The worst is yet to come in Afghanistan. According to the secretary of state, 6,000 Americans were still in Afghanistan when the Afghan army collapsed and Kabul fell. Some 4,500 of these have now been evacuated. The State Department is in touch with 500 other US citizens to effect their departure. As for the remaining 1,000, they do not know where they are.
What does this mean?
Hundreds of Americans are going to be left behind, along with scores of thousands of Afghan allies who worked with the US military or contributed to the cause of crushing the Taliban. And many of those Afghans are going to pay the price of having cast their lot with the Americans. After Aug. 31, the fate of those left behind will be determined by the Taliban, and the whole world will be witness to the fate the Taliban imposes.
This generation is about to learn what it means to lose a war.
When the war for Algerian independence ended in 1962, and the French pulled their troops out, scores of thousands of "Harkis," Arab and Muslim Algerians who fought alongside the French, were left behind. The atrocities against the Harkis ran into the tens of thousands. Such may be the fate of scores of thousands of Afghans who fought beside US.
Biden’s diplomats may be negotiating with the Taliban to prevent the war crimes of using US citizens left behind as hostages. But they are not going to be able to save all of their friends and allies who cast their lot with US and fought alongside the US.
America still has leverage. As The New York Times writes, the Afghan economy is "in free fall."
"Cash is growing scarce, and food prices are rising. Fuel is becoming harder to find. Government services have stalled as civil servants avoid work, fearing retribution."
The Taliban’s desperate need is for people to run the economy and for money from the international community to pay for imports of food and vital necessities of life.
What will also be needed from America, soon after the fall of Afghanistan, is a reappraisal of America’s commitments across the Middle East. They still have 900 US troops in Syria who control the oil reserves of that country and serve as a shield for the Syrian Kurds. How long should they keep them there?
They still retain several thousand troops in Iraq. Why?
And most importantly, America needs to get its head out of its ass. Trump set the table and Biden sat down for the meal. But it turns out it is a very difficult feast to consume. The Establishment of both parties sees no war that they do not love - and the Establishment of which Biden is a part is now turning on him. And of course Israel’s sock puppets in the US political establishment will call for even more US involvement in the Middle East and the neighborhood.
More glaringly, the Taliban (like the Assad government) has been fighting ISIS; yet the US has been fighting the Taliban............to defeat ISIS??
Same with Syria; Assad is fighting ISIS and company but the US is fighting Assad. Does this all really make any sense?