- May 26, 2022
Okay, to finish up some last thoughts from my previous post --i am of the opinion that, as of today chances are not good for taiwan. hence my earlier question, how prepared is taiwan to hold off PLA and militias for a month or two.
There are zero indications that US will put boots on the ground in taiwan (atleast publicly), "US military advisors" may come and help a bit like they are doing in ukraine, but most of the leg work will have to be done by taiwanese themselves.
While India's young generation, from what I can tell, is also becoming much more nationalist and patriotic, and anti-China, while voting for Modi, China's young generation is also becoming more nationalist and pro-China. And their relations seem to be worsening over the past decade (the border dispute is still unresolved after the last several rounds of talks). And even if it is resolved, I doubt China will just abandon Pakistan afterwards and become best friends with India, regardless, there is too much history between all three countries. Both are Asian superpowers and the strongest economies / militaries in the continent, I don't know if this trend continues, what will happen years from now.
Most "ordinary" Taiwanese people who are not aging fossils are very, very strongly opposed to embracing Chinese identity, even the passport was changed very recently to distance itself from mainland China while traveling abroad.
In a huge step, Taiwan has redesigned its passport wherein it has shrunk the words ‘Republic of China’ to an unnoticeable extent. The new passports will be made available to the citizens from January 11, 2021. The big news here is the new cover design will have the country’s name highlighted...
And who can blame such views, honestly?? China is hated by most democratic countries today.
Across 14 advanced nations, a median of 61% say China has done a bad job in handling the coronavirus outbreak. And at least seven-in-ten in each of these countries have little or no confidence in President Xi Jinping.
Pew Research Center's latest survey carried across 14 countries of the world shows that China is suffering from a terrible image problem.
Taiwan's next generation: Increasingly pro-independence, anti-China
India's next generation: Increasingly pro-Modi, anti-China
China's next generation: Increasingly pro-China, anti-America, and anti-Taiwan and anti-India.
And here are some views from the current mainland Chinese people, India is their second most-hated country in the world.
A new survey taken after the Russian invasion of Ukraine finds that the Chinese are very negative about the U.S., very positive about Russia – and very confident about China.
I think the ROC military would try to fortify itself and prevent the PLA troops from landing on the shores as best it could. I'll try to expand more on this later.