Indian Economy: News and Discussion

ezsasa

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Haldiram

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@captscooby81 for comparison :









This is 2̶0̶0̶8̶, 2013 all over again.

Numbers aside, such weak economic seasons are breeding grounds for frustrated, underemployed people to indulge in crime; Some, out of necessity, some trying to take advantage of other's desperation. Fake job application scams, ATM duplication, identity theft, cheque forgery, scam callers.

Deja Vu from previous recession.
 
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EthanHunt

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India Slips to Seventh Spot in Global GDP Rankings of 2018: World Bank

New Delhi: India has slipped to the seventh spot in the global GDP rankings of 2018. The UK and France have raced ahead and taken the fifth and the sixth spots respectively.

As per the data compiled by the World Bank, in 2017, India was the fifth-largest economy while France stood at number seven.


In 2018, the US continued to ace the list with a GDP of $20.5 trillion. China was the second-largest economy with $13.6 trillion, while Japan stood third with $5 trillion. India’s, with its GDP at $2.7 trillion in 2018, trailed behind the UK and France which were at $2.8 trillion.

In 2017, India’s GDP was $2.65 trillion, UK at $2.64 trillion and France at $2.5 trillion. Economists said India slipped mainly because of the currency fluctuations and a slowdown in growth. “In 2017, the rupee appreciated against the dollar, and in 2018 it depreciated against the dollar. So, it is largely due to currency fluctuation and the growth slowdown,” chief economist at India Ratings and Research Devendra Pant told a leading daily. He added that the ranking could still change if growth picked up.

However, India is still the fastest-growing major economy in the world even as its growth is estimated to slow to 7% in the current fiscal year that ends in March.

Its ongoing tiff with the US is likely to register a slowdown for China. Last month, research firm IHS Markit had said that India will overtake the UK as the fifth-largest economy in the world in 2019 and is even likely to overtake Japan to emerge as the third-largest economy by 2025.

The economic survey for 2018-19 has said that the country needs to sustain a real GDP growth rate of 8% to achieve the goal.

Meanwhile, China’s growth has slumped to 6.2 per cent in the second quarter of this year, its lowest level in nearly three decades, the government said, as the world’s second-largest economy feels the pinch of a bruising trade war with the US and weak global demand.

 

captscooby81

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Abey this drop from 6th to 7th is more to do with $ appreciation nothing else to do . Off course it will hurt the govt as they projected they moved from 10th to 6th in 5 years . So a drop is mark on their performance . Modi should learn to digest if there is good days there will be bad days also in economy ..He should stop bothering about which rank we are and push hard to reach that $5Trl figure . The next $2.5 Trl growth is crucial for this country for poverty elimination and also for per capita growth .
 

captscooby81

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SO PM had asked FM to visit and explain on FPI Surcharge after so much crash in market because of FPI pulling out ?
 

republic_roi97

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India Slips to Seventh Spot in Global GDP Rankings of 2018: World Bank

New Delhi: India has slipped to the seventh spot in the global GDP rankings of 2018. The UK and France have raced ahead and taken the fifth and the sixth spots respectively.

As per the data compiled by the World Bank, in 2017, India was the fifth-largest economy while France stood at number seven.


In 2018, the US continued to ace the list with a GDP of $20.5 trillion. China was the second-largest economy with $13.6 trillion, while Japan stood third with $5 trillion. India’s, with its GDP at $2.7 trillion in 2018, trailed behind the UK and France which were at $2.8 trillion.

In 2017, India’s GDP was $2.65 trillion, UK at $2.64 trillion and France at $2.5 trillion. Economists said India slipped mainly because of the currency fluctuations and a slowdown in growth. “In 2017, the rupee appreciated against the dollar, and in 2018 it depreciated against the dollar. So, it is largely due to currency fluctuation and the growth slowdown,” chief economist at India Ratings and Research Devendra Pant told a leading daily. He added that the ranking could still change if growth picked up.

However, India is still the fastest-growing major economy in the world even as its growth is estimated to slow to 7% in the current fiscal year that ends in March.

Its ongoing tiff with the US is likely to register a slowdown for China. Last month, research firm IHS Markit had said that India will overtake the UK as the fifth-largest economy in the world in 2019 and is even likely to overtake Japan to emerge as the third-largest economy by 2025.

The economic survey for 2018-19 has said that the country needs to sustain a real GDP growth rate of 8% to achieve the goal.

Meanwhile, China’s growth has slumped to 6.2 per cent in the second quarter of this year, its lowest level in nearly three decades, the government said, as the world’s second-largest economy feels the pinch of a bruising trade war with the US and weak global demand.
Lol this doesn't really matter, this sort of fluctuation is only because of too close proximity of the 3 countries wrt GDP figures of "2018" our nominal growth is still far ahead of theirs, this would render our economy 5th largest in the list of 2019. It is inevitable, this year we'll be become 3T economy.
 

