Indo - US Ties Lack Care and Good Consideration
Joe Biden‘s US administration is totally incompetent. They, for minor strategic gains in Ukraine are plunging the whole world into a recession. It is foolish to militarily assume that reaching Russian border will enhance NATO‘s prestige. No, that is a lie. It does not do anything to either US or NATO in Europe. NATO is fine without Ukraine. What has American military involvement in Europe has done, Nothing but anger both at US and Russia.
1. It has created scarcity of Oil and Gas in Europe. A very reliable source of both of these commodities is being compromised. The Russian supplies have not stopped but a huge noise of stopping oil flow from Russia is being made. They dare not do that because alternative from US and Arab countries is not feasible.
This has resulted in a huge price increases at the pump all over the world with oil priced at $100 a barrel, this is inevitable.
This will force a recession in the whole world economy with US and Europe as the prime target of recession or depression. Other countries will suffer e.g. Chinese economy dependent upon good economics in US and Europe will suffer a lot. India is already showing signs of slow down in a highly upswing economy. Blame all this on Biden.
2. Strategic balance in the whole world is disturbed. Although Chinese are in the grip of Covid attack but their plan to attack Taiwan and capture it is still intact. Once US is fully mired in Ukraine, then it is Chinese opportunity to grab Taiwan. They will not miss this life time opportunity to do that. US will be able to do nothing except shout from a distance.
3. That much talked about QUAD will become a paper tiger. Already the Chinese have entered thru the Australian back door at Solomon Islands chain. US and Australia shouted but of no avail. If Chinese are unable to come to the Indian Ocean, it is because India has presented to them a huge challenge. They can apply only pinpricks at India in the Himalayas, no large scale invasion is possible. The Chinese navy cannot cross Straits of Malacca without being mauled by the Indian Navy. Hence strategically Chinese expansion here is checked.
The new government in Pakistan is not anti Chinese but are wush to be more friendly to US hence Chinese desire to convert Pakistan into a client state is already lost. Mind it that Pakistan will be friendly to India but will not be exclusively dependent on China.
4. With foolish as they sound, the US is loosing fast any opportunity to make India into a stalwart of democracy in the region. The US State Department has released reports on Human Rights (a foolish counter productive report) and a report authored by Religious Right of lack of freedom to convert people in India to Christian in tribal belt. Each of these are pinpricks to upset India. The IndIan foreign minister already reacted angrily to these and other reports. When US need more friends than it has and especially in Asia, all these stupid actions are nothing but deliberate. Already the US media is leading a very organized and sustained campaign against India for non issues like removal of illegal land occupation in the cities which are already crowded. No matter how foolish it sounds, the same thing will happen, even worst, if New York’s Central Park undergoes an illegal occupation. The net impact of these will be back to Luke Warm relationship. That you all blame it on Biden Administration.
5. Indian cheap oil import from Russia is giving US nightmares. If Europe decreases its oil purchases from Russia (not now but in the future) the Russians have a ready market in India and China. Biden Administration are leaving no stone unturned to prevent that. That singular point had a rejoinder from India’s Foreign Minister that India imports one hundredth of oil as much as the Europe imports in one afternoon. Hence, the US has lost more influence than it gained.
If US thinks that with Ukraine war they have gained strategic advantage, look at the losses they are likely to make elsewhere. That is what is called incompetent administration.