it was a political order not to cross LOC during Kargil. I still believe we never had the capabilities but Late Brig. Ray strongly disagreed. Now I can also add PLA factor as they too attempted few incursions on LAC during that war.

Looks like PLA factor was quite strong bulwark not to cross LAC as we took a lot of time to win our peaks. I stills don’t know how prepared we are at LOC to invade Neelum valley with or without Pakistani resistance but there is definitely a prerequisite to attack Punjab and Karachi fronts to cross LOC. We can not risk fresh PA and PLA troops waiting for us on outskirts of Mirpur.
Well one should not doubting IA ability to wage war
If
I have this wonderful feeling that Pak is going to be shoved into the FATF Black List in the next meet.
Nope not a chance Americans Bureaucracy
In DC to scared of nukes falling in and extremist
 

hit&run

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Inside sources confirm that 1 officer, 4 JCOs, and 17 OR of Pak SSG have been killed in action in Panjshir and over 20 injured SSG have been airlifted to Peshawar for treatment. GOC XI Corps has been ordered by Bajwa to establish a Forward Treatment Center near Kabul for the treatment of injured Paki soldiers.
So Pakistan has committed its pawns and knights. I hope they commit rooks & bishops so that they can not go back and India make sure it rains in Panjshir.
 

hit&run

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Well one should not doubting IA ability to wage war
If
Nope not a chance Americans Bureaucracy
In DC to scared of nukes falling in and extremist
Ignore nukes. This is Biden’s Pakistani vote bank and Pakistani advisor/s thriving along woke order. They have recent win him an election. Pakistan will remain lucky until India flips its lid.
 

doreamon

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The control of Pakistan on western establishment despite being such a small economy surprise me .. I understand the situation in cold war era .. But now them having so much influence surprise me .. There are two possibilities ..

1. There is a establishment in west constantly working against india and still continues despite end of soviet era
2 . Our own colonized indian coconuts ( white inside ) educated from liberal arts universities of west are waging a war against india with collusion of ISI ..
 
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Stalingrad

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The fall of #PanjshirValley would not be the end of Resistance, but the beginning of a protracted Guerilla warfare in the northern Provinces to establish an independent state in the North. A democratic state with common human values with the rest of civilized world.


Hail Sparta!
 

Srinivas_K

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Latest from Panshir: Taliban advanced toward Rukha district. Now Rukha, Shutul, and Annaba districts are under Taliban control. From back side they also advanced toward Paryan district.

Not sure if Taliban actually took control the parts of panjshir but Taliban brutality against residents of surrounding district residents will invoke passions among the ethnicities and resistance will spread across provinces.
 

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