India can make 10% growth rate a new normal: FM Arun Jaitley

Srinivas_K

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India can make 10% growth rate a new normal: FM Arun Jaitley

WASHINGTON: India has the potential to make nine to 10 per cent growth rate "a new normal", Finance Minister Arun Jaitley said today while asserting that high growth was essential to meet the challenges posed by the country's burgeoning young population.

"India has the potential to make nine to ten per cent its new normal in the years to come," Jaitley said in his keynote address at the day-long conference 'Deepening the US-India Commercial Partnership: The First Year of the Modi Government'.

"India's own normal in terms of its growth rate has to target anything close to a double digit. India growing at five per cent, six per cent or even seven per cent is not an India that is going to face up this challenge (of large young population)," Jaitley said at the conference organised by the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a Washington-based top American think-tank.

He made the remarks in his maiden public appearance hours after arriving here to attend the annual spring meeting of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.

Listing out the steps being taken by the new Indian government like giving more financial powers to states, increased investment on infrastructure, emphasis on manufacturing, Jaitley said the roadmap laid out is to open the door for investment.

"By and large it is a welcome move in India. There are very few sectors now, almost insignificant, that remain closed. Everything has been opened up," he said citing insurance, defense, railways and real estate sectors in this regard.

When both domestic and international investors come in, the next step is to develop a system in which investing in India itself becomes attractive.

Jaitley acknowledged that land reforms bill remains a contentious issue in India today.

"I have no hesitation in saying that the land law if it remains in the present shape is a big hurdle to employment creation. One of the areas where we are trying to ease the (land) acquisition process is creation of industrial corridor. This is capable of providing employment to a vast number of people in rural areas," he said.

Jaitley said the government is trying to "narrow down" the period in opening up new projects.

"I have set up a new committee to look up into the whole mechanism of how, whole institution of prior permission can be replaced by regulatory mechanism where it is far easier to start your business just complying with the guidelines that have been stated in that area," Jaitley said.

As these efforts would start yielding results in the next few years, Jaitley exuded confidence that India would enter a phase of double digit growth from what he hoped a eight per cent growth this year.

Referring to the latest growth rate projection of 7.5 per cent this year, Jaitley in response to a question said the feeling in India is this "is not our" real potential.

When the net impact of all the latest reforms is realised, he said, it is capable of "taking us close to what we thought we can never reach and today there is a realisation that that is a realisable target."

Responding to another question, Jaitley said among various reforms labour laws will remain a challenge.

India can make 10% growth rate a new normal: FM Arun Jaitley - The Economic Times

Anything between 12 to 14% will make India Global player in 2 decades, This should be target to forge a strong country which can lead and influence others.
 

ezsasa

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@Srinivas_K

From a pragmatic standpoint 12-14% is a BIG IF, That would entail many aspects going in the right direction....

For example:
1) Land bill passing thru in time
2) GST bill passing thru in time
3) Industrial corridors become functional in the next 4 years
4) Smart cities becoming a reality
5) Modi Government walk the talk for the next 4 years
6) Last but not least , successive three governments continue with economic reform agenda and not cave into socialist/populist demands of people.

Too many IF's and BUT's if you ask me.
 
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Srinivas_K

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@Srinivas_K

From a pragmatic standpoint 12-14% is a BIG IF, That would entail many aspects going in the right direction....

For example:
1) Land bill passing thru in time
2) GST bill passing thru in time
3) Industrial corridors become functional in the next 4 years
4) Smart cities becoming a reality
5) Modi Government walk the talk for the next 4 years
6) Last but not least , successive three governments continue with economic reform agenda and not cave into socialist/populist demands of people.

Too many IF's and BUT's if you ask me.
IFs and BUTs are there to overcome !
 
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sorcerer

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Asia's Growth Gap: India Versus The Rest

Asia's Growth Gap: India Versus The Rest | The Diplomat

India has emerged as Asia's leading light as China's slowdown continues and other developing economies struggle to pick up speed, according to the latest economic indicators.

On Wednesday, China released data showing the world's second-biggest economy expanded at its weakest pace since 2009 in the March quarter, slowing to an annualized gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate of 7 percent on lower investment growth and a weak property sector.

While in line with Beijing's official target and the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg, industrial production slowed to its lowest level since 2008 and fixed asset investment hit a record low, causing Asian stocks and market interest rates to fall.
 

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