Indian Economy: News and Discussion

blackleaf

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My understanding is both Airbus and Boeing (and their governments) have absolutely declined to even discuss manufacturing in India like they do in China. There seems to be a collusion between the only two players in the world. And India badly needs airplanes in order to make the next level of progress in economy and lfestyle.

In an ironic twist, the Chinese entering as a third player in the commercial avionics industry might help break the monopoly. Good or bad.
We should consider doing a tie up with Embraer if Airbus and Boring aren't willing to do local manufacturing.
I know they currently only do smaller, shorter ranged planes but maybe some of their medium ranged planes can compete with Airbus and Boeing in the Indian market.
 

MuffleParch

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We should consider doing a tie up with Embraer if Airbus and Boring aren't willing to do local manufacturing.
I know they currently only do smaller, shorter ranged planes but maybe some of their medium ranged planes can compete with Airbus and Boeing in the Indian market.
Agreed. Hopefully India is exploring all options and avenues. But the fact is setting up airplane manufacturing plants and more importantly the entire ecosystem takes years if not decades. India does not have the luxury of time on their side.

It also seems the Modi government is in a hurry to break the overwhelming share of Indian international travel enjoyed by the Middle Eastern carriers.
 

jai jaganath

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We should consider doing a tie up with Embraer if Airbus and Boring aren't willing to do local manufacturing.
I know they currently only do smaller, shorter ranged planes but maybe some of their medium ranged planes can compete with Airbus and Boeing in the Indian market.
Yeah a good option
We need that ecosystem or supply chain be it small or big
 

sameer3694

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We should consider doing a tie up with Embraer if Airbus and Boring aren't willing to do local manufacturing.
I know they currently only do smaller, shorter ranged planes but maybe some of their medium ranged planes can compete with Airbus and Boeing in the Indian market.

There are some ongoing discussions with Embraer in this regard. Unfortunately, the Big 2 are very unlikely to set up a manufacturing plant here. There are currently some talks to make atleast small civilian aircraft(~100 people capacity) locally with an Indian firm holding 51% of the joint venture.

They're already finalizing a partner for manufacture of defence aircraft(with TATA/Mahindra) but I hope it happens soon for civilian aircraft too.
 

nongaddarliberal

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IndiGo is ordering 500 aircrafts from Airbus and yet again will be imported draining forex instead of being built here, India honestly should try incentivising them to set up a l here or source more stuff from India.
If these airlines are willing to spend this much dollars for a purchase, will it result in them eventually earning back all those dollars? Or will they just earn most of it in Rupees? If it's the latter, it means the country has given up on billions of its precious forex for these airlines who won't earn it back.
 

blackleaf

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There are some ongoing discussions with Embraer in this regard. Unfortunately, the Big 2 are very unlikely to set up a manufacturing plant here. There are currently some talks to make atleast small civilian aircraft(~100 people capacity) locally with an Indian firm holding 51% of the joint venture.

They're already finalizing a partner for manufacture of defence aircraft(with TATA/Mahindra) but I hope it happens soon for civilian aircraft too.
TATA Embraer plant would be good. Embraer makes world class short to medium range planes. TATA also will have some experience from the C295 plant.
 

blackleaf

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If these airlines are willing to spend this much dollars for a purchase, will it result in them eventually earning back all those dollars? Or will they just earn most of it in Rupees? If it's the latter, it means the country has given up on billions of its precious forex for these airlines who won't earn it back.
Forex is currently being paid to those middle-eastern airlines for international flights. If Air India and other airlines can take some of that market share then the savingd in forex will eventually make up for the forex spent on the planes.

For domestic routes the earning will be in Rupees so we will lose forex. However we don't really have a choice without domestic airplane manufacturing.
 

nongaddarliberal

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Forex is currently being paid to those middle-eastern airlines for international flights. If Air India and other airlines can take some of that market share then the savingd in forex will eventually make up for the forex spent on the planes.

For domestic routes the earning will be in Rupees so we will lose forex. However we don't really have a choice without domestic airplane manufacturing.
I understand Air India can earn back the forex. My question was regarding these domestic airlines like IndiGo.
 

