Gulf of Aden & Red Sea Conflict 2023 - Op Prosperity Guardian

hurrians

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hurrians

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Whatever happened to CFSL Pune report on drone attack on MV Chem Pluto.
 

hurrians

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  1. Sea farers get higher pay.
  2. Shipping companies get higher profit.
  3. Insurance get higher premium.
  4. Israel gets to say it's blockaded and legitimises it's search for alternate routes.
  5. Houthi project the image of macho man.
  6. Houthis get to negotiate with Europe and shipping companies ( bringing in cash,tax) and legitimacy.
  7. Houthis get to navigate internal faultlines and tribal sectarian divide and anger against their rule, as a bonus get record new recruits.
  8. Regional powers can't show their hand else they will be accused of being complicit with Israel.
  9. Indian Navy deploys one of its largest task force to provide constabulary duties just away from the danger zone, in turn system adequecies and intelligence failure could be studied (and probably corrective actions taken).
  10. Degree of leverage of Iran to disrupt global shipping is revealed.



Crude oil rises​
Western consumers and exporters pay more.​
 

hurrians

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German frigate deployed to Red Sea repels first Houthi attack.

 

hurrians

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Sudan: Relief vessel suspends operation amid Red Sea disruption.

 

hurrians

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Hamas elites and Israel fight was stage managed both of them along with pressure on Biden will result in a ceasefire in the near future, Houthis won't be able to manage their internal faultlines as they have made too many enemies.
Their future course of action to prevent internal turmoil will be interesting.
 

hurrians

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This is bound to happen, when the operation are not coordinated by usa, European powers had shown their reluctance to be part of us led task group under influence of their leli and green population.

US UK are bound to have many covert operations in the area.
 

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India has called for renewed powers from the UN to allow naval ships to enter Somali territorial waters to tackle the threat from pirates.


Taking advantage of red sea chaos Somali pirates with help from jihadists are reengaging in piracy.
 

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