Prashant12

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India’s Make In India moment: Before Modi’s 2nd term completion, country to turn zero urea importer


Amid a slowdown in Indian Economy, Urea industry is flourishing with new plants getting commissioned.
Urea is witnessing frenetic activity, with new plants that have just got commissioned or are about to within the next 2-4 years (PTI)
  • Harish Damodaran
The Indian economy may be going through an extended investment slump, but one industry — urea — is witnessing frenetic activity, with new plants that have just got commissioned or are about to within the next 2-4 years. On January 1, Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Ltd kicked off commercial production at its fresh 1.34 million tonnes per annum (mtpa) capacity facility at Gadepan in Rajasthan, costing $ 903 million (Rs 6,035 crore). However, this is just the start.

By the end of 2019, there will be a second 1.27 mtpa plant coming up at Ramagundam in Telangana. This is one of the five closed units of the Fertiliser Corporation of India Ltd (FCIL) and Hindustan Fertiliser Corporation Ltd (HFCL), which are being revived through greenfield investments involving newly-created public sector joint ventures (JV). Ramagundam Fertilisers and Chemicals Ltd is a JV of National Fertilisers Ltd (NFL), Engineers India Ltd and FCIL.


Three other such plants of 1.27 mtpa each — at Gorakhpur (Uttar Pradesh), Sindri (Jharkhand) and Barauni (Bihar) — are being set up by Hindustan Urvarak & Rasayan Ltd, a JV of Coal India Ltd, NTPC Ltd, Indian Oil Corporation, HFCL and FCIL. “The lump-sum turnkey contracts for their execution have already been awarded — to Japan’s Toyo Engineering Corporation for Gorakhpur and to a consortium of the London-based TechnipFMC and L&T Hydrocarbon Engineering for the other two projects. Onsite work, too, is in full swing. We expect Gorakhpur’s commissioning by February 2021, and both Sindri and Barauni in May 2021,” a senior government official said.

All these are state-of-the-art plants running on natural gas, which is first ‘reformed’ to produce hydrogen for conversion into ammonia by combining with nitrogen from the atmosphere. The ammonia is, then, further processed into urea. The process licensors in the Gadepan and Gorakhpur projects are KBR Inc, US (formerly Kellogg Brown & Root) and Toyo Engineering for the ammonia and urea lines, respectively. For Ramagundam, Sindri and Barauni, the technology suppliers are Denmark’s Haldor Topsoe (ammonia) and Italy’s Saipem (urea).

In addition to the above five, there are two other plants, also of 1.27 mtpa capacity each.

The first one, at Panagarh near Durgapur in West Bengal and promoted by Matix Fertilisers & Chemicals Ltd, was originally supposed to run on coal-bed methane based on KBR-Saipem technology. It actually began production on October 1, 2017, but the non-availability of feedstock led to a suspension of operations from November 15, 2017, and Matix even being dragged to the National Company Law Tribunal after defaulting on loans. The unit’s resumption hinges upon natural gas availability from the 2,655-km pipeline from Jagdishpur (UP) to Dhamra (Odisha). This pipeline, being built by GAIL (India) Ltd, has already reached Barauni, while the spur lines to Gorakhpur, Sindri and Durgapur are scheduled for completion by December 2019.

The second plant at Talcher (Odisha) is yet another revival project. Being executed by Talcher Fertilisers Ltd — a JV of GAIL, Coal India, Rashtriya Chemicals & Fertilisers (RCF) and FCIL — it is envisaged to be a coal gasification-based ammonia-urea complex.

“The plant will use coal from the Talcher mines. Since this coal has high ash content, it will be blended up to 25% with petroleum coke sourced from Indian Oil’s Paradip refinery. The urea to be produced would be costlier than from imported liquefied natural gas (LNG), but the government wants to go ahead, as it is being fired by feedstock that is substantially indigenous (pet-coke is a byproduct of domestic refineries that process imported crude). We are going to soon award the lump-sum turnkey contract and the targeted commissioning is by September 2023,” added the earlier-quoted official.

Put together, all the seven plants add up to 8.96 mtpa, which is nearly 40% of the country’s total urea production capacity of 23.5 mtpa till September 2017, before the now-idle Matix Fertilisers facility came on steam. The projected aggregate outlay: Rs 51,000 crore (see table 1).

A boom in urea investment of this scale was last seen during the 1980s when the overall manufacturing capacity virtually doubled from about 7.5 mtpa to 14.70 mtpa. A host of new plants — Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilisers & Chemicals’ Bharuch and Krishak Bharati Cooperative’s Hazira (Gujarat), RCF’s Trombay-V and Thal (Maharashtra), NFL’s Vijaipur (Madhya Pradesh), Indian Farmers Fertiliser Cooperative’s Phulpur and Aonla (UP), Indo Gulf Fertilisers’ Jagdishpur (UP) and Brahmaputra Valley Fertiliser Corporation’s Namrup-III (Assam) units — sprung up. All of them – barring Bharuch, Thal and Phulpur — operated on indigenous natural gas, mainly supplied through the Hazira-Vijaipur-Jagdishpur pipeline. And they (with the exception of Namrup-III) deployed the Haldor Topsoe process for ammonia and Snamprogetti (which is now Saipem) technology in urea manufacturing.

