Indian Airforce: inching towards a Checkmate
The IAF is one bad news away from a US Checkmate forcing it to buy an American fighter
How I see it?
I don't look at it in economic sense... it's not that without the IAF deal boeing/Lockheed won't survive...
It's the strategic sense... creating Indian dependence on US for military needs... till today we have acquired a variety of equipment from US but govt/IAF has played safe on fighter procurement
How the US is maneuvering to achieve it?
(Yes I am taking the "everything is a conspiracy line
Check 1. AUKUS: angered the French by snatching the Australian submarine deal... & in consolation asked its pets UAE & Indonesia to go ahead with substantial rafale orders (80+42) booking the production line for next 5+ yrs
Check 2. The most stringent Sanctions on Russia before & after the Ukraine conflict preventing IAF from acquiring aircraft from It's topmost supplier... (the deals for additional mig-29s & sukhois are almost dead)... IAF condition becomes more precarious
Check 3. Not letting PAF lose steam: Support & enhancement package for Paki F-16s last yr
(Another bad news of our own creation... delay in Tejas MK2... I have no doubts somehow they orchestrated all this... delayed fund allocation)
Now sudden news of F-35 offering by Lockheed... earlier Boeing replaced F-18 with F-15 in its offering for IAF
With each of the above events... IAF's situation became thin... it needs fighters today... the only supplier that can now ensure timely deliveries at a higher rate is the USA
(The French will do assembly/manufacturing in India only for a large order... & small repeat orders will take greater than 4 years to begin delivery)
What's next?? CHECKMATE!!