Alternatives to Dassault Rafale

ersakthivel

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Re: Why Rafale is a Big Mistake

As an outsider, I would like to add some points.


No, I think the ultimate certificate is FOC not IOC, right?

FOC and IOC certify the capabilities bult into the platform during design phase. They are not a means to add to capacity.tejas mk1 itself has,
.
I think first 3 don't give you quality edge against Chinese J-11B and J-11BS, not to mention J10 (according to PLA, J10 performs far better than Su-27 in its drills as long as range is not taken into consideration). LCA MK2 is still on the paper, nobody knows how good it will be. Even it is delivered as promised, it will take at least another 10 years to mature. But you have to know, J-10B is ready now and Chinese already started the work on J-10C. So, highly likely, when LCA MK2 enters service, it will still be no match against the latest J-10 versions at the time.
Here is why Rafale comes in, it is ready and has enough edge over current J-10. And people have greater confidence on French's technical ability to keep this edge over any improvement on J-10 in near future.

1.lowest clean config RCS, with a radar dia bigger than Rafale
2.A combination of good enough Thrust to weight ratio along lowest wing loading leading to better performance in high altitude air space
3.And 4 channel all digital fly by wire relaxed Static stability airframe

among all other fighters of PLAF, PAF and IAF, not a single fighter in the combined fleet of all three airforces have this unique combination which is present in all 4.5th gen fighters like rafale ,gripen and typhoon.

In tejas mk2 the thrust to weight ratio will go closer to that of rafale,typhoon,gripen E and Mig-29.
SO in effect with in its range tejas mk2 will be comparable to rafale, typhoon,Gripen E and Mig-29(which has a combo of both high ITR and STR).

So I don't accept that J-10's performance against older Su-30 serier or SU-27 is going to make J-10 superior to tejas mk1 and mk2. because j-10 has a higher wing loading which will be a minus in high altitude himalayan theater and bigger clean config RCS(once all heavy RCS long range BVrs fired and external fuel tanks are dropped tejas will be much difficult to track by any radar than any of the present 4th or 4.5th gen fighters flying in IAF,PAF and PLAF.)

Unless you change the design of J-10 completely it wont match teajs mk2 in my opinion based on specs alone.Design of tejas mk2 is already finalized and drawings are being released for production. And it builds upon the mk1 capacity. we can be confident of mk2 specs in the same way you are confident about j-10 Cor B's ability.
p2prada does not know anything significant on aerodynamics to pronounce any meaningful opinions on these matters. Reading brochures and posting forums are no substitute for learning something about the importance of
combination of low wing loading with high thrust to weight ratio,
Relaxed Static Stability compound delta air frame coupled with 4 channel all digital fly by wire tech
high enough internal fuel fraction,
class comparable low clean config RCS,
a decent 650 mm dia ASEA radar ,
all in one tejas mk2 platform along with retractable refueling probe.

from sites dedicated to aerodynamics mentioned in many of my posts,

because it is ultimately these techs that make the strands of any modern 4.5th gen fighter's DNA.

SO how come a fighter having all these traits become inferior to any other 4.5th gen fighter in combat ?
If p2prada is right that India is looking for an offensive air force deep into Chinese air space, then we are looking at scenario completely different from 1962, or even 2014. In the future war, Indian pilots have to fight 1000kms away from their airport without ground support, which means this fighter is expected to fight independently. This is what Rafale was designed for, not LCA. If you require LCA MK2 to play that role, the workload will be equal to designing a new plane—MRCA.
range with maeningful combat load is a direct function of internal fuel fraction(weight of the internal fuel/empty weight of the fighter)
In the recent reunion island flight two rafales with nothing but two huge external fuel tanks needed 5 refuellings and took 10.5 hours to complete the 10000 km flight distance,
giving them a ferry range of just 1500 Km in hot indian ocean climatic conditions which sap 10 percent wing lift and engine thrust.If you calculate that two engines on rafale burning fuel the excess fuel in external tanks does not automatically mean twice the range of single engined tejas mk1(range for tejas mk1 at IOC-2 itself was given as 1700 Km in indian hot condition.)

