Aniruddha Mulay
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Acquisition of Gripen or F-16 would have killed the Tejas Mk2 program for good, might aswell curtailed the Tejas Mk1 at 40 units with no Tejas Mk1A being ordered.I will be blaming GoI more than IAF, both BJP, and Congress for lacking a clear vision for IAF. IAF made it clear by 2008 that they need 10-12 squadrons worth of the latest jets to maintain an edge, GoI has never taken the concern on a serious note.
We ought to have ordered 120 MMRCA by 2014, not necessarily Rafale/EF2000 if budget was the issue. Gripen or even F-16 would have secured us comfortably (yeah yeah I know US redtape bla bla), even re-ordering Mirage-2000s would have worked.
The problem is GoI is betting everything on Tejas (Mk1 & Mk2), but it is facing intermittent delays constantly. I see only by 2030 we will be in a comfortable position again. However this risky bet that we won't be fighting any large war in the next 8 years is likely to cost us dearly.
Also, do you think the Gripen E and the F-16 Block 70/72 is going to come cheap, the Gripen-E costs $85 million unit cost, the F-16 Block 70/72 has a similar unit cost and given the past experience with ToT, it would merely be licensed production which would be what India would be doing.
Mirage 2000 was a better option, but UAE wasn't willing to sell any and we already have seen how expensive it is to upgrade the Mirage to IAF standards.
So, the Govt had no option other than to put all its faith and money into the Tejas Mk1 and Mk2.