Russia Ukraine War 2022

Who will win this war?.


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jackprince

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Nah they will resort to plundering resources in Africa expect some regime change in Algeria, Libya and Nigeria. Things will sour up for Africa. They will be screwed royally by neo colonialist.
Not so easy anymore. There are new players and they wont be relinquishing their holds.

Especially China. It has the money and resources that even combined EU can't pull.

India too has got its own stake now and given the timeline is not far enough away, if Europe tried something, the Modi govt has the balls to deal with it in the regions it has good influence.
Shifting back to some other form of energy is not so simple . It takes time . Minimum half a decade to a decade if everything goes as planned .
Not to forget, falling economies and rising energy price coupled with lack of mass-scale cheap industrial capacity would make building that alternate energy sectors more difficult.
 

Anirbann Datta

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If you go for PPP, you will find that 1st is china, 2nd US, 3rd is India .... world wide..
so, chillax, we are gona stay for coming long time.....
now for subjected matter, anything over stretching is considered harmful to the initiator, Russia ate the fruit earlier, now it might be the flip side's turn....
Nothing is more dangerous for a stagnant army hold in a simple concrete structure( just a house) against 52 cal HE shells..

Lets see what unfurls next....
 

GaudaNaresh

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US will not be initially able to fill a Russian supply but give it time and higher prices US will definey be their US replacing Russians in European energy market. Pretty obvious.
not possible. not enough tankers in the world to replace 2 110 billion cubic metres per year pipelines. trying to replace them is like trying to replace a river with a bunch of water trucks.
 

Dark Sorrow

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Most Russians left Lyman..
Here is the video of Russian troops making a beeline out of Lyman yesterday..

True in a sense but not in general. The only road for exiting from Lyman goes through Ukrainian territory.
The only area under total/partial control of Russians is only 1-2.5km wide. This is under visual range and range of small arms fires. This area under total/partial control of Russians is mostly open fields with direct LOS.
Most Russian units had began withdrawal from 27-09-2022 when the road sole exiting from Lyman was under Russian control.
Troops remaining in Lyman were mainly LNR separatist with sporadic Russian units.
 

Dark Sorrow

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As a final kicker, Germany is contractually obligated to purchase at least 40 billion cubic meters of Russian gas a year until 2030. Gazprom is legally entitled to get paid even without shipping gas. That’s the spirit of a long-term contract. Berlin does not get all the gas it needs but still needs to pay. It looks like a long court battle before money will change hands – but Germany’s ability to pay will be steadily weakening.
No Germany doesn't have to pay.
Their is a act of god and war clause in the contract.
Their is also a clause regarding sanctions.
Just imposing sanctions on Belarus and Russia has all but broken the West's back. If they are foolish enough to cut off their noses to spite their faces and imposes sanctions on us too, the consequences will be far worse for them than it will be for us.
Imposing sanctions on Belarus and Russia hasn't all but broken the West's back. It just pro-Russian sympathizers want everyone to believe. Yes, Germany is facing problems but these problems will be solved in due time.
As Belarus and Russia they are too small market for US MNC and more luctrative market and interest in west and Asia-Pacific.
 
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GaudaNaresh

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No Germany doesn't have to pay.
Their is a act of god and war clause in the contract.
Their is also a clause regarding sanctions.

Imposing sanctions on Belarus and Russia hasn't all but broken the West's back. It just pro-Russian sympathizers want everyone to believe. Yes, Germany is facing problems but these problems will be solved in due time.
As Belarus and Russia they are too small market for US MNC and more luctrative market and interest in west and Asia-Pacific.
these problems wont be solved in due time. Because there aint enough gas tankers in the world to replace nordstream 1 & 2.
 

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