Armenian-Azerbaijan 2020 War

Who will win this conflict


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Villager

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Don't read much into Turkish propaganda nor post their links , in future same turk media will be posting shit on india . They already do . Why give them viewership.
They are already doing it.

Just check their Turkish Government TRT about India. I don't think any sanity is to be expected by this Erdogan. Intentionally trying to project India as anti Islam for his radical base. They seem to be propagating the same against most nations excluding China I think.


 

Haldilal

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Ya'll Nibbiars Karamusali village lies 40 km inside Azerbaijan, NE of line-of-contact (unless theres another Karamusali in Goranboy region). 700 metres from the village, lies an BUK anti-air defence battery.
EjBT9oMWAAYvP4m.jpeg


Yukhari Aghchakend itself has a major military base 800 metres away built between 2013-2015. They lie about 6 km north of the line-of-contact with Artsakh.
EjBXTJOWAAAP5Ci.jpeg

These, amid reports of Azerbaijan civilians caught in the crossfire in areas between Tartar town and the line-of-contact, in Shikharkh village, two civilians reportedly killed, two wounded, military dugouts 1.4 km away.
EjBdI8bXsAAq6Mc.jpeg
 

Haldilal

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Ya'll Nibbiars Armenia MoD video of heavy fighting and destruction of #Azerbaijan vehicles at the position 9km West of Terter.
EjFudApWsAAHnOI.jpeg
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Azerbaijan D reports footage of MLRS fired during the night, possible the artillery mentioned by Artsekh defence authorities. First is possibly a BM-21 Grad, the second seems to be a larger calibre, maybe Kasirga or Smerch system.
 

Haldilal

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Ya'll Nibbiars the current status along the LOC.
EjN-xrRXkAE5EMH.jpeg
 

Waanar

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These "balloon" decoys have been used in the past to fool and waste airstrikes. This makes sense.
Drone intense wars should have a lot of such decoys. Effort should be made to make the real ones (SAMs, Artillery, depots etc) stay invisible under overhead concealment and put the fakes out in the open or something along those lines.
Just a thought.
Damn, this war is basically "how not to fight a war 101".
 

shade

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Huh, Karabakh is as Azerbaijani as Crimea was to Ukraine....it is a soviet fuck up to placate turks at the hoping they would go communist. This is armenian land through and through as far as you can go back.
It's not a fuck up, it is JUST AS PLANNED so that Russia can continue playing big brother to both.
They did a similar thing with Uzbekistan,Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan their maps are a bigger clusterfuck than this karabakh issue, and you have all sorts of ethnic clashes happening.

What exactly are they going to lose? They are fighting for a territory that is legally recognised as theirs (not of Armenians) by all of international community. No one supports Armenia's claim of Nagorno-Karabakh as Armenian territory. Unless they venture into Armenia's internationally recognised territory, why would Russians or US would get involved there.
Their objective in this war is to take Karabakh, if they don't succeed in this or it's a stalemate it means they failed to complete their objectives, hence lost.

Military comparison

Global FirePower index ranks Azerbaijan at 64 of 138 while Armenia is ranked 111 of 138.


AzerbaijanArmenia
Population10,046,5163,038,217
Manpower Available5,042,3461,696,085
Active Personnel126,00045,000
Reserve Personnel300,000200,000
Defense Budget (USD)$2,805,000,000$1,385,000,000
Purchasing Power (USD)$172,000,000,000$28,340,000,000
Foreign Reserve (USD)$6,681,000,000$2,314,000,000
Total Aircraft14764
Combat Aircraft170
Dedicated Attack129
Transports13
Trainers2913
Helicopters8837
Attack Helos1720
LAND POWER
Combat Tanks570110
Armored Vehicles1,451748
Self-Propelled Artillery18738
Field Artillery227150
Rocket Projectors16268
NAVAL POWER
Fleet Strength310
Submarines40
Frigates10
Coastal Patrol130
Mine Warfare70
LOGISTICS
Airports3711
Merchant Marine3130
Ports & Terminals10
Labor Force5,118,0001,507,000
Roadway Coverage52,942 km7,705 km
Railway Coverage2,918 km869 km
RESOURCES
Oil Production789,300 bbl0
Oil Consumption180,000 bbl47,500 bbl
Proven Reserves7,000,000,000 bbl0


Azerbaijan is bigger and stronger in almost all areas and is desperate to get back the disputed territory and has been strengthening its military for the same. In year 2015 Azerbaijan spent $ 3 billion dollars on its military, that’s more than Armenia’s entire national budget.
All that paisa, all that equipment, and in the end they will have nothing to show for.
Saudia apparently spends some 10% of it's GDP on defence, having the latest American toys, but what is the use? they can't even keep a lid on a handful of Yemenis backed by Iran?
 

Haldilal

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Ya'll Nibbiars this war has shown us how the slow moving cheap drones are useless. Only the Kamikaze drone can be useful. Even they can be fooled with a decoy. So there is need for High Speed Kamikaze drones.

They prove there can be three type of drones useful.
Surveillance drones.
Fast moving Kamikaze Drones.
UAV Wing man.

The cheap drone in higher number are total flop.
The slow moving armed drones tend to be a liability rather than assets.
 
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Haldilal

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Ya'll Nibbiars Photos show one of the Azerbaijan UAV's shot down by Artsakh Armed Forces in the town of Askeran, Artsakh. The UAV targeted civilian infrastructures. Rescue Service of the NKR. Even Kamikaze drones are being downed with just MANPADS.
EjOWeB4XkAA2UyA.jpeg
EjOWeB4XgAcImlG.jpeg
 

shade

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1601535506213.png


Since we are on the topic of f*cked borders of ex-Soviet states, i present you this threesome.
All three have enclaves in each other's countries, and where their borders meet, there is a mountain range in between, the map lines are all arbitrarily drawn around this mountain range.
There is also NUMBA WAN land-grabbing power to their East, RIP.

1601535690981.png


Soviet border-making is only second the British Empire borders
 

Haldilal

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looks like harop drone
Ya Slow moving drones have become easy targets. The Need for High Speed Drones is needed. Only then can survive such battle field. And also only when they are equipped with sensors and electronic Counter Measures. We should invest in the Aura UAV, Rustom MK 2, HAL Wing Man and high speed Kamikaze Drones rather than slow moving drones.
 

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