So the range difference between rafale and tejas mk2 will be with in the 20 to 30 percent shortage , nothing very big. Considering we are introducing brahmos armed Su-30 MKI there are alternatives for IAF to strike at these ranges
Only India government can answer this question because this is a strategic question not tactic. As a developing country with limited budget and resource, India can't afford modernizing its military and building up its military industry at the same time and same speed. One must be prioritized over another. So, question is: which one you prefer to do first. From 1960s to 1990s, Chinese choose the latter while keeping its forces with outdated weapons for over 30 years. During this period, the only preparation to USSR attack is nuclear mines and insurgency war. In the meantime, the limited budget was focused on industry building.

Ofcourse indian govt is also responsible for the defence of indian skies with high in number 4.5th gen tech fighter fleet with out busting IAF budget, for which 300 plus tejas mk2 will do better than 120 rafales on any day. You should know that IAF is 10 squadrons shor of its required and sanctioned fighting strength of 45 squadrons.
the 20 billion dollar rafale deal will make it impossible for IAF to reach that 45 squadron level.
So, is there any india government willing to take this kind of risk? Or would India public allow its government to adopt such strategy?
of course govt has a very tough balancing act to do. It has to take into account the previous govt's decisions , IAF's needs, the future of indian mil aviation industry along with enough 4.5th gen fighter availability for airdefence needs of indian airspace into account.

And if any corruption allegation surfaces it will be even more difficult for them.
 
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zuchini

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Re: Why Rafale is a Big Mistake

Just to inform people in favor of scaling down this deal, it's a very bad idea.
Because a modification of the number of MMRCA means a modification of the Request For Proposal, which leads to a new open competition between all the aircraft manufacturers.
So it's a waste of time and the IAF cannot afford it.
 

ersakthivel

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Re: Why Rafale is a Big Mistake

Russian Air Force to start receiving newest T-50 jet fighter from 2016 | idrw.org

So PAKFA is going to arrive in Russian airforce by 2016, Why is IAF not interested in buying limited editions of PAKFA until the FGFA program matures later and exchanges them like they did with Su-30 MKI deal? It would have been far better for IA's future to invest in 5th gen platform than spending 20 billion dollars , a huge sum on Rafale. But of late not a single personnel from IAF has expressed any such opinions. And of late IAf seems to be disinterested in PAKFA bordering on boredom, with its single minded focu on rafale, why?

Well it is often said that many HAL personnel are already in russia for this project, But IAF is not very enthusiastic to it, recent reports by some press guys seems to suggest that there are many shortfalls in PAKFA , well short of IAF expectations, What are they?

for any deep strike into Tibet as IAf guys want to recall fondly, what would be better PAKFA or Rafale?
 
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p2prada

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Re: Why Rafale is a Big Mistake

If p2prada is right that India is looking for an offensive air force deep into Chinese air space, then we are looking at scenario completely different from 1962, or even 2014. In the future war, Indian pilots have to fight 1000kms away from their airport without ground support, which means this fighter is expected to fight independently. This is what Rafale was designed for, not LCA. If you require LCA MK2 to play that role, the workload will be equal to designing a new plane—MRCA.
Yes, Rafale and MKI have requirement for SATCOM/NAV. This way they are not restricted by land based communication systems which require LOS.

 

p2prada

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Re: Why Rafale is a Big Mistake

Just to inform people in favor of scaling down this deal, it's a very bad idea.
Because a modification of the number of MMRCA means a modification of the Request For Proposal, which leads to a new open competition between all the aircraft manufacturers.
So it's a waste of time and the IAF cannot afford it.
The number of Rafales is only going up, not down. That news about Rafale being cut down from 126 to 80 is fake.
 

ersakthivel

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Re: Why Rafale is a Big Mistake

MODI government's 132000 crore headache-by pranay sharma,-OUTLOOK

The article is a clever attempt to obfuscate the real issues around the rafale deal.

To start with the blurb goes like"India's search for 5th gen fighter jet is on the cusp.". It confirmed my long held suspicion these so called defence features are cone by people who have no understanding of the matters regarding the stuff they write.

Simply put rafale is 5th gen only in price, by technology it is 4.5th gen like tejas .Without even knowing that journos write whatever they wish , and give the article the color they want to give.

