Pakistan Economy: News & Discussion

HariPrasad-1

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https://tribune.com.pk/story/2087309/2-pakistan-unlikely-meet-debt-reduction-targets/?amp=1
Pakistan unlikely to meet debt reduction targets
Total public debt stood at 80.4% of GDP by the end of June 2019, which the government wants to cut to 66.5% by 2024. The share of domestic debt in the total public debt was 66%, which the government seeks to slash to 59% in five years.
Like Major Gaurav Arya had said , IK had promised Naya Shitistan not better Shitistan. GDP dropped 30 pc. They do not have vegetable and fruits to eat now. Nan's price increased to double. TO naya Pakistan to ban gaya na.
 

Bhurki

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Can't help you if you bring up non-logic logic. As I said good luck.
Say whatever you will,
It is revitalizing major infra including railway lines of over 3000 km, installed capacity of over 20GW and expressways of over 5000 km and therefore would want to get its costs out.
 

ezsasa

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Say whatever you will,
It is revitalizing major infra including railway lines of over 3000 km, installed capacity of over 20GW and expressways of over 5000 km and therefore would want to get its costs out.
Can you give reference for this data please...
 

Bhurki

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Can you give reference for this data please...
https://www.skyscrapercity.com/showthread.php?t=1828761&page=101&amp=1

Roadways - M1, M4 motorways are being completely revamped including regional connections.
Railways - Major works are slated on 4 of the ML(1-3) and other connection lines.
Energy - See early harvest + mid term projects on the list.
Reason to believe they are going through is that the massive fiscal deficit in 2017-2018 was because of the imports of machinery and equipment to start work on cpec. It has been halted temporarily under IMF however it makes sense that these projects will restart once there is some breathing space. Also china is more than willing to offload its massive capacity.
Debt leverage towards china is slated to rise to historical levels.
 

ezsasa

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https://www.skyscrapercity.com/showthread.php?t=1828761&page=101&amp=1

Roadways - M1, M4 motorways are being completely revamped including regional connections.
Railways - Major works are slated on 4 of the ML(1-3) and other connection lines.
Energy - See early harvest + mid term projects on the list.
Reason to believe they are going through is that the massive fiscal deficit in 2017-2018 was because of the imports of machinery and equipment to start work on cpec. It has been halted temporarily under IMF however it makes sense that these projects will restart once there is some breathing space. Also china is more than willing to offload its massive capacity.
Debt leverage towards china is slated to rise to historical levels.
Even with all this investment, point remains that most of money goes back to China for material and technology supplied. Which means less money inducted into local economy.

Paki taxation system is worse than ours, it’s the paki govt that has to repay the loan and tax revenues from these projects which don’t reach the govt coffers fully.

My original argument since 2015 continues to hold good, that they continue to go into debt trap.
 

Bhurki

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My original argument since 2015 continues to hold good, that they continue to go into debt trap.
Not really, the tax collection agencies are on a hunt and the collection is actually rather good if look at FBR, but they've taken the wrong steps that'll hurt the economy in long run.

For instance-
https://www.dawn.com/news/1524826
Pakistan’s debt falls to 84.7pc of GDP: IMF
https://www.urdupoint.com/en/business/pak-forex-figure-18081-bn-state-bank-of-p-800925.html
Pak Forex Figure $18.081 Bn : State Bank Of Pakistan


They're on a bloodhunt to meet current targets set by IMF without looking at the damage being done to domestic economy.
Just like always, pakistan is really good at tactical thinking but not long term startegy.

The net debt ratios will continue to decline if they do what they've decided, but the leverage that China holds will certainly keep on increasing.
 
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HariPrasad-1

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Not really, the tax collection agencies are on a hunt and the collection is actually rather good if look at FBR, but they've taken the wrong steps that'll hurt the economy in long run.

For instance-
https://www.dawn.com/news/1524826
Pakistan’s debt falls to 84.7pc of GDP: IMF
https://www.urdupoint.com/en/business/pak-forex-figure-18081-bn-state-bank-of-p-800925.html
Pak Forex Figure $18.081 Bn : State Bank Of Pakistan



They're on a bloodhunt to meet current targets set by IMF without looking at the damage being done to domestic economy.
Just like always, pakistan is really good at tactical thinking but not long term startegy.

The net debt ratios will continue to decline if they do what they've decided, but the leverage that China holds will certainly keep on increasing.
All this are fake figures. Saudi has given some money to Porkies to just keep in their accounts to show. They can not use it.
 

