Why would I round up 100-200 from 65?If you round up 65 years, it is 100 years.
The US imposed alot of embargoes, but the most devastating was oil of which Japan recieved 80% from Amerikans. China will seek more oil among many other things it needs to grow. Since most of China's materials are imported by sea they will seek to cut that dependence since it is not so vulnerable to attack. The Far East is a direct land route not threatened by the rest of the world.The point remains the same. It is old thinking. Japan did not lack resources when she waged war on China. In fact, because of Japanese aggression in China during the 1930s, the US started to impose embargoes on Japan for items such as rubber.
If Japan didn't want to depend on imported materials, they never would have invaded the mainland in the first place.If Japan had not waged war on China, the US would have continued to supply Japan with her raw material needs.
The US keeps those bases to maintain a presence over its financial empire. If it didn't, countries would turn to nationalisation as it has in Latin Amerika costing their big business billions in lost assets. Among other things it prevents hostile nations from taking over their business interests from countries that seek to take over the next. Above all they do it to protect their energy supplies. They don't do it to make the world a safe trade haven, they do it to protect their exploitation of the globe.The US does not need 750 military bases to trade. The US is a busybody and it is providing security to the rest of the world for free. For example, US military bases in Britain, Germany, South Korea, Japan, etc. serve no real purpose. The Cold War is over, but the expensive bases are still there. What a waste of money.
China can build all the CTL plants it wants, it won't change their dependence on fossil fuels and the more it grows, the less relavent CTL becomes. They import around 4 million barrels a day, their current CTL capacity is 1m a year. It won't last them 7 hours for an annual output. If fuel consumption doubles it will mean even less.Even if fuel prices increase, China has plenty of coal. If necessary, China can build more CTL (coal-to-liquid) plants.
China's future military aspirations rest largely on what Ukraine can give them, that being assistance with aircraft carriers, strategic airlift, and amphibous capability. All that is required to project power. If China finds that source threatened they will not be happy. If the Western powers had the backing of China against a Kremlin move on Kyiv, they could have an economic alliance that would cripple us. With us in a weakened state and our forces deployed against Ukraine, China might try to take advantage of the situation.I understand your point with regards to Ukraine. Though Ukraine is a sovereign country, as a practical matter, I don't think anyone is willing to fight a war with Russia to defend the Ukraine. To quote the British show "Mr. Prime Minister:" we defend the weak against the strong, but Russia is too strong!