Taliban Takeover of Afghanistan 2021: Impact on India

Jimih

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On a serious note, He is a spy and knows the tricks of trade.. IMO, Let the dust settle in ..they will hit back and they will get necessary logistic support from Iran and others ...
Will it be enough? ANA was larger in size than Talifags, than also....
 

LaIllahaSigmar

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Uncle Sam will blow these Chipmunks to smithereens should they get any funny ideas. US politicians are evil and policymakers pretty deluded, but their military is still the most capable fighting machine on the face of this planet by a large margin. If there is a military engagement, China will be brought down to its knees and Nukes would be imminent. Hope they don't 'miscalculate' because 'it is a policy doomed to fail' (in their propaganda mouthpiece parlances).
Forget US involvement, Chinese will find it difficult to take Taiwan even if Taiwan fights alone.

There are very few landing zones on Taiwan coast which Taiwan has fortified for decades.
Landing operations are difficult already.

Unless there's a complete collapse of Taiwanese armed forces or an extremely faulty use of tactics, Chinese will lose too much.

The question is if CCP believes Taiwan is worth lakhs of soldiers and trillions of dollars.

Only viable strategy is to eliminate Taiwan navy and focus on an embargo to whittle down Taiwanese resistance in a multi month campaign.
 

hit&run

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This thread has registered many POVs so far. It has become quite hard to follow each of them. I hope members will remain consistent with their theories in times to come or at least keep mentioning them before recalibrating to new ones.

Indian mission in Afghanistan will remain active after this frenzy.

Like I mention yesterday this is Taliban 2.0 with better PR management. Same way we have to adapt and start the process of rapprochement with new stake holders.

We have sown the seed of an independent democratic Afghanistan and have shown them the way how to become a thriving social state.

The spectacular fall of previous setup tells that they lacked experience and without assistance they failed to multitask and manage their affairs. There are new aspiring nationalist Afghans who will rise to fix their communities and will force every establishment to behave normally. This churning will keep going on.

There are no lessons for us here to learnt because we did our home work and always played safe. The lesson for USA to learn are the same lessons Russia learnt. To every great game there is always a great end.

As far as Pakistan is a concern then we must not disturb them out of their delusion. They lost East Pakistan because we kept letting them punch above their weight. People do not know that epidemic bigger that Covid in this region is reaching to wrong conclusions.

5 years ago a Canadian military professional Officer of Engineers on World Affair Forum categorically predicted that there is a bold bath coming. The context was Pakistani back stabbing and killing scores of their soldiers (American). The context continued with an assertion that they will leave the region unceremoniously. This is what has happened now. Pakistan’s wish for Taliban lead Afghanistan has been fulfilled.

For us there is a civilisational victory for being a most stable state in the region as well as a chance because there are no moral barometers left now. Ignoring pimp like Panag who has fallen form his grace especially when he is judging the army he served being by reducing it to a stalemate. When we all know that our army is subservient to Political dispensation. There are big changes coming and the Indian strategic elephant will move in the search of new plantations.
 
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Stalingrad

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#BREAKING: All Indian diplomats along with staff and ITBP personnel have been evacuated successfully from Kabul and have landed at an IAF base near New Delhi. It was a difficult exercise amidst Taliban takeover in Kabul. Congrats to PM, NSA, EAM, IAF & others who made it happen.
 

Jimih

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#BREAKING: All Indian diplomats along with staff and ITBP personnel have been evacuated successfully from Kabul and have landed at an IAF base near New Delhi. It was a difficult exercise amidst Taliban takeover in Kabul. Congrats to PM, NSA, EAM, IAF & others who made it happen.
one title

Doval Supremacy
 

Cheepek

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On a serious note, He is a spy and knows the tricks of trade.. IMO, Let the dust settle in ..they will hit back and they will get necessary logistic support from Iran and others ...
Also he's not alone. There are other warlords of NA. These people are popular in Afghanistan unlike Ghani who was EXTREMELY unpopular among the people.
I won't be surprised if he will get support from Poliostan (Massoud's uncles were in Poliostan recently) and other countries in region, given they also would want to keep Taliban government in check. An unfettered Taliban is NOT in their interests.
It's a game of cat and mouse; if he can survive, they SURELY can mount a nice resistance... although it will take time.
 

Tactical Doge

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Is there a possibility that Saleh gets help from Putin? Or Russia has already sided with China to accept Taliban as legitimate rulers.
IMO, no
Rooskies and Chinis will probably end up recognising the Taliban
Any help he will get have to be from his Contacts in CIA, Iranians and India (unless we abandon him like Najibullah)
 

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