Bhurki

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All this are fake figures. Saudi has given some money to Porkies to just keep in their accounts to show. They can not use it.
The world runs on these fake figures.
These are what are used to assess conditions.
Also, i never said the economy is good, i said that the figures have been maintained, there's a huge difference.
 

Bhurki

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I said that the figures have been maintained
https://www.thenews.com.pk/print/585754-current-account-deficit-shrinks-73pc-in-july-nov
Current account deficit shrinks 73pc in July-Nov

https://www.urdupoint.com/en/business/fbr-achieves-94-of-revenue-collection-target-800247.html
FBR Achieves 94% Of Revenue Collection Targets, Realizes Rs2,083 Bln In First Half

I never said the economy is good, there's a huge difference.

https://www.financialexpress.com/ec...akistans-growth-rate-at-2-4-per-cent/1818116/

World Bank lowers Pakistan’s growth rate at 2.4 per cent’


https://www.thenews.com.pk/print/59...t-level-in-seven-years-state-bank-of-pakistan

Inflation touches highest level in seven years - 12.63%
 

Pandeyji

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kindly expand/explain that "Pakistan is in a strategic position"

for what ?
for whom ?
For everything
For everyone

The 1000km coastline on Arabian so close to midEast offers an opportunity to keep an eye on global trade provided one could bring a good sized fleet.

Their closeness to central Asia ensures that they are well positioned to keep an eye on that strategically important area.

And above all they are excellently situated to keep an eye on a certain eastern neighbour
 

cyclops

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Funny how pakis vehemently insist that they dislike Indian products and are in fact not dependent on it and then.......:rofl:

1,038 tonnes of Indian cotton yarn reaches Pakistan via Oman
Indian exports to Oman increased to 1,417 tonnes by November 2019, of which 1,038 tonnes were received by Pakistan as 'imports from Oman'

By
Hassan Naqvi
-
January 13, 2020
2


LAHORE: Despite Pakistan’s decision to ban bilateral trade ties with India on August 10 last year, around 1,038 tonnes of Indian cotton yarn reached Pakistan via Oman till December as imports from Oman.

According to figures available with this scribe, India exported 1,417 tonnes of cotton yarn to Oman by November 2019, of which 1,038 tonnes of yarn reached Pakistan as “imports from Oman”. India’s export of cotton yarn to Oman remained at a negligible 0.77 tonnes during FY18-19.

As per details, in the aftermath of India’s decision to revoke Article 370 of their constitution which granted Indian occupied Kashmir a special status, Pakistan had downgraded its diplomatic relations with India and later also suspended its bilateral trade during a cabinet meeting.

Soon after the cabinet meeting, the commerce ministry issued two notifications for the implementation of the decision. As per notification SRO928 of 2019, all kinds of exports to India had been suspended through amendments in the Export Policy Order 2016.


In another notification (SRO927), the government also banned the import of Indian goods or those imported from it by amending the Import Policy Order 2016. Previously, this ban was only limited to imports and exports from Israel.

When contacted, Zahid Khohkar, Director General, Customs Intelligence and Investigation, said it is difficult to find out whether the goods were made in Oman or they were actually from India.

“What we do is that we carry out complete investigation and check whether there is a stamp placed on it or not which could prove that these goods are in fact of Indian origin. The second thing we do is check with our embassy whether the country produces the goods that are being sent as exports. Because if they are not producing the goods in their country, how could they export it?” he added.

Pakistani textile industry needs imported cotton to meet its needs since its cotton queen failed to meet the targeted figure of 15 million bales last year as Pakistan produced only 8 million bales in 2019.

Talking to Profit, a spinning mill owner shared that law enforcement agencies failed miserably to stop Indian cotton yarn to reach Pakistan via Oman. “What was the purpose of placing a ban on bilateral trade with India if they cannot stop Indian origin cotton yarn from reaching Pakistan.”

A weaving mill owner, who did not wish to be named, said, “It was a bad decision of the PTI government to ban bilateral trade with India because India’s cotton yarn is of excellent quality. It forced us to use other channels to bring Indian origin cotton yarn to Pakistan as we have to meet the demand as we (Pakistan) missed the target of 15 million cotton bales.”

COTTON YARN UNITS IN OMAN

It is pertinent to mention that India’s Shri Vallabh Pittie, a global leader in the raw material for textiles, through its subsidiary in Oman named SV Pittie Sohar Textiles FZC LLC in December 2018, inaugurated the first cotton yarn production unit in Oman. The second unit was established on November 23, 2019, at Sohar Free Zone.

