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Read some articles on chines nuclear doctrine, that will help. chines have NFU policy. if they will change their mind for NFU policy; it will prompt US to counter this policy which chines cant afford for next 50 years given the fact if china will keep the same pace of her economy growth with less dependency on oil (which seems IMPOSSIBLE to me).LF, I am not worrying about Pakistan. They are at best a nuisance. All my posts have been China centric.
Here are the links to show that China has neutron bomb capability and we all know it has supersonic CMs.
The Cruise Missile and the Neutron Bomb: Some Moral Reflections
Popular Mechanics - Google Books Go to page 113.
China says it can build neutron bomb:
China Says It Can Build Neutron Bomb; Beijing Attempts to Discredit Cox Report on Theft of U.S. Secrets - The Washington Post | Encyclopedia.com
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So chines perception to attack India with nukes is counter balanced by bio feed mechanism as US is acting as buffer for India.
The scenario we are talking is before 2020; i will appreciate if we can think more in terms of conventional war with china.
India can afford to stop pursuing NFU policy. Yes it is is very possible for us. Pakistani nuclear evil is a very big excuse for us discard NFU thus we be able to check china as well (with one stone two birds).
Recent Pakistani misadventure to increase its nuclear stock pile and proliferation can be properly utilized with such timely reviews on different aspect of our nuclear doctrine.
To make it very easy;
Your china concentric theories of nuclear attack directly by them is not practical as i can prove with one argument; Why china was/is inclined to proliferating nuclear technology or making many nuclear capable pockets in Asia.
2.About why India is more capable to force aggressor not to use nukes is because India has no pressure, not to use Nukes.it can change its stand on NFU due to Pakistani nuclear expansion, Pakistan already has such policy which is India concentric so we have no pressure at all. Also it will be more difficult for Pakistan without genuine second strike capabilities??)
3. India will have more moral reasoning as he will be a defender not aggressor.
India has history of being defender and has never attacked any nation even during kargil and should pursue the same diplomacy.
4. China don't consider India being worth for full scale war, they are chickened by USA, there current nuclear doctrine explain this.
Same can be said about India as Indian nuclear doctrine is some what identical to chines counterpart but its funny to know that India is chickened by India its self not by anyone else. It shows how dodo policy makers we have (some times Indian politicians are over diplomatic, over defencive and more obsessed with would be fictional threats).