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The altitude argument is often given to show, that their fighters can't take off with heavier loads, but it ignores the fact that they don't have to do it in the first place!
PLAAF has dedicated bombers and long range cruise missiles, which contrary to their air bases along the borders, will be used in the first wave of attacks against us, as it would be the case for any modern air conflict of western nations.
That leaves PLAAF fighters with CAS, SEAD and air defence / air superiority, all with lighter loads and if you follow their exercises in Tibet, or reports from their air bases there, all already visible.
PLAAF also has the clear technological advantage today, which also can be openly seen, by the deployments on their air bases! Modern medium and heavy fighters, MALE and HALE drones, AWACS and Sigint aircrafts, up to the latest stealth fighters. We already know, that they have stealth drones and soon will have stealth bombers too, while we cancelled FGFA and pray for AMCA around 2030.
Also Gagan Shakti showed that IAF is "practically" able to divert fighters or aircrafts to all areas, but that's only possible, if the defence scenario along at least 1 border area is so low, that assets can be freed!
That means, unless we have defeated or credibly reduced PAF, we can't divert aircrafts to the east against PLAAF, or the other way around.
Similarly, if IAF has to maintain air operations along eastern and western borders, there is no way that they will divert 1 of just 6 tankers to the IOR, to refuel an MKI. That's the difference between an exercise in peace times and operational necessity in war times. That's why IAF is constantly asking for more fighters, tankers and AWACS, to cover 2 front lines at all time.
The threat perception simply has changed, from inferior Pak centric, to superior China, with the risk of a simultaneous 2 front war and we need far more and far more capable assets to counter this threat.
- Let us assume that PLAAF fighters do not have to worry about carrying AGMs. Fuel limitations still apply. A PLAAF aircraft can still not take off with a full fuel load and a full A2A weapons load-out. Hence, for adequate on-station time, air-air refuelling is imperative for them, optional for us. So many air-air refuelling tankers flying close to LAC is not viable for PLAAF given our recent order of S-400.
- There are limitations to how many fighters PLAAF can field from its airbases on the plateau itself. And I have never seen much in the way of airfield hardening measures in these forward airbases.
- PLAAF only has one bomber division to cater to the entire Western Theatre Command. That means ~36 H-6K bombers armed with 6 subsonic cruise missiles. Formidable, but they still need fighter escorts. These escorts will lack the long range of their bomber counterparts and will hence require to be launched from airfield close to the LAC.
- To avoid using escorts, PLAAF may launch these cruise missiles from stand-off ranges, out of the strike zone of S-400. As far as I can tell, land-variants of these cruise missiles will be equally, if not more effective. We need to upgrade our air defences along the border. We need more AWACS, Nakshatra, Netra, MR-SAM and Akash NG. No amount of fighter imports are going to make a dent here. Even the air defence missiles need to be desi to ensure that we can make them in sufficient quantities to raise the saturation barrier that the Chinese will have to overcome.
- Its very difficult to defend against a cruise missile saturation, so we need to ensure adequate hardening measures for likely targets, as well as invest in means to jam their recce capability so that mobile targets like mobile CPs remain relatively safer. Meanwhile, we need to utilise those inflatable dummy targets that DRDO made to the fullest extent to further complicate enemy interdiction planning.
- At the same time, we need to invest in our own SSM and cruise missile capability. Pralay will be a welcome addition to Brahmos and hopefully Nirbhay also comes online quickly. Our Battlefield Air Interdiction capability will also increase greatly due to SAAW, NGARM, Garuthmaa and Garudaa as well as induction of Rafale. Can you imagine us relying on foreign AGMs?
- Gagan Shakti has shown IAF's capability to maintain high sortie rates, something I am not sure the PLAAF can emulate yet.
- J-20 will present a threat once it is available in greater numbers to the Western Theatre Command. A few years later, AMCA will join IAF. The capability gap will be real. And we need to prepare for it. By the time we have bridged that gap, PLAAF would start fielding the H-20 bomber. Platform-platform, we will not catch up to the Chinese for a long time. If we keep relying on imports like in the past, we are never going to get there.
- I don't see the need for us to invest in strategic bombers yet. H-20 is directed towards USA. We are right next to China, we only need to invest in more cruise and ballistic missiles to hit Chinese areas of interest.
Now let me present the context of my previous comment which you replied to. I was responding to @arya 's knee-jerk reaction to the Chinese J-20. According to him we should:-
This person claims that we will lose if we fight China because they have a 5th generation fighter. So the only way we will survive is by maintaining technological superiority by buying hundreds of 5.5th generation (does that even exist) aircraft (from which country?). In another thread, @arya was lamenting the Tejas project and that we should "stop wasting money on it and buy F-16s, Gripens and Su-35s instead".Su 35 is the best option for IAF + either Saab or F16 will be good for IAF
Got should go for 4 sq each & rest fighter planes should be 5.5 gen planes.
We have to beat china , we need 5 & 5.5 gen planes not medium 4 gen planes , we should induct few number of 4.5 gen planes to keep our number up
Given the disdain some people show towards the need for development of indigenous weapons, I wonder if these people ever stop to consider the long term result of our reliance on imports. In fact, the current capability gap w.r.t. China is the long term result of our reliance on imports all these past decades.
No number of foreign fighters will ensure our long term strategic security. We need to limit the intake of arms instead of stopping the development of indigenous arms capability. That is what China did.
I am thankful to IAF because they finally committed to 324 Tejas and are limiting imports of foreign fighters to around 110 more MMRCA. I am also thankful that they have put their weight behind the AMCA project. This is exactly the approach that is needed.
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