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continuing with this german/europe russian energy imports angle, a hypothetical state of play.For now the assumption is germany's energy imports from russia seems to be a major underlying cause.
Merkel's decision to go non-nuclear energy production is forcing them to depend more on coal and natural gas for energy.
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Factbox: How much does Germany need Russian gas?
How dependent is Germany on Russian gas?
Russian forces invaded Ukraine on Thursday, sending European gas prices higher and increasing the focus on gas supply in countries including Germany, which is Europe's largest economy and imports most of the gas it consumes.www.reuters.com
US is saying they preparing a plan to substitute russian energy imports to europe, let's say they succeed. with loss of revenue, Russia will become more dependant on chinese energy trade , US/NATO/Europe will loose whatever little leverage they have on russia.
in this scenario, does threat to ukraine at a later date increases or decreases ?