Azaad

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TATA Embraer plant would be good. Embraer makes world class short to medium range planes. TATA also will have some experience from the C295 plant.
If the GoI had any strategic foresight they'd have linked the ongoing IAF RFI / RFP for the MTA with the need for a civilian RTA , formed a PPP between HAL & a reputed Indian business house already in to defence preferably aerospace defense in India like the Tatas or M&M & looked to get a strategic stake in EMBRAER before acquiring the entire company with it's portfolio of products lock stock & barrel.
 

skunk works

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TATA Embraer plant would be good. Embraer makes world class short to medium range planes. TATA also will have some experience from the C295 plant.
Embraer also desperately needs orders, specially for the new C-series twinjets. This air India deal we made seems like we just paid $100+ billion to the US and EU in return for a few positive tweets from Biden.

Skincare brands paying the Kardashians $250,000 to make a tweet get a better return than this.
 

jadoogar

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If these airlines are willing to spend this much dollars for a purchase, will it result in them eventually earning back all those dollars? Or will they just earn most of it in Rupees? If it's the latter, it means the country has given up on billions of its precious forex for these airlines who won't earn it back.
Forex is not precious for India anymore. Already in current account surplus and perhaps will get worse as liquid fossil use declines. For balanced world trade one must import also. Else you are just accumulating foreign currency that until recent times offered very low interest rates
 

Blademaster

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Another article from our enlightened Bengali Bhadralok Andy Fu-Kher-jee.
These people like RR who are already pronouncing the failure of PLI need to realize that even China doesn't do that much of value addition. It's barely 3 years since the scheme launched and the real capacity building started only 1.5-2 years ago. These kinds of schemes need a long gestation period and results wont be apparent at least till 6-7 years. Moreover, It always starts with assembly, nobody is gonna move their whole component ecosystem to India in 3 years. China and ASEAN countries have been in this game for many decades when UPA led India was sleeping.

At least for Apple products, here's a rough distribution:
  • Accelerometer: Bosch Sensortech, based in Germany with locations in the U.S., China, South Korea, Japan, and Taiwan
  • Audio chips: Cirrus Logic, based in the U.S. with locations in the U.K., China, South Korea, Taiwan, Japan, and Singapore
  • Battery: Samsung, based in South Korea with locations in 80 countries
  • Battery: Sunwoda Electronic, based in China
  • Camera: Qualcomm, based in the U.S. with locations in Australia, Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Japan, South Korea, and more than a dozen locations through Europe and Latin America
  • Camera: Sony, based in Japan with locations in dozens of countries
  • Chips for cellular networking: Qualcomm
  • Compass: AKM Semiconductor, based in Japan with locations in the U.S., France, England, China, South Korea, and Taiwan
  • Glass screen: Corning, based in the U.S., with locations in Australia, Belgium, Brazil, China, Denmark, France, Germany, Hong Kong, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, Mexico, Philippines, Poland, Russia, Singapore, South Africa, Spain, Taiwan, The Netherlands, Turkey, the U.K., and the United Arab Emirates
  • Gyroscope: STMicroelectronics. Based in Switzerland, with locations in 35 countries
  • Flash memory: Toshiba, based in Japan with locations in over 50 countries
  • Flash memory: Samsung
  • LCD screen: Sharp, based in Japan with locations in 13 countries
  • LCD screen: LG, based in South Korea with locations in Poland and China
  • A-series processor: TSMC, based in Taiwan with locations in China, Singapore, and the U.S.
  • Touch ID: TSMC and Xintec. Based in Taiwan.
  • Touch-screen controller: Broadcom, based in the U.S. with locations in Israel, Greece, the U.K., the Netherlands, Belgium, France, India, China, Taiwan, Singapore, and South Korea
  • Wi-Fi chip: Murata, based in the U.S. with locations in Japan, Mexico, Brazil, Canada, China, Taiwan, South Korea, Thailand, Malaysia, Philippines, India, Vietnam, The Netherlands, Spain, the U.K., Germany, Hungary, France, Italy, and Finland
This post needs to be pinned to the top of the semiconductor thread.
 

Blademaster

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IndiGo is ordering 500 aircrafts from Airbus and yet again will be imported draining forex instead of being built here, India honestly should try incentivising them to set up a l here or source more stuff from India.
We are already losing forex when the Gulf Airlines are dominating the air routes in India. First we need to take those air routes back to domestic airlines and then we can talk about producing plane parts in India and even full assembly in India.
 

nongaddarliberal

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Forex is not precious for India anymore. Already in current account surplus and perhaps will get worse as liquid fossil use declines. For balanced world trade one must import also. Else you are just accumulating foreign currency that until recent times offered very low interest rates
We're still in current account deficit, though it's decreased to around 2% of GDP now. Bulk imports of this scale by a single company can't be compared to regular imports and exports.
 

nongaddarliberal

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