- Sep 24, 2016
We had just inducted 1st su30 mki in 2002 the vajpai era. Most of our airforce was made up of mig21,23 , 27 then . And mig29Not a hogwash.It is based on realistic data and attrition figures.
IAF will have to conduct a lot of CAS and interdiction missions and these missions generally have really have high attrition rates(over 7%,for reference 3% is acceptable,5% is modestly high).
If you ever get a chance then read a book launched by IAF chief ACM AY Tipnis.He had asked for 55 squadrons by 2020 during vajpayee era post Op parakram but they sat on it and nothing happened.
And Chinese have arrived.They may not have the adequate number of airbases today in tibet but in 10-15 years they will have more ALG/Forward airbases and more Mid air refuellers and not to forget 2x more combat capable aircraft than us.Our procurement programs havent gone anywhere in last 10 years and if the new MMRCA drama continues then we will suffer in medium category aircrafts.Our Only hope is Tejas mk2 MWF and Su-30MKI upgrade in short to mid term and AMCA in long term.
Jaguar were still being built and iaf was eyeing 126 mirages.
Point is we had no heavy fighter and barring mirage we had no multirole fighter either .( Mig29 became multirole.only after upgrade).
Now today we have 300 su30mki multirole .
36 rafale are coming ( french themselves claim each rafale is operationally equals two mirage) .
Lca is coming in 123.
Mig29 upg and mirage upg. 100+
All these jets are much longer ranged , have much more endurance and multirole capable.
So I wonder what would be assessment of tipnis today. Somehow I believe it would be vastly different what he believed previously.