Taliban Takeover of Afghanistan 2021: Impact on India

[vjoshi]

They have to over run Pakistan before that.

why ??

 

[Srinivas_K]

why ??

with out controlling the Pakistani territory they cannot invade India. It is the same pattern that happened during Turkic invasions. They come to Pakistan(I mean Punjab or Sindh) conquer it, loot and pillage then try their luck against India.

 

[hawwk]

why ??

ind-afghan border is not suitable for them to fight. they would have to run over pak. isi isn't controlling ttp. yesterday a lot of ttp joined taliban.
a video even came out ttp on the side on afghan border were abusing and making fun of paki soldiers mocking them and saying it's your turn now.

 

[Srinivas_K]

If Taliban announce caliphate of khorasan then they will definately try their luck against Pakistan and other neighbouring countries.

 

[Lost user]

Also, a humiliated superpower is an insecure superpower..
Hope Modi capitalises on this..

 

[Chandragupt Maurya]

India should support the Mongolian Hazara Community of Afghanistan if Taliban targets India
Taliban gets weapons from Pakistan but Hazaras are not supported by any power even Iran doesn’t help them

 

[Srinivas_K]

India should support the Mongolian Hazara Community of Afghanistan if Taliban targets India

India should support Afghans as a whole.

 

[Covfefe]

India should support the Mongolian Hazara Community of Afghanistan if Taliban targets India

They are too well spun with the Iranians....Doubt that Iran will let India into its backyard to play such games. They would rather do it themselves

 

[Detective Pennington]

wrong assumption. even i was thinking the same that pakistan would be first, but the gurdwara episode in kabul has confirmed that isi is controlling taliban. the attack would be in india first. but after attack ,instead of attacking pakistan or taliban if raww convinces afghanistan NA to target ex paki army generals and their assets en mass in western countries it would be a deterrent

It's hard to say to be honestly to what extent ISI really is controlling Talibs. They had a very hard time getting them to the negotiating table on behest of the Americans these past four years. ISI was successful in getting them to fight TTP (or at least not support them), but not to give up on the Durand Line issue. It seems more like Talib had common interests with Pak deep state and so took on the training/logistics/weapons because they offered. Beyond that, ISI is also having a hard time controlling their foreign policy (they opened a back channel to India).

It's the Durand Line issue that we need to exploit, it always has been.

 

[Covfefe]

One thing is for sure- whether Taliban sympathizer or not, Afghans, in general, do not have a very positive view of Pak. Afghan expats especially hate them.

 

[Lost user]

India should support the Mongolian Hazara Community of Afghanistan if Taliban targets India

There are hazara militias in Afghanistan supported by Iran.. Taliban have already started taking down Shia flags. India can support them if Hazaras are punished by the Taliban

 

[Lost user]

Hopefully, the key is restraint. If Pak BMD is too much, and nothing is hitting, don't waste entire stockpile. Chinks are reasonable unlike inbred Jihadis and won't intervene if there is a risk that an Indian nuke might slip past their BMD and hit Shanghai or something.

PAK and BMD.. ?

 

[Detective Pennington]

PAK and BMD.. ?

Do they not have one? If so wow, i overestimated them...

EDIT: oh shit, you're right, they can't afford one :

Pakistan has cost-effective solution to India's latest ballistic missile defence system: Report

Pakistan can also find a counter to its nuclear capable submarine, a media report said

economictimes.indiatimes.com

 

[IndianSpiderman]

 

[notaname]

Here is the update on evacuation of Indians, so this means we have evacuated our embassy guys in night and only Indians on airport are remaining with some Afganis whom we will be evacuating-

__________________________

Several Indians in Afghanistan wanting to be repatriated to India are in a secure area and will be brought back home safely in a day or two: Sources

https://t.co/nczDr3kmXq

Indian Air Force C-17 aircraft has taken off from Kabul with more than 120 Indian officials in it. The staff was brought inside the secure areas of the airport safely, late last evening: Sources

https://t.co/fn6XV4p8rF

- ANI

Another update from government -

Indian embassy evacuated and now all operations of visa issuance will be in digital mode.

 

[Waanar]

wrong assumption. even i was thinking the same that pakistan would be first, but the gurdwara episode in kabul has confirmed that isi is controlling taliban. the attack would be in india first. but after attack ,instead of attacking pakistan or taliban if raww convinces afghanistan NA to target ex paki army generals and their assets en mass in western countries it would be a deterrent

Dude, again. Taliban is not a homogenous entity. It's not like Baradar himself went and did it, it was probably one of those errand boys of ISI embedded in Taliban.
Even if ten guys went and did it, so what? You think there aren't guys who are dying to remove it?

Just optics for a while before the inevitable spillover in Pakistan.

As for you calling TTP subterfuge to maintain the narrative, firstly, that narrative is nigh insignificant in the wake of US withdrawal.
Secondly, Pakistan had to contend with a raging insurgency and a high casualty rate during Zarb e Azb, which, if TTP were to be planted for mere optics, wouldn't have happened.

I agree packies are dumbasses, but I honestly don't expect them to be THIS dumb.

 

[here2where]

Ok so muzz-turds falling off the Globemaster and splattering like ripe tomatos on rooftops is making news. What hits me is not sadness or amazement - but a much delayed 'ah there you go' kinda realisation on what happens to those who indulge in fatalistic pursuit of a cult in the garb of religion that is islam.

Its one thing to have faith in a higher power, quite a different thing to be so scientifically ignorant and expect ola-hu to part the windstream at 40,000 feet and ensure you complete the journey unscathed.

All religions require a certain degree of illiteracy to flourish. But pisslam takes it to a very different level indeed.

Those afflicted with this disease are beyond redemption.

Honest question - is there any difference between Mahmud Gazhni and the invading taliban leader?
Its almost as if the intervening 1000+ years never happened!

 

[Ayushraj]

History tells us a lot about future
All invasion that came to india were all from West . 3 prominent place of collecting troops for invasion was
1) kabul
2) lahore
3) sirhind (thanks to banda bahadur he burned it down in 1710).
These 3 places were prominent stop for invading army for recruit army for invasion of India
Almost all the time invaders were afghans and these porki(that time Punjabis) got side role of reinforcing that invading army with men and ammunition.

 

[Okabe Rintarou]

Kabul is their propaganda city. No foreign journalist will dare step out of this city and find out ground situation in other parts of Afghanistan. There, the true face of Taliban will be unleashed. They will maintain this facade for as long as they can. Looks like they learnt from the Pakis and Chinese. Would be intereting to see how they establish control over the internet.
.
But this is next level: Taliban taking interview of average Kabul citizen, asking him how he feels, with gun toting Taliban standing behind him. Bit funny.

 

[here2where]

History tells us a lot about future
All invasion that came to india were all from West . 3 prominent place of collecting troops for invasion was
1) kabul
2) lahore
3) sirhind (thanks to banda bahadur he burned it down in 1710).
These 3 places were prominent stop for invading army for recruit army for invasion of India
Almost all the time invaders were afghans and these porki(that time Punjabis) got side role of reinforcing that invading army with men and ammunition.

... geographical barriers in other directions will always ensure this is only direction an invasion of India can come from.