Is Iran Invasion coming !

[IBSA]

Really?? Someone knows more about it?

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Rumours of explosions at an Iran nuclear plant (rumours folks, unconfirmed)
Thu 20 Jun 2019 23:56:31 GMT
Author: Eamonn Sheridan

There are reports an explosion has been heard near the Bushehr nuclear plant in Iran.
Rumour only ladies and gentlemen. With all the tensions surrounding US / Iran relations this may spread. Hopefully its false, nuclear plants are not to be messed with.
I'll keep us all updated. Currencies would likely see flows into yen and out of risk on this.
Bushehr Nuclear Power Plant is 17 kilometres southeast of the city of Bushehr:

https://www.forexlive.com/news/!/ru...zzhAi_7I0VZvLGXbjuz6FQw8tLtyEBfUjY_x5xPGJLYIc

 

[bhramos]

''Check this out,...looks like everything is set up''..

 

[S.A.T.A]

At the beginning of this thread, I said the war will begin in September. It's still on schedule.

 

[Immanuel]

India's intake of Saudi oil during the seven months to May rose by 11% to 804,000 bpd, while that from the United Arab Emirates jumped by 37% to about 360,000 bpd, the data showed.

Imports from Iraq declined 3.3% to 1.01 million bpd, the data also showed.

In contrast, crude imports from the United States have more than quadrupled.

Ahead of the tougher U.S. sanctions this year, Indian refiners had rejigged their annual deals to buy more oil from some suppliers, includin ..

Read more at:
//economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/69933320.cms?utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst

Interesting dynamic

We are buying more US oil and we'll continue to increase buying from them if things get more hostile. West Texan Oil is cheaper by $7-8 per barrel and the shipping route a lot safer thus lower insurance cost.

 

[Vijyes]

India's intake of Saudi oil during the seven months to May rose by 11% to 804,000 bpd, while that from the United Arab Emirates jumped by 37% to about 360,000 bpd, the data showed.

Imports from Iraq declined 3.3% to 1.01 million bpd, the data also showed.

In contrast, crude imports from the United States have more than quadrupled.

Ahead of the tougher U.S. sanctions this year, Indian refiners had rejigged their annual deals to buy more oil from some suppliers, includin ..

Read more at:
//economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/69933320.cms?utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst

Interesting dynamic

We are buying more US oil and we'll continue to increase buying from them if things get more hostile. West Texan Oil is cheaper by $7-8 per barrel and the shipping route a lot safer thus lower insurance cost.

The cost of shipping WTI crude makes up the cost difference. So, that is not really a profit. India is simply buying crude to contain trade deficit

 

[Immanuel]

The cost of shipping WTI crude makes up the cost difference. So, that is not really a profit. India is simply buying crude to contain trade deficit

And to make up for the shortages from Iran

 

[Immanuel]

The cost of shipping WTI crude makes up the cost difference. So, that is not really a profit. India is simply buying crude to contain trade deficit

Well we save on insurance as well.

 

[garg_bharat]

Indicators have turned since yesterday.

A strike on Iran by US is very close now. It will be a token strike, no invasion. But main thing is response of Iran.

 

[Cutting Edge 2]

US sends F-22 fighters to Middle East amid tensions with Iran

The United States Air Force has dispatched top-of-the-line F-22 stealth fighters to Qatar for the first time as it beefs up its forces in the Middle East amid escalating tensions with Iran.
A statement and photos from US Air Forces Central Command said the stealth jets arrived at Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar on Thursday. The Air Force did not give the total number of F-22s deployed, but a handout picture showed at least five the warplanes over the base.
"These aircraft are deployed to Qatar for the first time in order to defend American forces and interests in the US Central Command area of responsibility," the Air Force said.


https://edition.cnn.com/2019/06/28/politics/us-f-22-fighters-to-qatar-intl-hnk/index.html

 

[garg_bharat]

It seems some sort of military action is close. I expect small scale action only like destroying air defence radars.

 

[DG7867]

Nice primer on operation sankalp

 

[Chimpoo]

Unlike Afghan,Syria&Iraq... Iran is a

America has military bases in Balochistan in Pakistan?

For all the talk of Iran ,should we ignore that all these bases are awfully close to India too?

And, yes, even for American military planners and strategists ,India is more important than Iran.

 

[S.A.T.A]

It seems some sort of military action is close. I expect small scale action only like destroying air defence radars.

US is not known for taking half hearted measures. What we are witnessing appears to be steady build up of an invasion force.

 

[indus]

But if it's small scale then it will only hurt Iranian ego and they might retaliate in Arab countries ,that will lead to gang bang of Persians .
So, why small scale ? if they take out their majority of air power in the intial strikes then it will become another Syria with multiple players and due to chahbar INDIA too will be one of them although most probably in negotiating role only , for chahbar.

