Before Kung Flu, Trump had the best economy the US has had ever: millions of new jobs, thousands of new factories, lowest unemployment in decades in virtually all categories. The biggest trump achievement would be the federal regulatory cuts which made it a lot easier to run businesses. The list of accomplishments are pretty crazy also when it comes to Federal judges.
In 2016 Trump won because a lot of voters were sick and tired of the dem and republican establishment. They had for the last 2 decades lead the country in the wrong direction (jobs got shipped and many states increasingly became nanny states with high local taxes, restrictions on various constitutional rights including 2A, corruption). Both parties failed middle America.
People woke up to deep slumber with years of deep state wars (Libya, Syria, Afghan etc) Trump was a message to the establishment. However, they had one thing uncertainty with Trump but they preferred him over Hillary who is widely known for being a cunt.
Most people don't blame Trump for COVID, they closely follow state politics especially now. Trump has been to most extent a Federalist President and has allowed for States to manage their own business even during pandemic. A vast majority do not support defund police. In March alone after COVID became a reality, millions of new requests background checks for weapons and gun sales in the US are at the best they have ever been. Now with a lot of dem shitholes defunding police, cops quitting due to open media rebuke and hatred, the situation is unstable. Also, Trump can easily point to dem run shitholes which are heavy in debt and vastly known for crime violence, being sanctuary cities.
Trump will wipe the floor with Kamel-Joe in debates. He currently has a 36% (publically known) approval among Blacks (secretly it's more). Dems need 90% black vote to win. It's not a easy win but Teflon Don is a hardworker, the nigga don't sleep and hardwork with cool calculated tactics will win. Many may not like his style but people vote with their feet
Besides Dems have the wrong message: they want higher taxes, already a lot of dem states are increasing taxes during pandemic
, they want medicare for all including illegal immigrants, they want everything from carbon to meat taxes, they want to raise federal taxes on the middle class and wealth tax too. Trump will obliterate that narrative.
Trump just has to point to San Fran, LA, Chicago, Portland, Seattle, Portland, NY to show how shitty their policies are.