The journo says the non completion of rafale deal is the reason for the depleting squadron strength!!! He does not seem to know that rafale is going to perpetuate the lower squadron numbers of IAF with huge cost it takes to buy the 126 planes for a long time to come.

Another interesting snippet was,"Initially it was thought that Mirage-200o must be upgraded,But later that idea was junked and search began for a newer better combat jet". Well some one forgot to tell the journo that the mirage-2000 upgrade was not junked but it is being pursued at a huge cost of 45 million dollar per plane.

"Since the indian economy was booming ,the politcal bosses had told the IAF top brass to go for the best and not to worry about the cost"------Does that mean buying a 4.5th gen fighter at a 5th gen cost at 5th gen time frame? SO does all the reasoning that IAF needed an MMRCA that should weigh below 30 ton , which was the governing principle behind MMRCA tender as peddled by various worthies of IAF in stratpost conference not correct?

is this the reason for buying rafale not worrying about the cost!!!!

At least the journo got one quote right, each rafale costs 200 million and above a quote by Rahul Bedi defence analyst. Then all the guys who are lying here hoping up and down , when bhrath karnard said that each aircraft will cost upwards 238 million dollars as offered to brazil can calm down for a while.SO4.5 the gen rafale is going to cost more than 5th gen FGFA it seems,

And a jump cut by K.C .pant has the following quote,

"other than SU-30 MKIs procured in 1990s the IAF's squadrons have a shrinking strength due to depleting core of Mig-21 "

The number of Sukhois procured is not just one or two but 272 in total. So it is not as if no new fighter was procured through out the 2000-2010 period. Every year a fixed number of SU-30 MKis are rolling out from HAL lines. SO if depleting squadron strength is the issue , then more SU-30 MKI numbers and tejas mk1, mk2 numbers automatically settle the issue.

On the contrary rafale is going to contribute to the shrinking squadron strength by concentrating more than 22 billion dollars in just 6 squadrons. With 22 billion dollars we can raise more than 12 squadrons of SU-30 MKI whose entire production is indigenized(even SCB tech for AL-31 engine is in our hands according to our resident expert here!!!!) Then why should we do the exact opposite if we have to arrest the shrinking squadron strength?Or we can add more than 30 squadrons of Tejas for the price of 6 rafale squadrons a sure fire recipie to double the IAF squadron strength with a fighter whose radar is bigger than rafale.

And then comes the parting shot"With cost over runs and delays reports indicate that IAf's unhappiness with performance /technical features of PAKFA ". SO now IAF rates PAKFA over rafale, even Karlo Kopp would faint at such radical airpower analysis!!!!

Is PAKFA really that bad? Worse than rafale as per IAF?

Well I suspected something cooking when earlier reports indicating the supposed shortfalls of FGFA or PAKFA was aired very vigorously some times back. Now it sems it is all the work of MMRCA lobbies is sure .

Well this is the shortest cover story I have ever read. It had no features about the competing fighters ability or whether local alternatives are good enough. Just a few big photos of rafales and "expert opinion" favorably pitched does the job.

Well I never thought that OUTLOOK could throw much on a product chosen by UPA joint. So I was surprised to read the headline at the news stand and bought the book. After reading it I felt perfectly satisfied that OUTLOOK is still the best sickular UPA official publication.

The article is an artful dodge sen ofetn in the world cup foot ball, nothing about educating the readers on the real issues involved as usual , so typical of our sickular press
 

p2prada

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Re: Why Rafale is a Big Mistake

Just to inform people in favor of scaling down this deal, it's a very bad idea.
Because a modification of the number of MMRCA means a modification of the Request For Proposal, which leads to a new open competition between all the aircraft manufacturers.
So it's a waste of time and the IAF cannot afford it.
Btw, I forgot to mention an important point. According to the DPP, we can reduce the amount of Rafales unilaterally by up to 50% without making changes to the price.
 