In the 1990s, a few more capacities — including Chambal Fertilisers’ Gadepan I and II, Iffco’s Phulpur II and Aonla II, Nagarjuna Fertilisers & Chemicals’ Kakinada I and II (Andhra Pradesh), NFL’s Vijaipur II, Kribhco’s Shahjahanpur (UP) and Tata Chemicals’ Babrala (UP) — were established, taking the total to 20 mtpa by the decade’s end. In the subsequent decade and a half, hardly another 3.5 mtpa got added.

The current revival, unlike the 1980s boom, is based largely on the use of imported re-gasified LNG feedstock, conveyed via newly laid pipeline systems such as Jagdishpur-Haldia and Bokaro-Dhamra (for Gorakhpur, Barauni, Sindri and Panagarh) and Mallavaram-Bhopal-Bhilwara-Vijaipur (for Ramagundam). The LNG would be mostly imported into the eastern coast Dhamra and Kakinada ports, where independent re-gasification terminals are being developed.

India now produces roughly 24 mtpa of urea (many plants operate above their rated capacities) and imports 7-8 mtpa (table 2). If all the proposed new capacities materialise, imports may reduce to nothing.

https://www.financialexpress.com/ec...n-country-to-turn-zero-urea-importer/1664040/
 

ssg_slayer

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How can economy be slowing down but tax collection is up?
Probably it is the tax which was accumulated past so many years by few firms. For better insight per month tax collection needs to be observed since GST was implemented.
 

ezsasa

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Probably it is the tax which was accumulated past so many years by few firms. For better insight per month tax collection needs to be observed since GST was implemented.
I have been keeping an eye on GST tax collections, they cross 1 lakh crores per month two to three times a fiscal previously. This fiscal its three out of four months of tax collection.
 

sorcerer

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GST collections for three of four months this fiscal has crossed 1 lakh crore per month for the first time.

How can economy be slowing down but tax collection is up?
The usual game at play when Modi era began..

1)
Award WAPSI gang with INTOLERANCE.. (Modi 1.0)
LETTER writing Gang with Lynching(Modi 2.0)

2)
Economic Slow down charges by all top congie pigs on GDP(Modi 1.0)
Economic slow down charges by idiots on economic slow down(Modi 2.0)

We can show that with economic slow down too we can afford to GET Kashmir whole.
there is some sort of plan to create a multidimensional panic
 

Vijyes

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I have been keeping an eye on GST tax collections, they cross 1 lakh crores per month two to three times a fiscal previously. This fiscal its three out of four months of tax collection.
Are you forgetting that GST is supposed to grow by 14-15% per annum as the indirect taxation growth is traditionally in that level. How is merely crossing 1lakh crore enough in such a case?
 

ezsasa

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Are you forgetting that GST is supposed to grow by 14-15% per annum as the indirect taxation growth is traditionally in that level. How is merely crossing 1lakh crore enough in such a case?
Let me collate some numbers.. patience plz...
 

HariPrasad-1

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In seventh position...................
I thisn fsdfjhjhjgjjjdkllljjjkjkjkl
white people and their silly games....
even if we go by this article....
if UK grew 1.4% on a GDP of 2.64 trillion $, would be ~37 billion $ rise. how the hell would it become 2.8 trillion $?
India grew 6.5% on a GDP of 2.65 trillion $, would be 172 billion $ rise.. it would be 2.82 trillion...
India is a 2.97 USD economy in nominal term but they do some base year adjustment. That might have changed the position. Other reason is depreciation in INR.
 

Haldiram

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SO PM had asked FM to visit and explain on FPI Surcharge after so much crash in market because of FPI pulling out ?
That seems to be the case. Logon ko itna dara doge toh paisa withdraw karne lagenge. The FPI guys requested twice to review the new taxation law because it's a double whammy for them. First LTCG and then the surcharge, that makes the LTCG equivalent to 14%, on top of that the rupee has plunged so foreigners are at the brink of their patience. Ek toh profit barely 3% to 4% ho raha hai, aur uss chote profit ka bhi 14% hissa LTCG me dena pad raha hai unko. FM even refused to entertain them. 40% of the money in Indian markets is foreign money. If they decide one day to pull it out, the whole market will deflate like a balloon. The inkling of this major withdrawal made the smaller FPIs withdraw earlier (Singapore and Gulf investment hedge funds).

Expect the gormint to issue some relief or some cosmetic relief-building statement this week. Bank liquidity has dried up. The only place a company can look to raise funds is the markit. If the stock prices are stunted, even that source dries up and puts pressure on the gormint.
 
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