China's Xi Jinping takes his first step to challenge Modi's rising clout in South Asia

lcafanboy

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China's Xi Jinping takes his first step to challenge Modi's rising clout in South Asia
Wednesday, October 18, 2017 By: ET Source Link: CLICK HERE



Wednesday is an important day for Prime Minister Narendra Modi. What makes it important is because of what's happening in neighbouring China.

While Modi is seen as a brave leader who can ignore checks and balances for bold reforms, he is also seen as a strong-arm leader outside India, especially after India’s surgical strikes in Pakistan-occupied Kashmir. India’s challenge to China during the Doklam standoff only amplified this persona.

On the backfoot after the border skirmish, Xi Jinping is trying to turn the page at the critical once-in-five years party congress of the top leaders of the Communist Party of China. Considered China's most powerful leader since Deng Xiaoping or even Mao Zedong, Xi will try to use the congress to lay the foundation to stay atop the 89-million-strong party even longer than the normal 10 years.

That would break the unwritten two-term limit accepted by his immediate predecessors Jiang Zemin and Hu Jintao -- who were by Xi's side at the congress -- and end the era of "collective leadership" aimed at preventing the emergence of another Mao.

The congress is expected to cement Xi's authority that will further strengthen his power to pursue an aggressive policy abroad. The 19th edition of the congress assumes significance for Xi as he will have a far greater ability to choose his colleagues than he had in the last congress held in 2012.

It is because of this the developments in Beijing will be closely watched in Delhi’s policy circles.

Another term for Xi does not augur well for Modi.

First, China has lately started asserting in the world economic sphere, especially with its One-Belt-One-Road (OBOR) project. OBOR needles India as it passes through Indian territory occupied by Pakistan. A stronger and more confident Xi will not only find a new zeal to increase China’s global economic clout but can also flex its economic muscle in the region by investing in more infrastructure projects in the region, which will also give it strategic as well as diplomatic heft at India’s expense.

Second, a stronger and more confidant Xi can also escalate the border tussle with India. Xi wants to make China the number one global power by replacing USA but finds rising India a stumbling block. India’s growing alliances in Indo-Pacific region (Japan, Australia and Southeast nations such as Vietnam, Singapore and Indonesia) and with USA to rebalance China’s aggression is viewed as an obstacle by the Chinese regime.

Xi would like to test India newly acquired confidence, especially with regard to Bhutan. India and Bhutan have a special security arrangement under which India will extend support whenever the Himalayan state faces a security threat.

Doklam may be over but China is not going to digest the humiliation that India posed to it. China may have pulled out of the border tussle due to the upcoming Congress. After the Congress, it can escalate tension with India. India’s Modi-led efforts to gain supremacy in the region will come under serious challenge with a stronger Xi. Modi’s ‘Act East’ policy can face strong resistance from China.

One positive for Modi is that with Xi growing stronger, there will be greater liking for stronger leaders in India. That will ensure he remains popular with the masses.

http://www.defencenews.in/article/C...lenge-Modis-rising-clout-in-South-Asia-434060


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roma

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https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com...dia-to-counter-china/articleshow/61136584.cms
In bluntest ever remarks, US talks up India to counter China

So Modi doesnt have to reply , let the usa americans do it for him ...... sooner or later the americans will realise that military measures against china are not going to get the desired results and that they have to take economic measures that impact the people an perhaps get them to demand a different form of government


and the stooopid global times or whatever which has squintish vision and all their media can throw whatever kindergarten tantrums and we dont need to listen

keep our eyes on the bal of usa -india -israel relations is the key factor and not ccpprc - and the news seemingly keeps getting better with this as well:-
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com...angers-rex-tillerson/articleshow/61136406.cms

US defence proposals to India can be 'potential game changers': Rex Tillerson

and in particular these phrases :-

Tillerson said even as the US and India grow their economic and defence cooperation, they must have an eye to include other nations which share their goals.

"India and the US should be in the business of equipping other countries to defend their sovereignty, build greater connectivity, and have a louder voice in a regional architecture that promotes their interests and develops their economies," he said.

Defence secretary Jim Mattis has said that the world's two greatest democracies should have the two greatest militaries.


and as if that wasnt enough :-

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com...ership-rex-tillerson/articleshow/61136179.cms
WASHINGTON: US President Donald Trump and Prime Minister Narendra Modi are committed to building an "ambitious" partnership that benefits not just their countries but also other nations working towards peace and stability, America's top diplomat said on Wednesday.

US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson told a Washington audience that PM Modi's visit in June highlighted the many areas of cooperation that are already underway


now with all that going on , why listen to some stoopid squintish lizard ?
 
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prohumanity

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Either US-Israel axis support India fully and empower its military with best weapons they have....or India should refrain from making China as complete enemy.
If US-Israel leaves India in limbo with partial support..then India is in trouble because now, India has made a formidable enemy which could have been a trade ally and neutral.
A defense treaty where US guarantees defense of India in case of attack by China...can solve this problem of trust deficit which occured due to US policies ofsupporting Pakistan against India for last 60 years.
 

sorcerer

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It will be calm, Its all just another media hype about sky falling down and an imminent threat for more readership/viewership as people would love to keep themselves updated.
Nothing sells like fear in for the media..
Burqa made a fortune selling fear to Indians and pakistan with a camera and a microphone.

Having said that.

USA is cautiously needling china at the entire stretch for china to make the first shot. USA for the past decade has been watching china on its close periphery and they have almost concluded the incapabilities of china.
The eerie silence in US media on chinese firepower is an unsettling point which could mean the same.

Xshe knows it and they have an economic bubble up over their head which cant take a full fledged war when the globe is tightening economic measures on china indirectly.
Plus china has no solution to protect is economic activity hub along its entire east cost, which is well within the reach of US madness from some safe distance for USA.
An internal collapse for china is what china will be very aware of at this point.

We can expect any leader in china, especially from the psych of china to do a whole lot of chest thumping and propaganda as they dont have to take any sort of feedback from anyone as its an autocracy. They can have a real fun time with their microphone.

With a more assertive India with a very very warm ever global presence and friendship and USA well ahead and prepared to call the shots at the door step is not the chinese dimension of war.
World is largely seeing china, pakistan and NoKo together and that doesnt really look well for china.
 

Dark Sorrow

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Total BS. Chinese are way to shrewd and cunning. They know any conflict with India will hurt their interest more. Look more like a ruse to make India import more weapons.
 

prohumanity

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Outcome of NoKo and US standoff will pretty much decide the fate of western supremacy. If NoKo succeeds in defending itself then, it might create an example for other nations that it is possible to survive as western opponent if you have a powerful military and arsenal and are willing to use it.
If west succeeds in making NoKo subservient, that will give the rest of the World a message that Western supremacy has more legs to run.
Its not just who has bigger arsenal...more important is that power is willing to take risk and use its arsenal.
 

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