2/3 LS is done for all practical purposes. And within maybe another 5 years, I expect serious NDA domination of RS too. The only states where BJP won't be a huge force by then are Punjab (where there's the Akali Dal), Kerala (they will still likely grow) & Tamil Nadu.Need 2/3rd majority for constitutional amendments, won’t happen.
BJP does not have majority in most states. Only UP, Uttarakhand and HP has supermajority. States like Haryana, Assam, Jharkhand, Karnataka, Gujarat, MP, Manipur, Arunachal, Maharashtra, Goa has only borderline to majority. BJP has little presence in TN, Kerala, AP, Telangana, Odisha, Bengal, Punjab and rest of NE. Places like Chhattisgarh, Bihar, Rajasthan have significantly lower number of seats than needed for majority.RS elections are timed for that year. Once BJP gets majority on its own in RS, ecosystem is dead.
Because of Mota Bhai's Antaratma Jagran Yojana. :biggrin2:BJP does not have majority in most states. Only UP, Uttarakhand and HP has supermajority. States like Haryana, Assam, Jharkhand, Karnataka, Gujarat, MP, Manipur, Arunachal, Maharashtra, Goa has only borderline to majority. BJP has little presence in TN, Kerala, AP, Telangana, Odisha, Bengal, Punjab and rest of NE. Places like Chhattisgarh, Bihar, Rajasthan have significantly lower number of seats than needed for majority.
The rule of thumb is that a party must have 50% seats in each state to get 50% seats in Rajya Sabha. I don't see how you can get that many seats by 2021-22. It will be at least till 2025 when BJP can get majority
You have GOT to be kidding me. With 303 seats and most states in its control this “nationalist” govt still falling for the same flawed logic of the pat 65 years??Cross posting here from skirmishes thread,
Must read thread for Kashmir watchers.
Is a historic decision imminent?
If PM @narendramodi agrees with Group 1 it will be full integration of J&K with india.
If Group 2 makes the Govt succumb, it will be a huge disaster.
I hope HM @AmitShah takes a wise call in national interest.
Two major groups have been grinding against each other, like tectonic plates, in the last few weeks, trying to influence Kashmir strategy of PM
One is led by “forces” whose finger is on the pulse and who know Kashmir very very well. They are advising
@AmitShah and team to go full throttle and remove 35-A. They feel the time is NOW or NEVER. (2)
The other has been telling the government to tread cautiously. This group warns that if 35-A is removed “qayamat aa jayegi”. But the first group dismisses this as rubbish (3)
As evidence, Group 1 says before separatists like Yasin Malik were arrested, Group 2 issued similar warnings. “But, see, nothing happened,” says Group 1. (4)
Group 1 feels that Group 2 has vested interests in Kashmir and that these forces (and their predecessors) are responsible for mollycoddling separatist elements in Kashmir for last 25 years or so (5)
Group 1 tells old stories of how the likes of Group 2 offered a large sum to a separatist leader (Mandela, wink, wink) before 96 elections and how an official car parked outside Khan Market took him back after he shopped there for hours. (7)
This money was offered to encourage him to fight elections. But the man returned and refused to fight. All money gone in drain, as per Group 1 (8)
Group 2 is urging government to hold elections first and then see if 35-A can be removed. Group 1 is seething and says whatever change happens will happen now, under President’s rule. Or it will be too late (9)
From second half onwards today, as of now (AS OF NOW), there are signs that the government is tilting towards Group 2. Group 1 says it is a disaster, a Himalayan blunder. The historian of Bharata’s destiny awaits with two pens, one with golden ink, another with sewage water (10)
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