Bmd is the answer and denuking will be done before taking those areas , series would most likely be this
1. Any big attempt or a attack on india through proxies with link with pakistan government clarified fully
2. India raising the issue in world forum and defending it's right to protest .
3. Money to baloch will increase and western side of pakistan will be hot on fire .
4. India doing some operation destroying pak army or naval infra connected with terrror group , pak retaliation with attack .
5. A full scale war escalation , pakistan giving nuke threat .
6. India still start banging them while infiltrating in Pakistan .
7. Pakistan launching a nuke , to show strength , but we can neutralize it in air , multi layer bmd .
8. China siding with pakistan but no support on ground except resources .
9. A big joint op of global powers of interest to secure nukes . Actually to get hold of some more nukes .
10 . Some nukes going with terrorist , who try to launch it , outcome not certain .
11. Pakistan turning to a battlefield , cities being bombarded like in gaza with a surrender agreement to divide it and india taking over some land , most probably most of pok ,gb , some sindh , and a patch in Balochistan , with french , russia , US setting up bases in Pakistan .
12. You only consider pakistan as rouge , Bangladesh if not under sheikh hasina will try to help pakistan ,but so feeble their military is , we can overwhelm them , some land area to widen Siliguri corridor is required
10 .
YOUR CONCERNS ARE RIGHT .
denuke of pak is next to impossible so destroy their sataelite with shakti missile if it fails bmd will take care.
imo deepstate of us will be needed to believe that breaking of pakistan is good for them also as it would weaken the support for taliban in afganistan so they can eradicate them easily cause pakistan supports taliban financially.
then us will also be in our side
actually us needs pak for carrying out op in afganistan other wise they dont have much significance
we will also need to talk with balochistan leader that you will give some amt of land to us troops to deploy for carrying out operations in afganistan for exchange with their freedom
so this will be win win situation for us india balochistan
I agree with both of this to a certain extent. Denuking has to come before direct military intervention like in GB and POK or in Balochistan. And yes only US can do it, US deep state has to want to denuclearize Pakistan.
In a way, increased instability in Balochistan may be a way to convince them that it's needed due to fear of imminent collapse. Same with in Sindh and maybe Talib in KPK. Or just Indian Americans doing policy making influence could do it like the Jewish elite do in the US for Israel.
I think what will happen is if that decision is made, they'll start with incentives like increased foreign aid, increased assistance with internal security problems like drone strikes on Talib or BLA, sanctions on india if they interfere in Balochistan, if China is asked to helpout, they may offer security guarantees (though idt China would agree esp if US is considering liberating Balochistan and Sindh through a military operation).
After that light sanctions, then heavy sanctions, and so on.
But if a red line is crossed (building of ICBMs, transfer of nuclear tech directly to Iran, collapse of the state/Jihadis taking over a base that houses nuclear weapons), then they will want a military operation, and they will want a coalition.
To be honest, I think US will want China out of this, as they'll try to pursue their strategic interests such as liberating Balochistan and Sindh to block Chinese access to Arabian sea energy supply route, and China obviously will oppose this. It comes down to deterrence to discourage China from directly intervening as much as possible. If it's just US/UK/France/Israel/India, China I think MIGHT still intervene though unlikely, because they might get Russia on their side, which would make for a much more even battle, as it's much easier for China and Russia to mobilize their troops to Pakistan than US/Europe.
HOWEVER If Russia agrees to join US's side instead (unlikely, they will at best stay out of it), Chinese 99% won't intervene directly, because no matter what they'd lose then. This is why the coalition has to offer Russia something, like forcing any new government of Sindhudesh to enter into some kind of defense partnership with Russia, with Russia having veto power over defense related trade and foreign policy issues and the ability to build military bases in exchange for helping rebuild the country after the war and providing troops for training the security forces and additional security. Then Russia will join in or will at least commit to staying out, because Russia wants to become a global player again and wants influence in South Asia.
The biggest problem is public backlash. "ZOMG he is a Russian agent" to any President that tries this. Only a Trump republican with some neocon sympathies can pull this off. I think Ron DeSantis could do it, but now to get inside his inner circle is the hard part.