The figures available with this scribe confirms that the cotton yarn which reached Pakistan was in fact not produced in the newly established cotton yarn units in Oman but were received as imports from India that Oman exported to Pakistan as ‘Made in Oman’.

According to documents, it is also strange that in 2018, Oman’s imports of cotton yarn from countries across the globe was 7 tonnes which increased to 1,417 in November 2019 from India alone.

Also, Oman’s export of cotton yarn to other countries of the world were 25 tonnes in 2018 which increased to 1,038 tonnes by December 2019 for Pakistan alone. All this had happened during the period when Pakistan imposed complete ban on trade with India.

https://profit.pakistantoday.com.pk...indian-cotton-yarn-reaches-pakistan-via-oman/
 

Why so serious?

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Bhikari hamesha ki tarah bheek maang raha hai..



Pakistan urges US to get it out of FATF grey list
PTI | Updated: Jan 20, 2020, 18:49 IST
PTI
ISLAMABAD: Pakistan has urged the US to support its bid to exit from the grey list of the FATF ahead of a key meeting of the international terror financing watchdog in Beijing in which it will scrutinise Islamabad's efforts to adopt stricter laws against terror financing and money laundering.


A Pakistani delegation arrived in Beijing on Sunday for the three-day face-to-face talks with the Financial Action Task Force Working Group that would start on January 21. The briefing will go over whether Pakistan has complied with an earlier agenda presented to it by the Paris-based financial task force, The News reported.


The Pakistani delegation is being led by Minister for

Economic Affairs
Division Hammad Azhar and comprises representatives of National Counter Terrorism Authority (Nacta), the foreign ministry, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), among others.


The FATF in October decided to keep Pakistan on its 'Grey' list for failure to curb funnelling of funds to terror groups LeT, JeM and others.


If not removed off the list by April, Pakistan may move to a blacklist of countries that face severe economic sanctions, such as Iran.

Pakistan has submitted a 650-page review report to the FATF on January 8. The report was submitted in response to 150 questions raised by the FATF regarding new Pakistani policies on money laundering. The report outlined the steps taken by Pakistan between October 2019 to January 2020 to implement the group's recommendations.


Foreign Minister Shah Mehmood Qureshi
at a media briefing in Washington on Friday said that Pakistan hoped the US would back its efforts to get it off the list at the FATF's Beijing meeting, the Dawn newspaper reported.


“This meeting is very important for us as it leads to a plenary meeting in Paris in April where the world body will decide whether Pakistan remains on the list or is taken off,” he said.

Qureshi concluded his three-day visit to the US on Friday after a series of meetings with key US lawmakers and officials, including Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and National Security Adviser Robert O'Brien.


The foreign minister spent the week touring Iran, Saudi Arabia and the US on a diplomatic mission meant to defuse tensions between Washington and Tehran.

At his news briefing, Qureshi also urged the US to review its travel advisories for Pakistan and encourage investments in the country. US travel advisories still present Pakistan as a country Americans should avoid travelling because of terrorism threats.


Asked why the FATF's Beijing meeting was important, Qureshi said that decisions taken in China's capital would also impact the Force's Paris plenary, which would decide whether Pakistan stayed in or was taken off the grey list.


“We want our American friends to tell us what's their policy,” he said. “You share with us what measures you have taken or intend to.”


The minister acknowledged that removal from the FATF list could not happen overnight, but said that the US could enhance its engagements with Pakistan while waiting for the removal.


Qureshi noted that in his meetings with Prime Minister Imran Khan last year, US President Donald Trump had said that he wanted to see Pakistan off the FATF grey list. “So, we expect US officials to work for it now.”


The foreign minister said Islamabad had taken several concrete steps to meet FATF demands and the time had come for the US to fulfil President Trump's pledge.
 

HariPrasad-1

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https://www.thenews.com.pk/print/585754-current-account-deficit-shrinks-73pc-in-july-nov
Current account deficit shrinks 73pc in July-Nov

https://www.urdupoint.com/en/business/fbr-achieves-94-of-revenue-collection-target-800247.html
FBR Achieves 94% Of Revenue Collection Targets, Realizes Rs2,083 Bln In First Half



https://www.financialexpress.com/ec...akistans-growth-rate-at-2-4-per-cent/1818116/

World Bank lowers Pakistan’s growth rate at 2.4 per cent’


https://www.thenews.com.pk/print/59...t-level-in-seven-years-state-bank-of-pakistan

Inflation touches highest level in seven years - 12.63%
Inflation was already high last year under Taliban Khan. This 12.63 pc is over and above that high figure of last year.
 

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