Defcon 1

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Re: Why Rafale is a Big Mistake

Btw, I forgot to mention an important point. According to the DPP, we can reduce the amount of Rafales unilaterally by up to 50% without making changes to the price.
Huh? I have the DPP-2013 document. On which page this info is given?
 

roma

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Re: Why Rafale is a Big Mistake

There is huge pressure on current govt to eiether cancel or scale down the deal , since the cost is soared upto 22 billion from 12 billion

let us hope the best , don't waste you energy is explaining people who have baised thought on MMRCA:sad: , Wish MMRCA is cancelled:thumb:
"The Rafale Deal Should Be Scrapped And Renegotiated" : SWAMY | idrw.org
RAFALE DEAL : That Bird In The Sky | idrw.org
many thanks for your post which i liked and the relevant and recent info - especially the ref to Dr Swamy

I tend to agree with him that the NDA govt should re-do the whole thing and expose the
irrationalities of the UPA inspired Rafael deal, where applicable, but understand that the 4 nation conglomerate Typhoon is a LOT worse !

WE should buy the company as Swamy indicated might be possible for what we're paying .
 
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no smoking

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Re: Why Rafale is a Big Mistake

Simple Mig-29B we procured from USSR in 80's in a hurry the fighter was still under development hence why not LCA Tejas is my question
Next on J-10 you will always rate it above J-11, J-15 others etc because it is backbone of PLAAF and it is home grown kid of china, You will bank on J-10 in conflict we will on LCA Mk2 hence no comment on it , we can never come to conclusion which one is superior
No, I think you are missing the point. J-10 is designed only for defensive role with short range (around 850km combat radius). PLAAF only need it to fight as a defender near border. Any task deep into enemy's air space is J-11B/J-11BS job. However, what IAF need is a fighter can escort your bomber deep into Tibet, that is not what LCA was designed for from concept stage. And so far what we heard about LCA Mk2 doesn't change the its basic design concept--it will still be a defensive fighter. So, when you put your fighter into a job which it is not fit for, we can make the conclusion already: it will be inferior in the potential battle.

FYI LCA MK2 design phase is over prototype manufacture is under pipe line most probably it might take off in 2016 - 2017 , let us give leverage induction starts from 2020. Even if we sign Rafale in 2014 , it will take 18-24 months for them to supply first squadron from france , then setting up production line in HAL , cost overrun , if any scam unearth there will be hell lot of drama like the BOFORS
No, you just underestimated the difficulty here. Even if LCA MK2 takes off in 2016, you will need at least 5 years for testing fly (it took J-10B 5 years in the same stage) as a single fighter. After it is inducted into your air force, it will start another stage of "testing fly" for another 3-5 years within air force--mainly its tactic performance in drills, daily training and maintenance, etc. This is a critical stage for LCA MK2, there will a lot of problems to found and lots modifications to be done. Some US/Russian planes were even forced to redesign in this phase. After this stage, you can call LCA MK2 a mature plane. But it is not over yet. Now you have to start your work on your production line (adjust your equipments, processings, raw materials and even your workers' skills). After 5-7 years effort, you can finally have a plane with stable quality in mass production. Only after this, LCA MK2 is a reliable part of your air force ready for war.

So, basically, we look at 2030 for LCA MK2 for battle ready if everything goes smoothly (I highly doubt that). What about Rafale? Well, since French has been using this plane for a quite long time, we can assume that most of problems in phase 1/2/3 was fixed already. You will get a mature plane and a mature production line immediately. The rest of work is training your pilots and workers. So you probably need only 5 years maximum, which put the deadline at 2020.
 

Defcon 1

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I read it in DPP06. Just find 50%, that should give you the answer.
No, its not present. Looking for 50% only returned options clause and minimum indigenous requirements. Anyways, it makes little sense, why would an individual deal mentioned in a policy document?
 

Pulkit

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Re: Why Rafale is a Big Mistake

Some people or I must call them experts are here referring to DPP 2006 ... Question with the Increase in order of Rafale(As per them) how is the cost gonna decrease in any way...

Just quoting some of the 50% cost references from DPP2006

OPTION CLAUSE
(No blanks to be left)
The Buyer shall have the right to place separate order on the SELLER on or
before -------------------- (-------- year from the date of this contract) limited to 50% of
the main equipment, spares, facilities or services as per the cost, terms and conditions set
out in this contract. The price of the system, spares etc shall remain same till ------ year
from the effective date of the contract. CNC to verify that there is no downward trend in
prices of the product offered

This is the only revelant quote I found ....

