2014 revealed the insecurity behind China's economic might

Ray

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2014 revealed the insecurity behind China's economic might

Hong Kong protests, terrorist attacks and a crackdown on corruption by Xi Jinping characterised the year for China


On Sunday 28 September, Hong Kong exploded. Pro-democracy protesters barricaded major roads, as riot police tried in vain to disperse them with teargas. The former British colony had been tightly wound for months over Beijing's rising influence. Still, the protests' scale and intensity came as a shock to many. All it took was one decree – the central government announcing that it would restrict nominations for the city's next top leader – for the city to unravel.

Hong Kong's so-called Umbrella Movement raged for more than two months, as umbrella-wielding protesters clashed with riot police. But for many China-watchers, those first few days offered one of the year's clearest signs: that the country's economic might and ruthless political machinery mask a deeper insecurity.

"A single spark can light a prairie fire," Mao Zedong wrote in 1930. Xi Jinping, China's president, sees sparks everywhere: in the country's ubiquitous corruption, its polluted water and air, its slowing economy. Whereas Mao kindled them, Xi has spent much of his early tenure trying to stamp them out.

This year, Xi cemented a reputation as China's most powerful ruler since Deng Xiaoping, primarily by way of his sprawling anti-graft campaign. By September, anti-corruption authorities had netted hundreds of officials for taking bribes, promoting friends and keeping mistresses. Earlier this month they arrested the former security tsar Zhou Yongkang – the highest-ranking official to be investigated for graft in party history.

Simultaneously, Xi presided over the biggest crackdown on freedom of speech in recent memory, posing an important question: can a political system that fostered endemic corruption also root it out? Authorities arrested scores of activists, including the prominent legal scholar Xu Zhiyong. Xu led the New Citizens' Movement, a grassroots organisation that promoted government transparency. His four-year sentence held a chilling lesson: that nothing trumped the party's obsession with control, even its own ideals.

Xi also positioned himself as a foreign policy president, often to his neighbours' chagrin, as China aggressively asserts its territorial claims in the South and East China seas. On 1 May, China placed an oil rig close to Vietnam's coast, triggering a tense maritime standoff. Weeks later, Vietnamese workers rioted, killing five people and scorching Chinese-owned factories. Relations between the two countries have yet to recover.

China found itself at the centre of another international incident when, in the early hours of 8 March, the Beijing-bound Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 vanished an hour after taking off from Kuala Lumpur. Around two-thirds of the 227 passengers on board were Chinese. Nine months later, despite a massive international search effort, people are still waiting for answers.

China will remember 2014 as a year of terror. On 1 March, black-clad assailants killed 29 people with knives and machetes at a train station in the south-western city of Kunming. The attackers were Muslim Uighurs from north-western Xinjiang. It was – although the region is frequently beset by ethnic violence – the first time Uighurs had been accused of orchestrating a major attack outside the province's borders.

The country was horrified – state media called the incident "China's 9/11". Authorities responded by declaring a "people's war" against terror, putting much of Xinjiang under virtual martial law. Beijing tightened restrictions on what it considered symbols of religious extremism: beards, veils, fasting during the holy month of Ramadan. Since then, violence has only worsened – in May, an attack on a market in Xinjiang's capital, Urumqi, killed 45 people. Attacks in Xinjiang's Shache county killed nearly 100 people on 28 July, and another 15 in November. On 21 September, another attack in dusty Luntai county left another 50 people dead.

In September, authorities sentenced Ilham Tohti, a former economics professor at the prestigious Minzu University of China, to life imprisonment on charges of "separatism"; they confiscated his assets, leaving his wife and two children penniless. Human rights groups called the prosecution of a leading Uighur academic a "travesty of justice" that underscores the government's unwillingness to field even moderate forms of dissent.

China also cracked down on foreign businesses, raising fears of xenophobia and economic nationalism. Authorities raided many firms, ostensibly for violating a six-year-old anti-monopoly law: Microsoft, Qualcomm, Daimler, Audi, Mercedes Benz, and a dozen Japanese auto-parts makers. They fined the British pharmaceuticals giant GlaxoSmithKline $465m for bribing Chinese doctors and hospital officials to sell its drugs.

Meanwhile, Chinese firms flourished abroad. In October, an obscure Chinese insurance company bought New York's famous Waldorf Astoria hotel. The Chinese tech giant Alibaba floated on the New York Stock Exchange the month before – the biggest debut in history, with the company valued at $230bn. "We want to be bigger than Walmart," Jack Ma, the company's English-speaking founder, said as he rang the NYSE's opening bell.

June marked the 25th anniversary of the crackdown on pro-democracy protest in Tiananmen Square. Authorities scrubbed all mention of the incident from the internet and detained more than 40 journalists, lawyers, scholars and activists for commemorating the event. Among them was Pu Zhiqiang, the human rights lawyer who once represented the dissident artist Ai Weiwei. Perhaps he and the many other Chinese dissidents detained in 2014 would find some solace in Ma's words: "Today is cruel," the entrepreneur famously said in 2004. "Tomorrow will be crueller. But the day after tomorrow will be beautiful. Most people can't see the day after tomorrow."
2014 revealed the insecurity behind China's economic might | World news | The Guardian
Is China as fragile as this report makes it out to be?

