India Pakistan conflict along IB and LoC (July 2021 onwards)

Azaad

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That's the trick , don't make a public statement . Pakistan army never accepts its casualties .
The whole PA infra at LOC is a cog in the whole terror machinery . Remember BAT is an acknowledged part of PA comprising to terrorists , when they attack Indian posts to kill and behead , it was the same PA giving them cover fire .
The proportional response used to be the same , kill theirs . Its the same now just the branding of BAT is gone and hits are happening farther inside . You must create fear among the regular PA who are the ones calling the hit of revenge .
You are loosing men either way , better be brave and take 10 times of them with us .
In that case what makes you think we're not responding to them & paying them back in their own coin on their soil ?
 

Extraordinary

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Deriving some lessons from Col Hunny case, the gormint can indeed hound Generals who refuse to tow the line.
So what's usually this argument about General holding back development?
 

kaboom

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In that case what makes you think we're not responding to them & paying them back in their own coin on their soil ?
Surely we are ..
Not as much as i would like though , even though no public statements are made , SM clutter does give us some idea if an op happens . If I remember correctly just a few months ago there was clutter about numerous disappearances within a night (must have been the wind ).
My issue is hits are not happening in proportional numbers to bring in enough fear in the facilitators .
 

Azaad

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Surely we are ..
Not as much as i would like though , even though no public statements are made , SM clutter does give us some idea if an op happens . If I remember correctly just a few months ago there was clutter about numerous disappearances within a night (must have been the wind ).
My issue is hits are not happening in proportional numbers to bring in enough fear in the facilitators .
If you're not sure about the information flow itself how then have you concluded our responses are not proportional leave aside disproportionate ?
 

Jimih

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My issue is hits are not happening in proportional numbers to bring in enough fear in the facilitators .
Pakistanis are once again shaping the battlefield according to their own advantage in our own turf.

They are simply shifting the teams of infiltrating terrorists from one place to other place.

The battlefield right now.
GP27AK0bMAAU4DV.jpeg
 

Austin316

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🚨🚨earlier terrorists had the advantage of surprise element, now just look at the evolution

 

kaboom

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If you're not sure about the information flow itself how then have you concluded our responses are not proportional leave aside disproportionate ?
Just yesterday a team infiltrated just one day after a big public attack on civilians .
When a regular proportional response is given , activities on launch pads is paused after an attack to prepare for an incoming response .
Them not pausing tells they have nothing to fear .
 

ezsasa

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folks who want to indulge in these scenarios, also will have give options/ideas on building consensus with in other silos of comprehensive national power. don't leave it at, it's not my job, it's gormint's job.

the solution has to work in it's entirety, not just in silos.

when war happens, it's the entire nation that is going to war, not just the army or military component of the nation.
=====
What is the concept of Comprehensive National Power (CPN), and where does India stand in terms of CPN ranking?

There are many definitions of Comprehensive National Power (CNP). As per one of the more acceptable definitions, CNP is "comprehensive capability of a country to pursue its strategic objectives by taking the necessary actions internationally". It can also be defined as "degree of ability to mobilize and utilize strategic resources of a country to realize national objectives." It provides an intrinsic analytical tool for identifying gaps and boundaries of national power and extrinsically balances interests in the international relations loop. Although there are different factors considered by different people to measure CNP, the most commonly accepted factors are: economy; military strength; internal cohesion; governance; human capital; science & technology; knowledge and information; geography and natural resources; foreign policy and diplomacy; and, national will and leadership. All these factors are consequential in denoting the power of a nation state in the present environment.

One of the first studies for measuring Comprehensive Index of Power was attempted by an American named Ray Cline in 1977. Subsequently it was modified by the Chinese think tanks, like China Academy of Social Sciences and Academy of Military Sciences. In India, the NSCS has also been publishing National Security Index from time to time.

The respective positions of various countries in all these studies vary. Therefore, it is not possible to state exactly the position of India in CNP index. However, it is commonly agreed that India is presently behind USA, China, Russia, Japan and Germany but has the potential to improve its position by overtaking the last three in about a decade or so. It will of course depend on taking adequate measures to fill the gaps and make course correction in policy implementation.


 
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kaboom

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Pakistanis are once again shaping the battlefield according to their own advantage in our own turf.

They are simply shifting the teams of infiltrating terrorists from one place to other place.

The battlefield right now.
View attachment 257677
What are the chances of this spreading to areas of punjab like Pathankot ??
 

Azaad

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Just yesterday a team infiltrated just one day after a big public attack on civilians .
When a regular proportional response is given , activities on launch pads is paused after an attack to prepare for an incoming response .
Them not pausing tells they have nothing to fear .
Right , so they're poised to carry on something spectacular to gain eyeballs. We'd have to adjust our tactics accordingly. Pulwama was about what our redlines were.

Subsequently through chatter on SM , I recall 2-3 instances where PA informed their counterparts about similar operations being planned which we were able to thwart.

Looks like Hafiz wants us on the negotiation table & he's decided brinkmanship is the way to get it . Let's see how the situation pans out
 

ezsasa

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Just yesterday a team infiltrated just one day after a big public attack on civilians .
When a regular proportional response is given , activities on launch pads is paused after an attack to prepare for an incoming response .
Them not pausing tells they have nothing to fear .
your inference depends on your time frame for reference.

let's take last 10 years.

2014 - pakis were banking on arty duels almost on a weekly basis. IA responded in kind.
2016 - India does surgical strike, pakis started saying jihadis were entirely local, and projected burhan wani group
2019 - this continued till balakot strike, they changed their tactics to giving themselves secular names like TRF. started hit and run on civilians.
2021 - after arty duels escalated to 155 mm, ceasefire was called.
2024 - since then till now, they are using on ambushes on military and civilians.

in between, they pushed LeT front, Hizb back. and now brought Hizb to front and LeT back.

this is to say, it's not like they not changing their tactics. they are being forced to change their tactics.
 

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