I've spent nerly 18 years in multiple defence forums and I have always wondered what differentiated Indian army from Pakistani army at an aggregate level. Fundamentally I believe the answer is the following: Whatever the similarities of the two armies, The Indian army as an institution, and as individuals, could strip away their personal opinion and prejudice and look at the situation for what it was, and draw unbiased insights/conclusions from it. It allowed them to course correct and respond like a professional force; Pakistani army just cant, They are so steeped in their prejudice they are incapable for independent, unbiased assessment. Wish becomes the father of the thought, Bigotry substitutes rationale.
I believed the same extended to the population of the two countries too, on average, atleast amongst the defense forum enthusiasts. And it was true for a long long time; right from 1999 kargil war (the first war actively discussed online in defense sites (BR)) till 2019 skirmish and even later.
This year, and this thread, however, completely and utterly blows that derived assumption into fine powder Going by some of the posters here, the 1st Guards Tank Army has probably reached Bavarian plains, and the Ukrainian army has been destroyed 10x over. Neither is true, 1st Guards, the praetorian vanguard of the Russian Warmachine stands smashed, their pride earned in grinding battles of WW2 wrecked and smoking less than 50 km from their launch points, the Ukrainian army stands greviously wounded, but moving from strength, having made good their losses, and now moving from strength to strength launching successful counter attacks across the front.
It takes a special calibre of stubbornness to refuse to see the reality for what it is. Yes, Russia might win, but that is a bleak probability at this stage. Their current armies in the field have been decimated and denuded of material and more importantly, morale. They need to stage over 500,000 fresh frontline troops and thousands of armored vehicles to be able to mount an envelopment from Belarus , their only real hope of total victory. Even if all of that is accomplished, an astonishing logistics feat in itself, It will take a miracle to pull this off against a Ukrainian army that has been retooling and digging in for a full blown assault. The Wehrmacht and its vaunted divisions in Kursk found out just how hard it was to uproot a determined defense against numerical equivalents, the Russians will go up against a wholly hardened force determined to defend to destruction.
Ukrainian Command, whether by themselves or under guidance of external forces, have executed a restrained, well balanced war under extraordinarily difficult circumstances. Their fighting forces have preservered, and conducted themselves well in a manuevering battlefield in both offense and defense. It has been a tactical masterpiece of defensive offense that will fundamentally rewrite RMA of 2003-04. Credit needs to be given where due. The Russian general staff has demonstrated incompetence and worse, a stubborn refusal to learn in the face of crushing defeat.