Is China in a throes wherein the economy is not compatible to the aspiration and well being of all its population in all areas of China, whereby irritants overpower the economic well being of China as a nation?

Is 'stifling' popular opinion the only way to ensure that China trots along the path of progress and economic wellbeing?

Is China actually not seized with the realities and over reaching itself and wanting a transformation from socialism to Capitalism through 'the Chinese way' to rapidly?

What is your take?
 

no smoking

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Is China as fragile as this report makes it out to be?
That depends how you define "fragile".
Catching a cold could be a death call for a kid but not a big concern for an adult.

Is China in a throes wherein the economy is not compatible to the aspiration and well being of all its population in all areas of China, whereby irritants overpower the economic well being of China as a nation?
The question is: can they find a better offer somewhere else?

Is 'stifling' popular opinion the only way to ensure that China trots along the path of progress and economic wellbeing?
It is hardly to call "stifling" popular opinion when millions of Chinese publicly criticize the government every day.

Is China actually not seized with the realities and over reaching itself and wanting a transformation from socialism to Capitalism through 'the Chinese way' to rapidly?
What is your take?
Or maybe you didn't seize the realities and over imagine yourself?
 

Ray

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That depends how you define "fragile".
Catching a cold could be a death call for a kid but not a big concern for an adult.



The question is: can they find a better offer somewhere else?



It is hardly to call "stifling" popular opinion when millions of Chinese publicly criticize the government every day.



Or maybe you didn't seize the realities and over imagine yourself?
Chinese criticise their Govt? That is a new one.

And that too with the Great Chinese Firewall?

It is not for me to imagine. The reality and Chinese imagining is what the author is indicating.
 

no smoking

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Chinese criticise their Govt? That is a new one.
It is certainly a news for an Indian.

And that too with the Great Chinese Firewall?
I don't know there is any firewall can block the websites within China.

It is not for me to imagine. The reality and Chinese imagining is what the author is indicating.
That is why I always suggest my friends: if you want to know about the reality of a country, learn their language, don't relying on second-hand or even third-hand stories.
 

Ray

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It is certainly a news for an Indian.



I don't know there is any firewall can block the websites within China.



That is why I always suggest my friends: if you want to know about the reality of a country, learn their language, don't relying on second-hand or even third-hand stories.
Such statement that the Chinese criticise their Govt is a new one, not only for Indians, but also the world; apart from being one for Ripley's Believe it or Not.

You don't know about the Great Chinese Firewall since the Great Chinese Firewall seems to have blocked the articles on the subject. QED.

Good to know that you have anointed yourself as the New Confucius of China.
 

Ray

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You are wrong,the truth is: it will be always a news to Ray.
Censorship in the People's Republic of China (PRC) is implemented or mandated by the PRC's ruling party, the Communist Party of China (CPC). Notable censored subjects include but are not limited to, democracy, the Tiananmen Square protests of 1989, Maoism, Falun Gong, ethnic independence movements, corruption, police brutality, anarchism, gossip, disparity of wealth, food safety, pornography, news sources that report on these issues, unregistered religious content, and many other websites.
http://www.asahi.com/english/TKY201003250329.html

So what do you criticise the Chinese Govt daily about?

Concerning the Situation in the Ideological Sphere (关于当前意识形态领域情况的通报) also known as Document No. 9 (中办发〔2013〕9号), is a confidential internal document widely circulated within the Communist Party of China in 2013 by the General Office of the Communist Party of China. The document was first published in July, 2012.
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http://www.hndj.gov.cn/html/jgdj/gzkx/2013/5168269.html

So, give me a break.

You can fool others, but I would rather not be fooled.
 

Redhawk

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All empires and tyrannies are inherently fragile to a greater or lesser degree. Why should the PRC, which is both empire and tyranny, be any different?
 
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Sylex21

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It is certainly a news for an Indian.



I don't know there is any firewall can block the websites within China.



That is why I always suggest my friends: if you want to know about the reality of a country, learn their language, don't relying on second-hand or even third-hand stories.
Articles like the one you're commenting on can be very alarmist and seem to have a western spin at times, but at the same time hit on a deep truth. As I see it China faces many critical challenges coming up, the population demographic is a big one, democracy is a massive one as well, the spectulation on a massive credit bubble is another one. Impossible to know if the bad loans issue is as bad as the media say, the west will exaggerate and the Chinese will hide the truth so it is a big unknown.

The next 20-30 years should be interesting, either China will manage to head on the path to doubling the America GDP in nominal terms, in which case it will be so powerful it will be able to dictate terms to the rest of the world perhaps, or one of the many challenges China faces will have a massive impact in bringing it down.

China has taken a lot of quick gains over long term ones. The 1 child policy created a very small youth population relatively which lead to youth not needing loans for college, cars, houses and provided massive amounts of cheap credit for Chinese businesses to expand as everyone was saving for retirement. That is great in the short term but has long term consequences, much like using a credit card to buy something now. Authoritarian regimes are better at making quick changes but lack a lot of stability and mechanisms for change and venting of pressures the way democracies have.

We're not saying China is going to explode and collapse for sure, merely that it faces many challenges and it will be interesting to see how they unfold in the future.
 

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