Taliban Takeover of Afghanistan 2021: Impact on India

Jimih

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Playing to the popular sentiment just to look good.

Deals have been cut, booty properly apportioned, now lets move to the next target - India.

Will have to wait till September to really know what sleepy Joe has in store.
He is right what he said.

Come September, disillusionment will be shattered.
 

Haldilal

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DownWithCCP

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They aren't really proteseting against GoI, rather it is in front of UNHRC, it is good for us to see to it that their demands are met and that they gracefully fuck off to some place in western Europe, and as far as that one placard that read "situation of refugees is bad in India" that is very true, just look at the situation in which Hindu refugees from Bangladesh live in.
 

Haldilal

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nWo 4 Life

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Pakis be like below :-

"Preventive action" means strengthening "moderates" in Pakistan & giving monies for "stabilizing the situation via processes/procedures".

This also implies that the moderates need to be showing progress on the Cashmere issue so that the "extremists" do not take advantage.

This means that India should "talk to Pakistan" regarding the status of the "Indian held Kashmir".

PS - Cashmere is a disputed territory over which the nuclear armed south Asian rivals, who periodically conduct tit for tat missile tests, had fought three wars.
Exactly.. Bolton and the American establishment is just creating a new basis for engaging Pakistan, and showering them with more gibs, inspite of Pakistan drilling a Chicxulub Crater sized hole in Uncle Sam's pichwada...
 

Cheepek

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"It was never expected that we will have victory in Afghanistan,” Taliban leader Mullah Baradar said after his return to Kabul. He was certainly not alone in expressing surprise at the sudden collapse of the Afghan government and the Taliban’s complete takeover.


In the aftermath, there is plenty of blame to go around. Officials in several regional capitals played an active role in facilitating the Taliban’s return to power. Many Afghans feel betrayed by their own country’s erstwhile leadership, with good reason. Others in the international community arguably did not do enough. But there is no escaping the fact that significant failures lay with successive United States (US) leaders for the execution of the Afghanistan war, the doomed reconciliation process, and the chaotic withdrawal.

The US intervention in Afghanistan followed the devastating 9/11 attacks by al-Qaeda, which struck the nerve centres of the US military and financial markets. Under George W Bush, the US easily ousted the Taliban government in Afghanistan, which had sheltered al-Qaeda’s leadership. But the Bush administration was also worried about a large-scale military commitment and maintained only a small military footprint in Afghanistan at the outset. The US intervention, therefore, involved aerial bombardment, the extensive use of special operations forces, and local alliances on the ground.

For India, the US policy reversal after the 1980s, when it had actively supported the mujahideen in Afghanistan, and the 1990s, when it largely ignored the region, was welcome. The Taliban was no friend of India, as the 1999 hijacking of an Indian Airlines aircraft made evident, and the group had supported and allied with India-focused terrorists, including Jaish-e-Mohammed and Lashkar-e-Taiba.

Yet, despite ousting the Taliban, the Bush administration opted to work with Pakistan. It remained wary of coordination with India in Afghanistan, even as it deepened cooperation with New Delhi on defence and civilian nuclear energy. After 2003, the Bush administration also shifted its focus and resources to the intervention in Iraq.


Barack Obama was elected president as US forces began the drawdown from Iraq. The security situation in Afghanistan had deteriorated sharply, and Obama — while sceptical of foreign military intervention — had campaigned on Afghanistan being a just war. He commissioned Bruce Riedel to conduct an inter-agency review of Afghanistan and Pakistan policy. Richard Holbrooke was appointed Special Representative for Afghanistan and Pakistan, and a surge of US military forces was deployed under General Stanley McChrystal to wage a counterinsurgency campaign in Afghanistan akin to the one waged in Iraq.

Obama, more than any other US president, took the fight to Pakistan. Afghanistan became a frontline State against Pakistan, rather than the other way around, and US-Pakistan relations deteriorated sharply. North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and Pakistani forces exchanged fire; US supply lines were sabotaged; a US consular employee named Raymond Davis was arrested for killing two Pakistanis; and US special operations forces killed Osama bin Laden in Abbottabad.

But the Obama administration also clung to the notion that Pakistan could be dissuaded from its support for terrorists through the brokering of an India-Pakistan agreement on Jammu and Kashmir.
India rebuffed efforts to interfere in what it considered a bilateral matter. Additionally, the US sought to build leverage with Pakistan by increasing civilian assistance under the Kerry-Lugar-Berman Act, in what proved to be a wasteful and futile exercise. With an eye on re-election, Obama further undercut his efforts by prematurely announcing a drawdown of forces.

Donald Trump’s election was followed by the rise of the Islamic State-Khorasan and the proliferation of improvised explosive devices (IEDs) against US forces. At the insistence of national security adviser HR McMaster, Trump repledged US military support for Afghanistan. His initial strategy was welcomed in New Delhi, as were greater coordination efforts between Washington, Kabul, and New Delhi.


But following McMaster’s dismissal in 2018, Trump reversed course. Zalmay Khalilzad was made the primary interlocutor for talks with the Taliban, and a flimsy agreement was hastily brokered, Taliban prisoners were released, and a drawdown of US forces was initiated.

Finally, Joe Biden and his advisers gave high priority to India in their first six months in office. Coordination on Afghanistan increased in several respects. Yet Biden was committed to a quick and complete withdrawal, resulting in the swift collapse of the Afghan government in August. The outcome, and the manner in which it came about, will undoubtedly prove harmful for India’s regional security interests.

From 2001 to 2020, the US was neither willing to commit too much for too long to Afghanistan, nor was it willing to face the potentially disastrous consequences of withdrawal. The result was the worst of all worlds — over a trillion dollars spent and thousands of lives lost with little to show for it.

From an Indian vantage point, each of the four successive US administrations took important steps that aligned with India’s desired end state for regional security. Yet, for different reasons, all four administrations also adopted policies that frustrated, undercut, or otherwise harmed Indian interests. Whether a different set of choices could have resulted in better outcomes for Afghanistan, India, and the US will be a matter for historians to debate in the coming years and decades."


 

sorcerer

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India, Russia form permanent bilateral channel for consultations on Afghanistan
Sidhant Sibal

3-4 minutes


In an important development, India and Russia have agreed to form a "permanent bilateral channel" for consultations on Afghanistan. The announcement of bilateral channel has been the most visible practical cooperation between India & any of its allies on Afghanistan in the aftermath of fall of Kabul to Taliban since 15th August.



During Modi-Putin talks, both sides agreed to cooperate on counter-terror & drug threat "emanating from the territory of Afghanistan", Russian readout of talks said.
................. Russia, a spillover of the crisis can impact friendly central Asian countries like Uzbekistan, Tajikistan.

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It seems Russians going for int sharing with India on this...well! much trust on pakis eh?
 

sorcerer

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Ukrainian Evacuation Plane from Afghanistan Hijacked, Diverted to Iran; Kiev Dismisses Reports

Kiev:
A Ukrainian evacuation plane that arrived in Afghanistan to evacuate stranded Ukrainians has been hijacked by unidentified armed hijackers who flew it into Iran, Ukraine’s Deputy Foreign Minister Yevgeny Yenin said on Tuesday. The minister also said that the three evacuation attempts failed as Ukrainians could not get into the Kabul airport. However, Kiev has dismissed the reports stating the hijacking of an Ukrainian evacuation plane in Afghanistan, said Tehran Times quoting Russian media outlet Interfax


Who was in the plane that Iran wanted?!
 

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