Can someone explain this to me.....?????
 

p2prada

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Re: Why Rafale is a Big Mistake

No, its not present. Looking for 50% only returned options clause and minimum indigenous requirements. Anyways, it makes little sense, why would an individual deal mentioned in a policy document?
http://cdajabalpur.nic.in/ifa/dpm2006.pdf
Riightt tto varry quanttiittiiess.. Thee purrcchasseerr rreesseerrvveess tthee rriightt tto
iinccrreeassee orr deeccrreeassee uptto 50% off tthee quanttiitty sspeecciiffiieed iin tthee ssccheedullee
off rreequiirreemeenttss wiitthoutt any cchangee iin tthee uniitt prriiccee orr ottheerr tteerrmss and
ccondiittiionss wiitthiin tthee agrreeeed deelliivveerry ssccheedullee..
You will have to live with that spelling, I guess.

It doesn't mention an individual deal, I merely referred to the Rafale deal directly.
 

Defcon 1

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Twinblade

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Re: Why Rafale is a Big Mistake

Some people or I must call them experts are here referring to DPP 2006 ... Question with the Increase in order of Rafale(As per them) how is the cost gonna decrease in any way...

Just quoting some of the 50% cost references from DPP2006




This is the only revelant quote I found ....

Can someone explain this to me.....?????
Repeat order in numbers 50% of the original contract at the value same as in the original contract (ie, line item vise), if ordered within a certain timeframe. Standard clause in most government contracts, helps avoid re-tendering if suddenly the requirements rise. In special cases, the repeat order can be up to 100% of the numbers in original contract, provided appropriate notes are put up while tendering and approvals taken. If a decision to order extra rafales is taken within a certain timeframe (the price for industrial set up/ToT already paid for), the extra payment will only be for fly away price, thus reducing overall price per rafale.
 

Zebra

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Re: Why Rafale is a Big Mistake

Russian Air Force to start receiving newest T-50 jet fighter from 2016 | idrw.org

So PAKFA is going to arrive in Russian airforce by 2016, Why is IAF not interested in buying limited editions of PAKFA until the FGFA program matures later and exchanges them like they did with Su-30 MKI deal? It would have been far better for IA's future to invest in 5th gen platform than spending 20 billion dollars , a huge sum on Rafale. But of late not a single personnel from IAF has expressed any such opinions. And of late IAf seems to be disinterested in PAKFA bordering on boredom, with its single minded focu on rafale, why?

Well it is often said that many HAL personnel are already in russia for this project, But IAF is not very enthusiastic to it, recent reports by some press guys seems to suggest that there are many shortfalls in PAKFA , well short of IAF expectations, What are they?

for any deep strike into Tibet as IAf guys want to recall fondly, what would be better PAKFA or Rafale?

What is the flyaway cost of each PAK-FA?

BTW, I was thinking for this.....About the EA-18G Growler | Boeing

 

Pulkit

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Re: Why Rafale is a Big Mistake

@Twinblade thnx for your effort but couldn't get it.... what i got is to reduce cost overall you order more in number ie invest more.....
i think u mean balancing.... example
i bought thing for 200.... its price got reduced to 100.... ie 100 loss...

to compensate I buy at 100 and wait till it reaches say 150 and then sell all ...



Repeat order in numbers 50% of the original contract at the value same as in the original contract (ie, line item vise), if ordered within a certain timeframe. Standard clause in most government contracts, helps avoid re-tendering if suddenly the requirements rise. In special cases, the repeat order can be up to 100% of the numbers in original contract, provided appropriate notes are put up while tendering and approvals taken. If a decision to order extra rafales is taken within a certain timeframe (the price for industrial set up/ToT already paid for), the extra payment will only be for fly away price, thus reducing overall price per rafale.
 
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Santu

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Re: Why Rafale is a Big Mistake

say we bought 120 rafales.. and we can put order for another 60 rafales at same price till some time after the deal is completed.. there wont be any impact of cost escalation on those extra 60 air crafts :)
 

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