Iraq was a precursor to Syria. ISIS was born out of remenants of the Baath party of Iraq. Can a similar chess be drawn for Iran. Let Iran be brought into a civil war. Sistanis and Balochis can be drawn into it causing a spillover into Pakistan. Then a three way gangbang of Pakis. Afghans can support union of KhyberPk. Sistanis and Balochis can demand a separate Baloch'tn and whatever remains can be called Iran, Pakistan. What say folks.

 

[S.A.T.A]

Iraq was a precursor to Syria. ISIS was born out of remenants of the Baath party of Iraq. Can a similar chess be drawn for Iran. Let Iran be brought into a civil war. Sistanis and Balochis can be drawn into it causing a spillover into Pakistan. Then a three way gangbang of Pakis. Afghans can support union of KhyberPk. Sistanis and Balochis can demand a separate Baloch'tn and whatever remains can be called Iran, Pakistan. What say folks.

America is causing huge instability in the region and this won't be good for anyone in the long run. Moreover a war with Iran will automatically make Pakistan a frontline state and the military establishment there will exploit it to the hilt. War in Persian gulf will also impact lakhs of Indian NRI's in the region.

 

[garg_bharat]

America is causing huge instability in the region and this won't be good for anyone in the long run. Moreover a war with Iran will automatically make Pakistan a frontline state and the military establishment there will exploit it to the hilt. War in Persian gulf will also impact lakhs of Indian NRI's in the region.

I think American action will be limited to degrading Iran's air defence capabilities. Nothing more is expected.
Pakistan does not get any benefit in this affair.

No invasion.

 

[S.A.T.A]

I think American action will be limited to degrading Iran's air defence capabilities. Nothing more is expected.
Pakistan does not get any benefit in this affair.

No invasion.

Degradation of their air defence but to what end. It will not stop their nuclear program, the alleged trigger for the current round of flare up. Nor will it put an end to Iranian power play in the region, if anything successfully winning the who blinks first contest will only goad them further. Trump may have expressed disinclination to get embroiled in any further wars, but his cabinet has plenty of War dogs straining at leash to for it.

 

[Vijyes]

America is causing huge instability in the region and this won't be good for anyone in the long run. Moreover a war with Iran will automatically make Pakistan a frontline state and the military establishment there will exploit it to the hilt. War in Persian gulf will also impact lakhs of Indian NRI's in the region.

How do you think USA can attack Iran? Iran has ballistic missiles numbering 1lakh or more,all pointed at Gulf countries key infrastructure - oil and gas fields, pipeline and USA bases. This will immediately halt 20 million barrel per day of oil exports from the Gulf region. The world economy will crash. Countries like India, China etc will intervene to prevent their economy from tanking. EU will collapse economicallyas it is almost complete importer of oil.

This is not a simple game as in Iraq. Iraq had no indigenous weapons whereas Iran has indigenous weapons and hence USA and oil importers will pay a big price.

 

[S.A.T.A]

How do you think USA can attack Iran? Iran has ballistic missiles numbering 1lakh or more,all pointed at Gulf countries key infrastructure - oil and gas fields, pipeline and USA bases. This will immediately halt 20 million barrel per day of oil exports from the Gulf region. The world economy will crash. Countries like India, China etc will intervene to prevent their economy from tanking. EU will collapse economicallyas it is almost complete importer of oil.

This is not a simple game as in Iraq. Iraq had no indigenous weapons whereas Iran has indigenous weapons and hence USA and oil importers will pay a big price.

Going by current trade war being waged by the US, health of the international economy appears to be hardly the concern of the folks in the white house. More over with US becoming a net exporter of fossil energy, rising price of oil & gas would work to their liking. Of course war and the rising fuel prices will affect the economies of Europe, China and India, but then again US might see that as favorable outcome. Besides what will these countries do to dissuade US, will they wage war on the US?

 

[Vijyes]

Going by current trade war being waged by the US, health of the international economy appears to be hardly the concern of the folks in the white house. More over with US becoming a net exporter of fossil energy, rising price of oil & gas would work to their liking. Of course war and the rising fuel prices will affect the economies of Europe, China and India, but then again US might see that as favorable outcome. Besides what will these countries do to dissuade US, will they wage war on the US?

USA can't wage war without consent of Arabs by using Arab bases. So, the idea that USA will start a war on its own is arbitrary.

Secondly, USA is not net exporter of oil. It still needs imports if oil. Thirdly, USA relies on petrodollar to strengthen its dollar. USA economy relies on petrodollar and crashing it will ruin USA economy